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#north korea and russia = future chinese satellites
tomorrowusa · 8 months
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A reality check on the war from Yale Prof. Timothy Snyder.
The bottom line...
"You can't stop the killing by giving up. The only way to stop the killing is to win the war. The only way to end the war is to win the war."
People who urge "compromise" like Elon Musk have probably not been paying attention to Eastern Europe for the past 300 years.
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newstfionline · 1 year
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Monday, May 1, 2023
Guam, where America’s next war may begin (Economist) “Where America’s day begins”, as Guam likes to sell itself, is also where a future American war with China may begin. This westernmost speck of America, just 30 miles (48km) long and with a population of about 170,000, helps it project power across the vast Pacific. As tension over Taiwan worsens, war games often predict early and sustained Chinese missile strikes on Guam. Startlingly, for such a vital military complex, Guam is only thinly defended. Its thaad missile-defence battery is not always switched on. It is in any case intended to parry only a limited attack from North Korea, not an onslaught from China. China makes no secret that Guam is in its cross-hairs. The df-26 missile, with a range of 4,000km, is commonly called the “Guam killer”. In 2020 a Chinese propaganda video depicted an h-6k bomber attacking an undisclosed air base: the satellite image was unmistakably of Andersen Air Force Base in Guam. The vulnerability of Guam is belatedly getting attention in Washington, not least because successive heads of Indo-Pacific Command in Hawaii, in charge of any future war with China, keep pleading for better protection.
Greener pastures? 2,500 hopeful sheep cross Idaho highway (AP) Why did 2,500 sheep cross the road? Because the grass was greener on the other side. In Idaho, it’s not unusual to see ranchers moving a bleating herd of sheep up to higher elevation at this time of year. But the sight of 2,500 wooly beasts trotting across a highway earlier this week brought a crowd about 300 people. Curious onlookers lined the road as the animals sheepishly entered the highway, guided by ranchers and steered by sheepdogs. They traveled up the road a little ways, the fluffy white herd obscuring the yellow-painted centerline amid a chorus of “baas” and the lead ewe’s jangling bell. Leaving the open road behind, they will journey through the sagebrush-dotted foothills for a few weeks to their summer home in the Boise National Forest. This trip up to higher elevations is a tradition dating back around 100 years, the Boise-area TV station reported, and having the sheep graze in the forest helps prevent fires and invigorates plant growth.
Key nations sit out U.S. standoff with Russia, China, leaks show (Washington Post) President Biden’s global agenda faces significant challenges as major developing nations seek to evade the intensifying standoff between the United States, Russia and China and, in some cases, exploit that rivalry for their own gain, classified American intelligence assessments show. The documents, among a trove of U.S. secrets leaked online through the Discord messaging platform, provide a rare glimpse into the private calculations by key emerging powers, including India, Brazil, Pakistan and Egypt, as they attempt to straddle allegiances in an era when America is no longer the world’s unchallenged superpower. Matias Spektor, a scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said developing nations are recalibrating at a moment when America faces potent new competition, as China projects new economic and military clout and Russia, though weakened by President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine, demonstrates its ability to deflect Western pressure. “It’s unclear who will end up in a pole position in 10 years’ time, so they need to diversify their risk and hedge their bets,” Spektor said. The Biden administration has told those countries that it is not asking them to pick sides between the United States on one hand and China and Russia on the other, a message that Secretary of State Antony Blinken has stressed in his travels. But nations including South Africa and Colombia bridle at what they see as an implicit choice.
Details revealed about King Charles III’s coronation service (AP) It will be a coronation of many faiths and many languages. King Charles III, keen to show that he can be a unifying figure for everyone in the United Kingdom, will be crowned in a ceremony that will for the first time include the active participation of faiths other than the Church of England. Buddhist, Hindu, Jewish, Muslim and Sikh leaders will take part in various aspects of the coronation, the Archbishop of Canterbury’s office said Saturday, as it revealed details of a service it described as an act of Christian worship that will reflect contemporary society. The ceremony also will include female bishops for the first time, as well as hymns and prayers sung in Welsh, Scottish Gaelic and Irish Gaelic, as well as English.
Spain, Portugal swelter as April temperature records broken (Reuters) Mainland Spain and Portugal have broken temperature records for April, as the Iberian neighbours swelter in an early-season heatwave that has exacerbated a long drought in some regions. Spain’s southern city of Cordoba registered 38.8 Celsius (101.8 Fahrenheit) at its airport on Thursday. In neighbouring Portugal, the temperature in the central town of Mora reached 36.9 C, breaking the record of 36.0 C set in April 1945, its weather agency said. Temperatures started dropping on Friday in Portugal but the heatwave persisted in parts of Spain.
