#the vote may skew

[pjoinorangeandpurple-abandoned]

pjo in orange and purple: a series of daily polls with only two choices

we don't need gray (reddish-brown) areas where we're going

reblog for sample size!

#pjo #percy jackon and the olympians #percy jackson #rick riordan #in orange and purple #purposefully ugly to catch people's eyes #read pinned post for rules #always scheduled at 3:00 PM EST #in theory #if you don't like these polls #then block “in orange and purple” #but if you do that #the vote may skew #so #your choice

[daisybell-on-a-carousel]

Can't fit them all in their own answer it seems, devastating

#boop #As a note #from my experience mobile didn't update past the first MAX #so votes for that may be end a bit skewed #april fools

[ask-the-totally-real-peppino]

Original Poll

The results are in, and they are very interesting. Even if presumably most choices were made based on the silhouette, which was purposely does not match any of the suspects, but that was my bad fkjfdlk

Cake being the winner is not very surprising, considering her behaviour towards others, but Earl coming in second is surprising, considering I have only offhandedly mentioned him once or twice

And, again, I assume folks voted bc the silhouette had visible claws, and Earl has similar claws, but he does have his reasons to growl at Bean, mainly being the only other suspect with a baby

Eg being third, a little unexpected bc I assumed she'd be second, but Earl came in and stole that spot kjgdklfd, and Spud being fourth also unexpected bc that man is a coward, but once again, I assume it is bc of the claws

And then fifth is interesting, bc that is 'someone/something else', and I am so curious to hear who or what you guys think it was bc I have not shown any other wide Fakes besides these guys, and it was definitely a clone, so who else could it of been!!! (tho in retrospect, probably should have not put 'something else' bc again, definitely a clone jkdfkjfd)

Everyone else is pretty even, and I am too tired to talk about them all, so I will leave it at that for now!

Were you guys right? The answer is-

#ooc post #I also did not vote as not to skew the results #and not bc I forgot jkgdljfd #but either way Cake was probably in the lead the whole time so it probably would not of mattered much #also this was fun even if I did goof it up a bit #so I may do this again! #but for now it is time to sleep if my joints allow me jfdgj

[osameowdazai]

The poll concluded 🎉 it looks like I'll be reading crime and punishment

#I'm not reblogging it i think you've all seen it enough today #there were 642 votes and over 60% of them were for c&p #i think the typo may have skewed the results but i will lie in the bed I've made for myself

[redysetdare]

I know you can't exactly be the most serious on polling if you're creating a poll on tumblr but if you want some semblance of validity to your poll then I have 1 tip: Get rid of the "not Applicable/see results" option. If you want to actually have a somewhat accurate and useful poll that actually measures something then get rid of the "Not applicable/see results" options. Unless you are polling to see the difference between two groups then do not allow an option for the out group to vote on. Skewed results are bad results and letting people click a option that says "im not in this group" you automatically skew the results to be favorable towards the people not in the group you are polling. So again, get rid of the "not applicable" option. I don't care how much people want to be nosy and see the results, their nosiness should not outweigh accuracy. You should not purposefully allow your result to be skewed because there are nosy people who don't want to wait until the poll is over to see the results.

#text #tbh there's something also to be said about how yu shouldn't be doing serious polls on tumblr anyways #because the lack of control over who is answering can cause drastic skewing as well just due to the fact ANYONE can reply #and the fact that people in the out group can still reply and can skew results because they vote when they should not #but thats an whole other thing #this post isn't that serious btw #it's just something i noticed where people will unironically try making a completely serious poll #and then they ruin any results they may get because they added a 'see result' option for people who are just nosy #like you guys don't actually know how to run polls do you

[dragonbleps]

Just for funzies, if you like reading about Dal, go vote on what you think the current WIP drabble's main conflict will be against!

