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saffronique · 28 days

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Hey guys, I know there are a lot of really severe tragedies in the world right now and I in no way desire to push those aside, nor do I really want to load another thing onto people's plates, but anyone here in the US needs to be aware that on March 11, 2024, an agricultural company known as NEW Cooperative spilled 265,000 gallons (1500 tons) of liquid nitrogen fertilizer into the East Nishnabotna River. This is the ecological equivalent of dropping a nuclear weapon into the river. Over a 60 mile stretch downstream of the spill its been a near total ecological wipeout for the river. So far, an estimate of 850,000 fish have been killed from this spill, and that's to say nothing for the insects, amphibians, reptiles and birds that relied on or lived in this river. It is literally filled with animal corpses. This river flows into the Missouri River and the impacts will likely continue to spread far past this 60 mile stretch. And this disaster has barely made local tv in Iowa, let alone national tv, despite the fact that 60 miles of river ecosystem were just wiped out in a way that may be impossible to recover from. And what's the punishment for this heinous act of destruction through negligence, you might ask? As it stands, its looking like a 6k fine from the DNR to the company. Not 600k. Not 60k. 6000 dollars. The maximum fine that the DNR can charge in Iowa is 10k unless they decide to take it further in court. That's why these spills are so frequent in Iowa: it's literally cheaper to eat the fines than it is to bother properly storing fertilizer. I don't know exactly what the proper course of action is here, or who needs to be contacted to enact change--I'm hoping someone more knowledgeable than me will chime in with that information--but at the very least, every one of us should know. Every one of us should make sure we don't forget this. And every one of us should blacklist NEW Cooperative fertilizer unilaterally.

Sources:

#iowa #iowa news #fertilizer spill #ecology #river ecology #ecological disaster #usa news

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moderat50 · 4 months

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Making Women Sex Objects

It seems Maga approves of treating women as sex objects, toys. Men are allowed to grab them by the pu....y. Trump called this "locker room talk". Matthew 5:28 calls it adultery. Yet, there was very little objections by the Maga community and several christian leader supporters.

#democrats #republicans #election #donald trump #catholic #christianity #conservative #exvangelical #maga #gop #2024 election #iowa #iowa news #republican debate #nikki haley #ron desantis #evangelical

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avaterpat · 4 months

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Happy RED FRIDAY 🇺🇸🇺🇸

Remember everyone deployed 💬🇺🇸

#iowa news #minneapolis #minnesota #missouri #sports #united states #us news #us politics #msnbc #fox news #ohio news #columbus ohio #woke

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widebruh · 4 months

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Kim? It's free money Kim. It pays for itself Kim.

Kim. The Bush administration looked into these kinds of programs and found that not only are they sustainable, but that they make money over time. It's a long term investment in kids not starving, Kim

Kim, we have no infrastructure because you keep dismantling it, Kim. Kim I swear to god.

I used to work in a school with a ton of food insecure students. Seeing stuff like this is heartbreaking. Remember that when you vote republican, the cruelty is the point. A few other states have refused the money. You'll never guess which ones.

#iowa #iowa news #kim reynolds #kim reynolds you dumb bitch #kim reynolds loves starving kids #196 #r/196 #let us have legal weed kim you dumb bitch #this bitch was addicted to alcohol so now she wont let us have legal weed #this bitch #politics

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onlytiktoks · 3 months

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#tiktok #satanic temple #iowa #iowa news #religious mention #tw religious mention #tw religious themes #iowa hf 2073 #us politics #now this politics #tw religion #religion mention

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anonymousaccount1015 · 4 months

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I’ve never posted about politics on here before but we’re going to try something new, my predictions in the style of longterm political essays.

In a few days, we’re going to have the first primary contest for the Republicans, which will take place in Iowa, this will be a very important race since it will show whether anyone is viable to potentially oppose Trump nationally (since Iowa has a pretty rural, right-leaning voter base, much like many of the other states these candidates will run in).

It’s a pretty broken system since Iowa gets undue influence, most people realize this, they’re a relatively small voter base which gets an unfair amount of sway since they’re the filter for who the rest of the country gets to vote for, politicians like it though since it’s a smaller voter base + you get to spend more time shaking hands, so (since it benefits the politicians/the status quo), it seems unlikely to change very quickly.

In terms of why Republicans have stuck with the traditional schedule which prioritizes Iowa, it’s also a very white state, which represents their voter base much better than the other party.

Anyways.

If I had to predict today, the vote will look something like this (remember that these won’t add up perfectly to 100% since they are ranges, assume a higher range for one candidate means slightly lower for the others so it roughly evens out).

Trump - 50-51% (probably going to just make 50% when the votes come in, Trump‘s popularity among the voter base is still super strong to this day, and there’s probably tens of thousands of voters in this state who are Trump or nothing, Trump’s polling wasn’t really impacted much from skipping the primary debates, he stayed above 50% for pretty much the whole time since the first debate in the polling aggregate on 538 for nationally, Iowa polling has him somewhat higher than this, his upper ceiling is probably 55% with a really strong performance, but showing up less will hurt him a little bit since he’s been preoccupied with his indictments)

DeSantis - 15-23% (probably stands the most to gain from this primary contest, also the hardest to predict for me in terms of performance, he’s invested heavily into this state with the political machine really supporting him, he’s been speaking in front of voters and shaking hands, his wife has been speaking in front of voters, Governor Reynolds has been running with him to show the voters symbolically that he’s the best option to represent their state’s interests, he HAS to win this state or have a strong performance here to stay alive in the primary, he’s been investing here for numerous reasons, it’s “first in the nation” which immediately proves his viability, it’s a more right-leaning voter base, whereas New Hampshire is typically seen as more moderate, this could very well be the moment that his campaign loses traction for good assuming he can’t mount offense to Trump, who is by far the frontrunner)