They Refused to Fight for Russia. The Law Did Not Treat Them Kindly. (NYT) An officer in the Federal Guard Service, which is responsible for protecting Russian President Vladimir Putin, decided last fall to avoid fighting in Ukraine by sneaking across the southern border into Kazakhstan. The officer, Maj. Mikhail Zhilin, disguised himself as a mushroom picker, wearing camouflage and carrying a couple of small bottles of cognac so that he could douse himself and then act drunk and disoriented if he encountered the Russian border patrol. In the dark, the lean, fit major navigated across the forested frontier without incident, but he was arrested on the other side. “He had these romantic notions when he first began his military-academic studies,” his wife said, "but everything soured when the war started.” Zhilin is among the hundreds of Russian men who faced criminal charges for becoming war refuseniks since Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine last year. In 2022, 1,121 people were convicted of evading mandatory military conscription, according to statistics from Russia’s Supreme Court, compared with an average of around 600 in more recent years. In addition, criminal cases have been initiated against more than 1,000 soldiers, mostly for abandoning their units. In theory, Russian law allows for conscientious objectors performing alternative service, but it is rarely granted.
Tense face-off: Philippines confronts China over sea claims (AP) A Chinese coast guard ship blocked a Philippine patrol vessel steaming into a disputed shoal in the South China Sea, causing a frightening near-collision in the latest act of Beijing’s aggression in the strategic waterway. The high seas face-off April 23 between the larger Chinese ship and the Philippine coast guard’s BRP Malapascua near Second Thomas Shoal was among the tense moments it and another Philippine vessel encountered in a weeklong sovereignty patrol in one of the world’s most hotly contested waterways. The disputed shoal is about 194 kilometers (121 miles) west of the Philippine island province of Palawan.
Sudan crisis risks becoming a nightmare for the world—former PM Hamdok (BBC) Sudan’s former Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok has warned that the conflict in his country could become worse than those in Syria and Libya. The fighting between the regular army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) would be a “nightmare for the world” if it continued, he said. “This is a huge country, very diverse ... I think it will be a nightmare for the world,” he said. “This is not a war between an army and small rebellion. It is almost like two armies—well trained and well armed.” Mr Hamdok—who served as prime minister twice between 2019 and 2022—added that the insecurity could become worse than the civil wars in Syria and Libya. Those wars have led to hundreds of thousands of deaths, created millions of refugees and caused instability in the wider regions. Both factions fear losing power in Sudan, partly because on both sides there are men who could end up at the International Criminal Court for war crimes committed in the Darfur region almost 20 years ago.
A listener’s openness reveals a culture of giving (CSM) There’s a prevailing narrative in Western media about much of the African continent. It’s one of instability and perpetual want, of resources awaiting plunder by outsiders, of self-determination only in pockets. That misses a lot. For the Monitor, contributor Nick Roll delivered a counternarrative: a story of generosity and agency. Through an international aid organization, he learned of an effort in the village of Chadakori, Niger, to integrate refugees fleeing political violence in neighboring Nigeria. It isn’t a perfect arrangement, says Nick. “But then at the same time, everyone I talked to, they didn’t regret opening their doors, opening their villages to these refugees,” Nick says. “You know, if you go out looking for stories of death and destruction, you’re going to find them,” he says. “If you go looking for these stories of resilience or generosity amid really harsh conditions, people will recognize what you’re doing. People are aware of how they’ve been portrayed [before] ... and they trust somebody who is looking to do something differently.”
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atrayo · 3 years
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Channeled Angelic Prophecy of the Jewels of Truth Series on Chinese Militaristic Hegemony Triggers WW3
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Hello All,
I'm somewhat nervous about making this entry blog post regarding it's a very very controversial topic. It would come off as China-bashing, which in fact it is more an alarmist entry regarding an East vs. West power struggle that gets out of hand with a conflagration of a World War in its wake. This almost seems like history repeating itself less than a century ago with the Japanese Imperial ambitions of the 1940s spreading across the South Pacific.
I get skittish when I receive such automatic writing missives from the angels as a cautionary form of tough love. As repent all ye who enter here type of phenomena. For my part, I usually bury these statements in my notebook collection of these channeled statements. However, I deemed this one more so detailed with 8 Points of No Return as qualifiers for WW3 with China versus the World triggers itself. I intuit that this is 75% locked in already as ill-fated destiny up to 85% potentiality.
This is my caveat I hope to God I'm awful wrong as having drunk the Kool-Aid as Coco for Coco-Puffs loony toons basket case in this regard. With that stated, I feel more a prophet of doom than an Inspirational spiritual poet as my usual devotion. The statement 3,048 dovetails also upon the commencement of WW4 in 2075 by the European Federation as an Empire, not today's European Union.
Interweaving through all this the angel nameless as they often are without egos speaks about my "Jewels of Truth" series surviving eons (?) from now as a recorded spiritual philosophical angelic discourse with humanity. Talk about a shameless plug in all places and on this apocalyptic topic.