Votes will not influence the story in progress, I just wanna see how many people guess it correctly >:3c

#missy rambles #dal #i may have accidentally skewed the votes by saying my next story might be influenced by the ''winner'' #therefore changing the criteria of the poll ljhksdfg #i appreciate everyone wanting nice things for him but i am shaking him around like a bug in a jar (affectionate) #this mer gets himself into Situations #not all of them are his fault though!

[arcticmonkeysbracket]

hello i am back from the dead

#fully moving states this weekend so we may or may not take a mini hiatus #new tag dedicated to this poll! follow and/or post in -> #ambracket #also! i've seen that many of you have Opinions (honorific) about batphone losing and i am once again encouraging any and all propaganda #in the notes #the voting pool for this poll is super small and very easy to skew in (or against) a song's favor. go wild #that's all! :)

[atlasifyllm]

each time i see one of my oc polls get even numbered results i am sitting at the sidelines wondering if it's gonna be a sweep or if an anonymous voter has to come in asap so it's not a tie

#i try not to vote until the curiosity starts killing me bc i hate the idea i may skew the results #atlas speaks;

[mariacallous]

Updated vaccines against Covid-19 are coming, just as hospitalizations and deaths due to the virus are steadily ticking up again.

Today, the US Food and Drug Administration authorized new mRNA booster shots from Moderna and Pfizer, and a panel of outside experts that advises the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention voted to recommend the shots to everyone in the United States ages 6 months and older. Once Centers for Disease Control and Prevention director Mandy Cohen signs off on the recommendations and the vaccines are shipped, people can start getting the boosters.

The recommendation is projected to prevent about 400,000 hospitalizations and 40,000 deaths over the next two years, according to data presented at the meeting by CDC epidemiologist Megan Wallace.

This year’s mRNA vaccines are different from the 2022 booster in a key way. Last year’s shot was a bivalent vaccine, meaning it covered two variants: the original one that emerged in China in 2019, plus the Omicron subvariant BA.5, which was circulating during much of 2022. This fall’s booster drops the original variant, which is no longer circulating and is unlikely to return. It targets just the Omicron subvariant XBB.1.5, which was dominant throughout much of 2023.

Pfizer and Moderna’s vaccines work by introducing a tiny piece of genetic material called messenger RNA, or mRNA, that carries instructions for making SARS-CoV-2’s characteristic spike protein. Once it is injected, cells in the body use those instructions to temporarily make the spike protein. The immune system recognizes the protein as foreign and generates antibodies against it. Those antibodies stick around so that if they encounter that foreign invader again, they will mount a response against it.

Since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, the virus has acquired new mutations in its spike protein and elsewhere. These mutations result in new variants and subvariants that diverge from the original virus. When enough mutations accumulate, these new versions can more easily evade the antibodies created by previous vaccine doses or infections.

The constantly evolving nature of the virus is the reason health regulators decided last year to update the original mRNA vaccines, which were designed against the version of the virus that first appeared in 2019. This year, once again, the virus has changed enough to warrant an updated booster.

In June, an advisory committee to the FDA recommended that this fall’s booster be a monovalent vaccine—targeting only the then-dominant XBB.1.5 subvariant.

At that meeting, committee members reviewed evidence suggesting that the inclusion of the original variant may hamper the booster’s effectiveness against newer offshoots. “The previous bivalent vaccine contained the ancestral spike and thus skewed immune responses to the old spike,” says David Ho, a professor of microbiology at Columbia University whose research, which is not yet peer-reviewed, was among the evidence the FDA panel reviewed. “This is what we call immunological imprinting, and it results in lack of immune responses to the new spike.” He thinks taking out the old variant should optimize the immune response.

But over the past few months, even newer Omicron offshoots have arrived. Currently, EG.5.1, or Eris, is the dominant one in the United States, United Kingdom, and China. Meanwhile, a variant called BA.2.86, or Pirola, has been detected in several countries. Pirola has raised alarm bells because it has more than 30 new mutations compared to XBB.1.5.