Haley - 15-19% (possibly she’ll be able to place second place, that would be huge for her to have a solid performance here since she’s seen as weaker in this state/has been investing heavily in New Hampshire, which is next in line, it’s hard to say how much the one on one CNN debate vs DeSantis swayed her results since the only poll to come out since then has Haley overtaking him, though it was released today and typically they’re taken over the span of several days and shown to the public shortly after that, meaning it might have not been impacted by the debate yet at all, she can take a weaker performance here and follow in the footsteps of McCain 2008, who had a weak performance here among a slightly larger field but was still able to rebound, but it’s inadvisable to model her Presidential bid on McCain considering he wasn’t dealing with someone like Trump that was so obviously the frontrunner)

Vivek - 9-12% (probably performs surprisingly well, the major thing that will strengthen his results here is that he’s been shaking hands with the voters and showing up very often, pretty sure he’s visited all counties, traditionally the voters of Iowa respect Presidential candidates who run heavy ground games in their states like this, which has me inclined to think that he’ll probably break out of single digits, he seems like he could perform surprisingly well assuming surrounding factors go just right for him, but we’ll have to wait and see)

Christie (suspended) - 2-3% (probably would have performed about this well if you take his performance in 2016 among a larger field, where he won 1.7%, and try to fit it into this field, potentially his leaving the race shifts things pretty heavily, it’s unlikely that his voters will have gone to Trump since he was the most anti-Trump voice in the race, but the other candidates besides Trump and Vivek seem like they stand to gain from him suspending)

Hutchinson - <1% (under one percent, pretty much irrelevant, hasn’t been seen in public /sarcasm since the first debate after he wasn’t able to make the threshold for future debates, pretty much Iowa voters have no idea who he is and his campaign is over, he’s also anti-Trump, so screw him when it comes to the Republican electorate)

In terms of what I think the voter turnout will look like, the last time there was a serious primary contest in this state was 2016, where 186,932 voters showed up, we can expect slightly lower turnout even though the population has slightly increased, probably something like 120,000 to 150,000 (probably on the higher end), one of the biggest reasons for this is that Trump has centralized his lead and the competitiveness is pretty low, potentially with the winter weather advisory we’re expecting, that could sway the results pretty substantially too.

If there’s enough voters that are stuck at home thanks to the harsh winter weather, then it’s very hard to predict just what this will do to the margins, my predicted percentages assume that the weather largely passes without much impact, see how that may potentially shift the race when the primary gets here.

We can try to predict political trends, but it’s safe to say the weather is much harder. 😂

If Trump wins Iowa, Haley has a weak to mid performance, Haley wins New Hampshire, then she’s still in the race, but she has to win her home state of South Carolina to have enough momentum for Super Tuesday to substantively oppose Trump.

It seems like Haley has a pretty solid shot to win once we get there, she’s polling fairly well vs Trump assuming she picked up all of Christie’s voters (polls suggest about 65% of Christie’s voters have her as their second choice, which means about 7.9% of the total voter base, since Christie was polling about 12%), though it’s hard to say what will happen.

If Trump wins Iowa, Haley has a weak to mid performance, Trump wins New Hampshire instead, then her campaign is pretty much over, and it’s very possible it will be over by the time New Hampshire is finished, Trump is inevitable in this timeline.

If Haley can hold on, then she has to win her home state of South Carolina, she stands no chance otherwise since losing your home state in the primary is traditionally super embarrassing.

If this performs pretty well, then I might start posting some of my predictions on here more often, it’s possible that I’m way off, but this is just for fun + because I’m passionate about politics.

I will be voting for Biden in the Presidential election, but this was for the purposes of seeing who his likely opponent may be (putting our heads in the sand about what the other side is doing only serves to harm us).

I hope you have a great day, stay warm, and thank you for reading.

#politics #political #political analysis #iowa #iowa news #Republican #gop #fuck the gop #long post

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revon-aurora-borealis · 4 months

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this is why bullying shouldnt be ignored

#iowa #iowa news #school shootings #gun violence #mental health #bullying #school shooters #gun reform

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rosesgrownbytheseaside · 4 months

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TW: Shooting, Guns

Yet another school shooting in America.

When will officials and someone who can actually do something see the issue and address this? These innocent lives do not deserve to be at risk when simply trying to go to school and get an education.

I am praying and wishing well for this time of grief for the victims and their families. Please remember in this time to be kind and gentle. Our nation is hurting, and I am extremely disappointed in the lack of prevention for these so common tragedies.

The USA needs to do better, for its students, children, parents, and every citizen on their land. No one should be scared for their lives in an educational setting. No one should be scared for their lives in a public setting. Do better, America.

#today #tw school shooting #iowa #iowa news #America #American news #tw #thoughts and prayers

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golafstore · 2 months

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Caitlin Clark Basketball Effect: The GOAT

Celebrate Caitlin Clark, college basketball female Greatest of all Time (GOAT), with these amazing designs on t-shirt, long sleeve shirt, hoodie, mug, sticker, and others. Available at https://bit.ly/golafstore

#basketball #caitlin clark #female athletes #iowa news #iowa #tumblr girls #made in usa #usa news #usa

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laurenfoxmakesthings · 3 months

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