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Prophecy of WW3 & WW4:
3048) What is to become of what you call the "Jewels of Truth" legacy of our spiritual angelic discourse with you in the centuries and eons following the end of your life on this earth dearest "Ivan the Atrayo". A future global religion as a cross-pollination of spiritual traditions not unlike that of the Persian Bai-Ha religion but one that actually succeeds in becoming truly globalized. A meta-Worship of the Abrahamic Creator God gets pinched transcending its original roots in around 150 years plus. As can be said from wingtip to wingtip of the Imperial Hawk as the standard for a New World Order.
We the angelic heavenly host didn't wish to alarm you dear Navi (Hebrew for Prophet, ie my first name spelled backward "Ivan") with such an infamous statement as you deem alarmist. However, you amongst many others are canaries in the coal mine seeing the writing on the wall as false placating by China is practically a foregone conclusion in world history to come.
With all this said take this as a pinch of salt to add flavor to the human condition as a cautionary tale of woe if ignored en-masse. As you stated in your introduction above, this is our Tough Love for humanity to glean what it may from our stance to date. Humanity can steer around this for the writing on the wall can still be whitewashed over with bravery if mutual reconciliation is so desired between the superpower of China and the rest of the World.
Allow us to start backward as it may with the future disaster of World War 4 in the region of the world that you presently call Ukraine. Mother Russia is no more a threat for China in WW3 made them their conscripts but that comes later in this statement. The peoples of Ukraine are ancestrally pure stalk of Euro-Slavic genetics and the future European Federation as a dystopian version succeeds the European Union after the rampant famines and plagues scorch the earth post WW3. The European Super Continent unites more so akin to the Ancient Roman Empire of yore with democratic tendencies only for its elite castes. Thus the seeds of distrust and acrimony are sowed once more by barbarians at their gates of the empire.
The year is 2075 the European Continent was less so ameliorated by the nuclear holocaust of WW3 than that of the North American continental shelf. In some ways the traces of Chinese culture is stronger upon Europe for the Silk Road 2.0 of the Sino Belt and Road Initiative succeeds culturally and economically by far before the Chinese government uses it as a Trojan Horse. Chinese population centers of its mainland are akin to a lunar landscape post WW3. Thus its peoples migrant en masse onto Asia Minor what is the Middle East today and into the Eastern flanks of Europe. Such Chinese populations will be considered the barbarian mongrels for the dystopian European Federation thus WW4 ignites around the Black Sea of Crimea.
In twelve years what you consider as an alpha or new beginning Ivan. Will be the start of World War 3 with China upon the year 2033 Anno domino. Give or take 6 months after China crosses 8 Points of No Return that the angel of the Lord God sounds the trumpet of perdition on Earth. China for its part ascended to the righteous status of a superpower too quickly and anything that is achieved too soon is lost just as immediately. The greek tragedy of Icarus with the Sun melting the wax bindings of his artificial wings sends the young lad plummeting to his death.
It is a matter of fact that China has every right on God's Earth to succeed and be a proud nation of her ancestral peoples on a united front. However, as they have been victimized by the Japanese during the early 1940s and were the footstool of the British empire of the 19th century. They feel that payback is in order to the world with a chip on their shoulder, thus their Sino exceptionalism soon becomes a recipe for disaster for the rest of the world and her Asian neighbors.
Notwithstanding its currency manipulations as a temporary measure during the early 2000's to cheat its way to the top. This practice was soon discontinued due to not overheating with a meltdown their economies of scale were soon achieved globally. Next to their notorious one-two punch of lured infamy of intellectual property theft as sanctioned statecraft of technological theft transfers. It would allow the Chinese State to supercharge its beautiful minds to leapfrog the West and the grand USA at its own game.
The first ill-fated seal of WW3 was when China annexed and conquered Tibet during its Cultural Revolution of Mao Tse Tung. That set the tone of supremacy in an egotistical guise of reclaiming its lost Imperial Dynasties of centuries before of grandeur. The 2nd seal of WW3 was broken more so recently from what they learned in subjugating the Tibetan peoples. They carried over to their Muslim minority of the Uyghurs accomplishing their cultural genocide upon them as enslaved conscripts. The Western economic sanctions on its textiles from such a provincial region are little more than a slap on the wrist.
What the Chinese learned from the Tibetans and now the Uyghurs they are implementing on Hong Kong like the flap of the wings of a graceful dragon. Soon the 3rd seal of WW3 to be broken is the naval and aerial invasion of the democratic island nation of Taiwan off its mainland. These so-called rebels will soon experience the Chinese boot snapping their collective necks with the revenge of humiliating their might makes right doctrine.
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The 4th seal of WW3 is already partially cracked open with China claiming its ancestral Imperial Dynastic seaways and now air passage routes in an outright fashion. Building naval airbase atolls out of the ocean a feat of engineering will soon pot mark the South China Seas like satellite landmines to the rest of the world. Naval commerce and air traffic are now harrassed including foreign military air traffic be dammed. Expect so-called enemy fighter pilots of Australia and other South East nations to be shot down outright. With naval cargo and oil freighters to be harassed by premature boarding inspections as so-called checks for illicit goods.