Even though the new boosters were formulated against XBB.1.5, they’re still expected to provide protection against these new variants. “The reason is, while antibodies are important in protection against mild disease, the critical part of the immune response that’s important for protecting against severe disease is T cells,” says Paul Offit, a professor of vaccinology at the University of Pennsylvania and member of the FDA’s vaccine advisory committee.

These cells are a different part of the immune response. Unlike antibodies, which neutralize a pathogen by preventing it from infecting cells, T cells work by eliminating the cells that have already been invaded and boosting creation of more antibodies. Both the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech Covid vaccines produce long-lasting T cells in addition to antibodies.

It’s why, Offit says, when the Omicron wave hit in late 2021 and peaked in January 2022, the US didn’t see a dramatic increase in hospitalizations and deaths even as cases rose significantly: People’s T cells kicked into gear, even when their antibodies didn’t recognize the Omicron variant.

“In some ways,” says Offit, when it comes to vaccine booster development, “it almost doesn’t matter what we pick to target” because the coronavirus has yet to evolve away from T cell recognition. “Everything works.”

Scientists think T cells are able to protect against severe Covid because they’re recognizing parts of the virus that have remained unchanged throughout the pandemic. “I suspect that as we continue to vaccinate, there are some conserved regions [of the virus],” says Jacqueline Miller, Moderna’s head of infectious diseases. “So even with the accumulation of mutations, we’re still building on previous immunity.”

People who have hybrid immunity—that is, have had a Covid infection and have also been vaccinated—seem to have the best immune responses to new variants, she says, which suggests that previous exposure shapes and improves immune responses to new variants. Preliminary studies show that antibodies generated by previous infections and vaccinations should be capable of neutralizing Pirola.

Earlier this month, Moderna issued a press release saying that clinical trial data showed that its updated booster generated a strong immune response against Pirola, as well as the more prevalent Eris variant.

In a statement to WIRED, Pfizer spokesperson Jerica Pitts said the company continues to closely monitor emerging variants and conduct tests of its updated monovalent booster against them. Data presented at Tuesday’s CDC meeting showed that Pfizer-BioNTech’s updated booster elicited a strong neutralizing antibody response against both Eris and Pirola.

The FDA expects that Covid-19 vaccines will continue to be updated on an annual basis, unless a completely new variant emerges that requires a different approach. “We will always be a little behind the virus,” says Ho. “In this instance, we won’t suffer too much, but that might not be the case going forward. Surveillance is imperative.”

[sarifel-corrisafid-ilxhel]

Poll Observation

Hi! So I just made a poll, and I've already noticed something bizarre that may have an impact on how poll-related contests are done by various people on Tumblr, and I just wanted to waffle about it for a second as a Tumblr user. So, the oddity. Tumblr polls only use Whole Number Percentages to calculate votes.

These two options both have three votes each at the time I took the screenshot, with 11 votes cast in total. This should mean they both have 27.27...% of the vote. However, Tumblr relies on whole numbers, and instead of giving them both the same whole number, it actually gave one of them a whole extra percentage point despite the fact they have the same number of votes.

This really, really bothers me. I took several years of statistics and statistical science in college, and I am just screaming on the inside looking at this. What the fuck, Tumblr. What the fuck. Do you know what kind of impact this could have on polls with hundreds or thousands of votes? Do you know the kind of skew this could introduce to votes which are very close? This is terrible! Ok that's all I wanted to say about that. Have a good night!