The 5th seal of WW3 to be broken is when Mother Russia is soon out witted by Chinese Hegemony. When the mafia state of the Russian government gets greedy in an oil dispute transfer with the Chinese it soon escalates to sour grapes all around. Leading up to China invading by land its armies seize Russian Southern Oil fields permanently. Thus Putin the Russian Czar's rule comes to an end as his Oligarchs soon replace him with a shill of a weak national leader to appease China. Opening the way in future years that the Russian army is at the beck and call of the Great Dragon of China as its conscripts by any other name.
The 6th seal of WW3 is when China tires of the North Korean Premiers games of Kim Jong-Un they annex North Korea without firing a shot. Installing a viceroy and begin massive industrial mining for the mineral riches of the North Korean Peninsula. Which ironically jump-starts the North Korean economy putting its citizens to work for an eventual rise out of poverty.
The 7th seal of WW3 is the greatly lauded Belt and Road Initiative as the Silk Road 2.0 becomes what it is advertised to do. A boon of Chinese engineering producing Infrastructure projects from China through the Middle East into parts of Europe as Sino goodwill public relations globally. It is a roaring success since similar projects brought Africa out of its schizophrenic famines and poverty up to 20 years ago. That all the foreign aid historically upon Africa could never do.
However, what looks good and feels good with much mutual economic prosperity triggers a fervor for Chinese hegemony abroad. Where southeast Asian nations of Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam, Thailand, Myanmar, and Indonesia soon get the negative attention of Chinese interference as Big Brother. Frankly stated the Belt and Road Initiative becomes a proverbial Trojan Horse for the conscripted armies of Russia, North Korea, and China's armies. To seemingly roll upon in the guise of an inaugural guest-hosted military parade throughout the circuitous route becomes a bait and switch tactic.
The 8th seal of WW3 is that the unwelcome security occupation by the Chinese armies outside its mainland albeit as security guarantors is soon worn out. The remaining free nations declare war on China and within months a nuclear holocaust is triggered by the United States as a desperate first-strike policy.
Thus ensuring that Beijing its Capitol and Shangai as a modern port megalopolis of Chinese Supermacy is nuked several times by the Western nations of the US and Europe leaving it akin to a lunar landscape. The United States will receive the majority of Chinese Nukes rather than that of Europe as cited in the above introduction to this posting. The US island territory of Puerto Rico is hit directly upon Old San Juan its Capitol for it lacks a missile battery defense shield capability. All the island residents that remain leave over the ensuring years throughout the rest of the Caribbean (ie Cuba, Haiti, Dominican Republic, etc...) and other parts of Florida.
All major primary and secondary American cities are hit once or twice by Chinese and Russian nuclear strikes such as Miami, Houston, Washington D.C., Denver, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, New York City, Detroit, and so forth. Also, the missile defense shield battery purchased by Australia from the United States works as advertised. Sydney is spared a near-fatal strike however the radius concussion of such a nuclear missile detonation overhead causes an electromagnetic pulse knocking out its electrical grid. Its offshore island of Tasmania doesn't fare as fortunate it is hit directly annihilating its entire population. Lastly, the New Zealand Capitol of Christ Church is also hit directly by a Chinese nuclear strike.
World War 3 lasts for a mere 6 years time ending roughly by the end of the year 2039. Leaving what remains of China, Russia, North Korea, and its counterparts of the United States and Europe is a near catastrophe for the next 60 years plus to attempt recovery. The United States loses its superpower status soon to become the Federated States of America an empire by any other name dystopian. Chronic outbreaks of famine and various once curable diseases spread dysentery of water-born illnesses run rampant and plagues of Covid-19 and other forms of Influenza throughout the Americas.
However, in the decade to follow the Federated States of America invades its neighbor to the North as Canada. In order to seize its prized infrastructure and pastoral farmlands to maintain its hold of power. Slavery in America is institutionalized once more in order to cultivate its non-irradiated farmlands and strip mining. Hungry mouths cause riots and thus enslaving such unruly ungrateful once citizens is another act of desperation.
Africa and the rest of the Americas such as the Central and Southern regions fare way better from the Chinese and Russian nuclear attacks lest that of Columbia and Costa Rica. Ironically democracies take root here to one degree or another as they see the dystopian societies of Europe and that of North America and want no part of that turmoil. The Federated States of America partially fascist devolves into feudal Esque family houses of nobility as the once upper classes survive to a degree via tact and shrewdness.
Your "Jewels of Truth" series as our angelic discourse with humanity dearest "Ivan the Atrayo" survives mostly intact not unlike that of the affectionate Rumi and Hafiz as Spiritual Persian poets have done so. Since your channeled writings of us for now, over 26 years to date as Inspirational automatic writings as a clairaudient psychic technique has foretold. It Will be cherished by the generation of readers to come lasting centuries if not an eon or two more. Taken into the stars by futuristic human colonists leaving the earth out of necessity due to dwindling resources.
The 1st truly global earth religion subsumes your writings into one of its tomes of sacred literatures. Thus you'll be piggybacking onto another greatness by sheer good prosperous luck for the added measure as there are no accidents metaphorically speaking. To this, we remark a thank you for taking the courage to share this cautionary statement although your reservations have been noted in protest by us.
Go with God(dess) those of the eyes to see and the ears to hear between the rhetoric spoken by the greater national powers that be. There's is the agony soon to herald all into collective planetary ruin because of a game of brinkmanship that gets out of control soon enough. Pay attention and take actions that are peaceable via protests or be steamed rolled into oblivion. Amen. ---Ivan Pozo-Illas / Atrayo.
Ivan "Atrayo" Pozo-Illas, has devoted 26 years of his life to the pursuit of clairaudient Inspired automatic writing channeling the Angelic host. Ivan is the author of the spiritual wisdom series of "Jewels of Truth" consisting of 3 volumes published to date. He also channels conceptual designs that are multi-faceted for the next society to come that are solutions based as a form of dharmic service. Numerous examples of his work are available at "Atrayo's Oracle" blog site of 16 years plus online. You're welcome to visit his website "Jewelsoftruth.us" for further information or to contact Atrayo directly.
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mrs00clean001-blog · 5 years
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Department of State - press briefing notes from 7th of March 2019
While browsing twitter stumbled on this press briefing and decided to watch it to get info directly from the “horse”s mouth - https://twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1vAGRywYRLYKl
I recommend people watch it for themselves, if curious, instead of “readers digests” media provides - especially since some believe that media it too biased.
Well, going to the source and forming your opinion on the subject is how you can objectively deal with that.
I will try to keep this as unbiased as possible, but again - check the #briefing out for yourself.
Legend:
From this point on I will be referring to the State Department representative (don’t know what his name is - don’t really care) as The Horse.
Journalists from around the Globe will be refereed to as The Birds (just because, and it’s shorter than typing out Journalists).
My opinions will be labeled as such and adding @Mrs00Clean001
Department of State - press briefing notes from 7th of March 2019
Briefing began with The Horse making an announcement on deployment of new US sponsored program to help women entrepreneurs around the world to help communities around the world. Goal to have notable progress by 2025. Targets are 26 countries in Latin America, Caribbean and Africa. Source - https://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2019/03/290040.htm
My opinion ( @Mrs00Clean001 ): good, these are some of the countries that could use such a program the most. Enterprises create more jobs and jobs allow people to have means for supporting families without resorting to desperate actions and violence.
Floor was than opened up for questions from the the Birds.
1. Bird asked about revocation of visas and flagging people based on passport information. Why?
Horse responded that this is Homeland Security domain and they should be asked why?
Follow up question from Bird was along the lines of if someone like France began doing the same how would The Horse and the Gov’t feel about it?
Horse responded with refusal to engage in speculation and... 
@Mrs00Clean001 : my opinion is it is like asking the why did police arrest someone ? Check in with them and get their statement instead and you will know, Mr Bird!
2. Bird asked about North Korea and it’s science and development.
Horse responded that there will be another briefing at 1600 (7th of March 2019) dedicated to North Korea and to ask that then.
Follow up question from Bird was about a ~1. earthquake registered in North Korea and if this was due to more missile testing.
Horse responded that he knew of no evidence of that and a reminder about 1600 briefing on North Korea.
Bird then asked about policy on satellite launches by North Korea and policy on that.
Horse answered with “briefing”, etc...
@Mrs00Clean001 : yeah, curious what went on in that 1600 briefing and what the situation is. Ether way, North Korea situation sucks, because if satellites get launched = better targeting and weapons capability for the evil troll that runs that sad, ravaged, country. 
2. Bird said he is bringing this up again, and asked about Israel prisoner women being held in deplorable conditions, some of whom are young and are growing up in prison with no hope of rehabilitation or re-integration into society. He asked if it bothered the Horse that Israel, the ally, is doing this and if he could please bring the question up regarding the cases.
Horse responded that he knew nothing about these cases and that talks with allies are done regularly and he does not know anything on the subject. 
@Mrs00Clean001 : this was total new to me, and I am tempted to look into this further, as the Horse did not say he was going to bring it up or check into it as was asked. Not his job, I’m guessing, but still - human rights violations should not be allowed and must be investigated further, especially if it is a developed country where it is *supposedly* a crime.
3. Bird asked about sanctions against Iran as related to Iraq.
Horse responded that US is committed in helping Iraqi Gov’t  keep control of the fighting forces and preventing Iran from attempting to compromise Iraq independence.
@Mrs00Clean001 : I paraphrased it hard, but I think the point was that Iraq people want to stay Iraq people and keep their independence from someone like Iran, hence the sanctions against Iran since they are trying to take over.
4.Bird asked about Hwai (or whatever that huge Chinese hardware/tech company is called) 
Horse replied it is involved in a legal battle and he can’t talk about it. He then talked about unauthorized access, malicious activity and other shenanigans some vendors are forced to engage in by the Nation in control and that each vendor must be evaluated for risks.