#Not Animorphs #Statistics #Tumblr Poll #What the absolute hell #Worst math ever

[the-joker-of-musicals]

MUSICAL TUMBLRMAN BATTLE

hey there, it's me, marina @annabelle--cane. you've seen these brackets before, you know the drill, it's time to watch these bastards kill each other.

rules/guidelines:

I'm using "tumblrman"/"the jokner of musicals" because a lot of the characters iconic to this genre are minors and it wouldn't be appropriate for an adult (<- me) to call them sexymen, but it also wouldn't feel right to just leave them out. I think these terms carry most of the same energy while leaving out sexual connotations.

personally, I will be voting and selecting based on levels of iconicness and how hard a choke hold these characters had on me and my peers, not based on which characters I actually think are best or that I like the most. I know this guideline is completely unenforceable and people will just black out and vote for their blorbos, but if this gets a good turn out, maybe I'll do a "favorite/best/most musical character" tournament afterwards.

there are a few characters who are already guaranteed spots (jd, beetlejuice, the squip, etc.), but still feel free to submit any obvious choices, especially if you've got compelling propaganda.

there are a few characters I don't feel comfortable including, but I don't think people are likely to submit them and I think posting a list would invite discourse, so I'll just say that I leave it ultimately up to my discretion whether or not to dismiss certain nominations.

since I will be selecting characters based on how iconic I think they were/are, nominees will likely skew male, but submissions are also open to female and nonbinary characters. the jonkler of musicals can be any gender.

similarly, I'm going to prioritize characters from stage musicals, but you may also submit characters from movie, TV, podcast, song cycle, or other medium musicals. if you're unsure, just go ahead and submit them and I'll figure it out.

this is a CRINGE POSITIVE space. ribbing on your past self or 2017 musical fandom culture as a whole is all fine and good, but try to keep in the spirit of friendly competition and stay away from being outright mean. if what you're saying is indistinguishable from a homophobe talking about their high school gsa, I will block you and delete your comments.

@ this blog or use the tag "tjom bracket" in your commentary about this tournament and I might rb your post here

I'm aiming for 32 characters in the first round, but I'm willing to be flexible.

inspiration from: @bestmusicalworldcup @bracketsoffear @problemgirlbracket @character-of-all-time @blorbopoll2 @powerpolyculeshowdown @ultimate-tragic-couples-showdown

OKAY. SUBMIT YOUR MUSICAL JOKSTNERS. FORM OPEN UNTIL 12:00 AM MONDAY EST.

#tjom bracket #mod post #be more chill #bmc #deh #dear evan hansen #beetlejuice #heathers #six the musical #<- sorry for over tagging a bit. you know how it is in this economy.

[mr-jaybird]

whenever i reblog the polls on here i don't actually usually tag how i voted, and while you may think this is due to reasonable concerns about internet privacy you would be wrong

it is in fact because i work in data science professionally and my poor little heart cannot bear the possibility of potentially skewing the results of an already unscientific poll

in other news did you know that every other data scientist i've ever met has some form of anxiety disorder

#i don't even think y'all care about my opinions that much i just can't do it 😭😭😭

[aspecpolls]

Welcome to Aspec Polls!

A blog for polls exclusively related to aspecs. You don't have to be aspec to send in a poll, you only need to be asking in good faith and obviously no hateful content will be tolerated. Speaking of, if I let something get posted that I shouldn't have please let me know!

Send your poll ideas to the inbox, preferably with the options you want listed out. Keep in mind that poll options have a character limit of 80 and there can only be 12 options per poll. If you don't include your own options I can try to make them for you, but remember that I may not word things the same way you would or I might leave something out that you would have included.

Sometimes I alter poll submissions. I usually only do this if I notice a potential issue like someone mixing up their terms or the lack of an option a significant amount of voters are likely to need. If I change something that I shouldn't have, or I miss anything, please tell me!

If you don't want your ask to be posted don't be afraid to say so. I can always post the poll by itself.

If you'd like to share your thoughts, opinions or experiences related to a poll topic or to expand on why you voted how you did you're welcomed to drop those in the askbox too. Please try to specify the poll you're referencing to avoid any confusion. These messages will be tagged as #commentary and the usual non-poll tag #not a poll if you would like to filter them out.

If you're not sure what "aspec" or another term you see here means, here is a post and a carrd that should hopefully help!