Follow up question from Bird was about Energy sector and if it will be warned against using chines tech.
Horse responded that in a matter of national security every vendor must be rigorously tested and evaluated for risks.
@Mrs00Clean001 : paraphrased this one - hard. Accents were very thick even if English was phenomena.
5. Bird asked about US/UN/France/Britain adding another name to terrorist list - <not adding the name of a terrorist here - look it up yourself, if you want>.
Horse responded with a name of a terror group, as per UN, that is responsible for terrorist acts and <newly-listed terrorist> was the founder.
@Mrs00Clean001 : yeah, founding a terrorist organisation should absolutely land you on some lists and hopefully eventually caught and tried to the fullest extent of the Law.
6. Bird asked about Pakistan arresting 44 people for terrorism and the feelings on the subject.
Horse responded that US noted this action and urged Pakistan to make this a sustainable thing and not sheltering or supporting terrorists.
@Mrs00Clean001 : more accents and big words were spoken here. Overall, time will tell what happens with Pakistan and their terrorism issues...
7. Bird asked about journalist being deported from Venezuela.
Horse responded that it is good.
@Mrs00Clean001  : i think this was something along the lines of it’s good the journalist is safe.
8. Bird asked, saying that this question will be coming up again soon, about Kongo and human rights abuses of people getting executed without trials.
Horse responded that more information was needed.
@Mrs00Clean001 : journalist said more people were going to be executed soon as more trials were ongoing. WTF. Might have to look this one up too.
8. Bird asked about Nicaragua and Catholic Church being a witness to peace talks.
Horse responded that peace dialog facilitated by the Catholic Church was good.
@Mrs00Clean001 : trying not to mess up on the word too badly here, I think the response was extremely in support of peace talks.
10. Bird asked about Syria and 1000 ISIS brides and should their children be punished for the crimes of parents.
Horse responded that organisations on the ground in Syria are trying to do their best to keep children safe, etc...
@Mrs00Clean001 : this one broke my heard, especially when the journalist pointed out that children growing up in refugee camps will simply turn into more terrorists. Not sure what the solution is here, well none of the options are very good and ether way - poor children!
11. Bird asked about <something I didn’t catch> and why it took 6 days to release info.
Horse responded that he was just coming back from a business trip and, etc... Ended with saying him and his team will do better in the future.
@Mrs00Clean001 : this one was kind of funny and the journalist ended up sounding like an entitled **** and the State Department Communications team ended up sounding semi-lazy.
12.Bird asked about Russia and it’s S500 developments and the US policy on that.
Horse responded that the policy on that did not change.
@Mrs00Clean001 : this one is really sad and scary (S500 are short-range missiles) - the arms-race is back on and hopefully we can avoid world war three, as I doubt humanity will survive it very well (or at all).
13. Bird asked about Zimbabwe and extension of sanctions and impeding country’s progress.
Horse answered  that these are targeted sanctions, that renewed on 4th of March, as sanctions renew yearly. Then he explained the targeted were individuals and organisations with human rights abuses, etc.. and that political and economic overhaul was not done to prevent this, so sanctions were not lifted of those specific people and organisations.
@Mrs00Clean001 : more ugliness with human rights abuses... and a lot of paraphrasing.
14. Bird asked about Afghanistan and talks with Taliban.
Horse said there were no updates from yesterday and the talks were still ongoing. Talked about how US is committed to continuing the talks.
@Mrs00Clean001 : ..... 
15. Bird asked about some sort of Riyadh report.
Horse responded he did not know what report it was.
Bird asked about Finnish journalist receiving women of bravery award.
Horse responded that it was a mistake and journalist was notified of the award erroneously. Said Embassies submitted names of journalists and they then picked winners in an manner they were not going to disclose.
@Mrs00Clean001 : not sure what this was about, but might look it up. Mistakes *are* sometimes funny :)
The End.
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xtruss · 2 years
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Russia & China Seeking to Become Leading Space Powers, US Defense Intelligence Agency Claims
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— Kirill Kurevlev | April 12, 2022
WASHINGTON (Sputnik) — Russia and China seek to become leading space powers and intend to create new global space norms to undercut the United States' global leadership, the US Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) said on Tuesday.
"Beijing and Moscow seek to position themselves as leading space powers, intent on creating new global space norms. Through the use of space and counterspace capabilities, they aspire to undercut US global leadership," the agency said in a new report on US challenges to security in space.
Moreover, the report noted that the combined space fleet of Russia and China grew by 70% between 2019 and 2021, while from 2015-2018, the two countries collectively increased their fleets by more than 200%.
“Between 2019 and 2021, the combined operational space fleets of China and Russia have grown by approximately 70 percent. This recent and continuing expansion follows a period of growth (2015–2018) where China and Russia had increased their combined satellite fleets by more than 200 percent,” DIA said in the report.
According to the press release upon the report's publication, in general, the document outlines that space and counterspace threats constitute a serious threat to the US and its allies. It not only focuses on Chinese and Russian capabilities in development, but it also studies North Korea's and Iran's space threats.
According to the report, both China and Russia have built "robust and capable" space capabilities, including intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance from space.
Furthermore, according to the agency, current systems, such as space launch vehicles and satellite navigation constellations, are being steadily improved.
"These capabilities provide their militaries with the ability to command and control their forces worldwide and also with enhanced situational awareness, enabling them to monitor, track, and target US and allied forces," the document reads.
The agency concluded that Chinese and Russian space surveillance networks can locate, track, and characterize satellites in all Earth orbits, with both space operations and counterspace systems supported by this capability.
Both countries are also working on jamming and cyberspace capabilities, directed energy weapons, on-orbit capabilities, and ground-based anti-satellite missiles with a variety of reversible and irreversible effects, according to the DIA.
US Advantage in Space Encourages Russia & China to Challenge It
"The advantage the United States holds in space—and its perceived dependence on it—will drive actors to improve their abilities to access and operate in and through space," the report noted.
"Chinese and Russian doctrine indicate that they view space as important to modern warfare and view counterspace capabilities as a means to reduce US and allied effectiveness," the senior official said, per the press release. "China views space superiority as part of the ability to control the information sphere and that is a key component of modern warfare."
At the same time, according to the officials, Russia "sees space as a warfighting domain, and winning the battle in orbit will be decisive in future warfare."
Also on Tuesday, the senior defense analyst for space and counterspace for the agency, Keith Ryder, claimed that Russia and China have plans to explore and exploit the natural resources of the moon and Mars over the next 30 years.
"Both nations seek to broaden their space exploration initiatives together and individually, with plans to explore the moon and Mars during the next 30 years, and if successful, these efforts will likely lead to attempts by Beijing and Moscow to exploit the moon's natural resources," Ryder said during a press briefing.
The United States, China, and Russia respectively are the countries with the most functioning satellites. American leadership poses "a challenge" to Russia and China, according to DIA officials, who expect them to continue developing countermeasures to American capabilities.
According to the DoD official also quoted in the release, when Americans think of space, they think of NASA and space exploration, but they do not consider everything that space has to offer in their daily lives. The GPS constellation, which is managed by the country's Air Force, enables the application on handheld devices that "gives directions, calls rideshare cars or locates a lost package."
"Space is fundamental to US prosperity," the Pentagon official said. "The United States harnesses the benefits of space for communications, financial transactions, public safety, weather, agriculture, navigation and more. Additionally, there is a wave of exciting commercial technologies and investments in space that are expanding the potential opportunities, the benefits we can all enjoy."
Earlier in the day, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the US sanctions on the country's space industry, imposed after it started the special military operation in Ukraine in late February, are an attempt to curb the development of Russia.
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adityarana1687-blog · 3 years
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Software Defined Radio Market Predicted To Surpass $39.6 Billion By 2027
The global software defined radio market size is expected to reach USD 39.6 billion by 2027, registering a CAGR of 8.7% from 2020 to 2027, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. Software defined radio (SDR) continues to evolve technologically as it helps in the transmission and reception of long-range signals with high frequency. It provides advantages while addressing issues pertaining to the limitations of spectrum and wireless communications. Moreover, technologies have matured, which are now enabling software defined radio implementations that have wide bandwidth applications delivering high-quality services. Military modernization activities carried out in several countries such as U.S., Japan, Germany, South Korea, and Australia with a focus on enhancing their communication systems are expected to drive the SDR market growth over the forecast period.
It is projected that SDR would act as a base technology for the delivery of telecommunication services such as digital TV, radio broadcasts, and video streaming channels in the near future. SDR comes in two forms—modulation and flexible frequency range, and waveform and agile frequency range. The former is commonly implemented since it does not require any alteration to the hardware. For instance, modern mobile wireless systems are generally implemented under this pattern. The frequency selection generally needs a carrier frequency under the required range, which is normally achieved through a local oscillator. Moreover, SDR is increasingly being adopted for carrying out 5G mobile network trials in the spectrum band of 3.5 GHz and 25 GHz, which is anticipated to provide lucrative opportunities to market players.
Rising demand for efficient transmission devices influences SDR applications. The commercial growth of software defined radio is driven by the re-configurability and interoperability of SDR for different applications. The Europe market is projected to grow at a significant rate, and would primarily be driven by the increasing need for data centers to fix issues pertaining to data flow. The software defined radio market is flourishing due to an increase in LTE/4G and wireless services offered by telecom companies. Extensive spending on R&D activities in countries such as Australia, Russia, and U.S. is more likely to result in efficient services offered by key players through the forecast period.