Is the "show results" button or another option skewing the poll and making it difficult to tell what the results would be without it? Here's a poll grabber where you can enter the post's url and it will tell you the exact number of votes for each answer. Works for both active and finished polls.

#sorry there's so much to read! #it all felt like important info

[theravenmuse]

The results are in!

Just over a week ago, I asked you all what your position and dominance preferences were for Aziraphale and Crowley. Those polls have run there courses and I’ve analyzed the results.

Data Interpretation

For position: Roughly 2/3 of voters prefer both Aziraphale and Crowley being ‘switches’ in position. Of the remaining 1/3 of voters, there is a very slight preference for both Aziraphale and Crowley in the ‘bottom’ position. The difference in voter preferences for position between Aziraphale and Crowley is statistically insignificant.

For dominance: Slightly over 40% of voters prefer both Aziraphale and Crowley as ‘switches’ in dominance. The difference in percentages for this preference between Aziraphale and Crowley is statistically insignificant. Of the remaining voters, there is an extremely strong preference for Aziraphale in a ‘dominant’ roll with roughly 88% of the remaining votes, leaving the preference for ‘submissive’ Aziraphale at only 12%. For Crowley, the inverse is true.There is an extremely strong preference for Crowley in the ‘submissive’ roll at roughly 94% of the remaining votes, leaving the preference for ‘dominant’ Crowley at only 6%.

In conclusion:

They’re switches, bitches! (But Crowley is the one saying ‘yes sir’)

*Note: I do write nearly exclusively bottom/sub Crowley with top/dom Aziraphale. This may have skewed the results as, to my knowledge, this poll did not reach far beyond my own followers.

Links to original poll results:

Aziraphale: https://www.tumblr.com/theravenmuse/730743867394179072/just-things-this-raven-finds-amusing

Crowley: https://www.tumblr.com/theravenmuse/730743585585184768/just-things-this-raven-finds-amusing

#good omens #crowley #aziraphale #ineffable husbands #aziracrow #the raven’s musings #polls #crazed academia #top aziraphale #top crowley #bottom Aziraphale #bottom crowley #dom Aziraphale #sub Aziraphale #sub crowley #they’re switches bitches

[firstaidspray]

OH I was going to make a poll but I forgot until now. Im voting too it may skew results but anyways

#alan wake #alan wake 2 #alan wake 2 spoilers #mr scratch #ilkka villi

[redandgreenpoll]

Welcome to the Red and Green Duos Poll!

Hello, anyone who sees this! I wanted to try my hand, since I was inspired by the lovely @redandbluebracket‘s idea. Now with different colors! I’m not too used to this, but hopefully I can get some traction!

Poll progress is listed in my bio.

Below I’ve included the link to the google form I made to submit characters. You don’t have to give a reason why, but it would help! You have to include the two characters and the media they’re from. Green and pink counts, red and teal counts as well. I would love to see this get a lot of responses, but who knows.

The cap is undefined, because I don’t know how many people will see this, if any at all. It’ll be a 16 slot bracket with less attention, and 32 with more.

Rules:

1. Fictional characters only.

2. Don’t skew the data. Submit as many pairs as you feel up to, but only submit each pair once.

Rules may be added if I get enough submissions!

THE GOOGLE FORM IS NOW CLOSED.

Feel free to ask me if there were nominations for your favs, though! I'll be tallying everything up, so look out for any updates.

THE OFFICIAL LINEUP IS HERE!

https://www.tumblr.com/redandgreenpoll/710010767139880960/the-official-lineup-is-here

ROUND 1 HAS BEGUN!

All round 1 polls will be tagged with "R&G round 1" so look for that. And remember: this is simply a favorites competition, due to the lack of specific criteria. Just vote for the one you like the most!

#red and green #poll #polls #redandbluebracket #red and blue #red and blue poll #red and green poll #redandgreenpoll #mario and luigi #voting #polling #vote #tumblr polls #tumblr poll #fandom poll #fandom #character poll #mod speaks