To request a sample copy or view summary of this report, click the link below: www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/software-defined-radio-sdr-market
Further key findings from the report suggest:
Cognitive radio is projected to emerge as the fastest-growing segment over the forecast period as it is used in applications such as location tracking, spectrum sensing, and spectrum allocation
Software is expected to register the highest CAGR over the forecast period. This is attributed to the increasing adoption of SDR in software radio access networks (RAN), which consists of a single hardware platform that supports multiple wireless communication standards and protocols
Ground-based SDR systems are witnessing a surge in demand owing to the implementation of ground station receiver with Single Antenna Interference Cancellation (SAIC) technique
UHF band frequency segment is expected to register a significant CAGR over the forecast period owing to its increasing usage in aerospace and satellite communications
Commercial is anticipated to emerge as the fastest-growing end use segment owing to the adoption of SDRs in health monitoring systems such as Wireless Body Area Networks (WBAN)
The Asia Pacific market is anticipated to witness significant growth owing to the adoption of SDRs by government agencies for the development of communication networks such as Government Radio Network (GRN) by the Chinese government in the city of Beijing
The key players in the software defined radio market include Collins Aerospace Systems; Harris Corporation; Elbit Systems Ltd.; L3 Technologies, Inc.; BAE Systems; Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.; Datasoft Corporation; Raytheon Company; and Northrop Grumman Corporation.
Grand View Research has segmented the global software defined radio market on the basis of type, component, frequency band, platform, end use, and region:
Software Defined Radio Type Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2016 - 2027)
General Purpose Radio
Joint Tactical Radio System
Cognitive Radio
TETRA
Software Defined Radio Component Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2016 - 2027)
Hardware
Software
Service
Antenna
Transmitter
Receiver
Others
Software Defined Radio Platform Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2016 - 2027)
Ground
Naval
Airborne
Space
Software Defined Radio Frequency Band Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2016 - 2027)
HF Band
VHF Band
UHF Band
Others
Software Defined Radio End-Use Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2016 - 2027)
Aerospace & Defense
Telecommunication
Public Safety
Commercial
Others
Space
Military
Software Defined Radio Region Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2016 - 2027)
North America
Europe
Asia Pacific
Latin America
MEA
U.S.
Canada
U.K.
Germany
India
China
Japan
Australia
Brazil
Mexico
About Grand View Research
Grand View Research, Inc. is a U.S. based market research and consulting company, registered in the State of California and headquartered in San Francisco. The company provides syndicated research reports, customized research reports, and consulting services. To help clients make informed business decisions, we offer market intelligence studies ensuring relevant and fact-based research across a range of industries, from technology to chemicals, materials and healthcare.
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someshd95 · 3 years
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Commercial Drones Market 2020 Industry Outline, Global Executive Players and Benefit Growth to 2027
Commercial Drones Market is a professional and a meticulous report which focuses on primary and secondary drivers, market share, leading segments and geographical analysis. It endows with an analytical measurement of the main challenges faced by the business currently and in the upcoming years.
Furthermore, the recent developments, product launches, joint ventures, mergers and acquisitions employed by the several key players are explained well by systemic company profiles covered in this wide ranging market report. Being a detailed market research report, Commercial Drones Market report gives business a competitive advantage. All this data and information is very significant to the businesses when it comes to define the strategies about the production, marketing, sales, promotion and distribution of the products and services. Commercial Drones Market report gives key measurements, status of the manufacturers and is a significant source of direction for the businesses and organizations.
Global Commercial Drones Market is expected to rise from its initial estimated value of USD 3.96 billion in 2018, to a projected value of USD 17.04 billion by 2026, registering a CAGR of 20% in the forecast period of 2019-2026. This rise in market value can be attributed to growth in the technological offerings resulting in advanced and innovative products.
Market Definition: Global Commercial Drones Market
Commercial drones are unmanned aerial vehicle that have been equipped with the capability of visual imaging capturing and recording devices and equipments, as these drones are used for capturing images and recording videos of various terrains. The usage of drones has increased significantly due to its benefits associated with capturing and reaching places with ease and providing improved visual aids.
Market Drivers:
Increasing adoption of commercial drones for a number of end-use applications, majorly from the agricultural segment for the visualization and analysis of land area is expected to act as a driver for the market growth
Increased levels of investments and research activities associated with commercial drones from private and government sources; this factor is expected to act as a driver for the market growth
Market Restraints:
Availability of substitutes to drones such as satellites and other imaging alternatives are factors expected to restrain the market growth
High cost of drones and requirement of high capital investments for the maintenance of these drones; this factor is expected to restrain the market growth
To Understand How COVID-19 Impact is covered in this Report. Get Sample Copy of the report@ https://www.databridgemarketresearch.com/request-a-sample/?dbmr=global-commercial-drones-market
Segmentation: Global Commercial Drones Market
By Drone Type
By Offering
By Application
By Geography
Rotary Blade Drones
Multi-Rotor Drones
Single Rotor Drones
Fixed Wing Drones
Hybrid Drones
Others
Software & Services
Hardware
Government & Defense
Agriculture & Environmental
Energy
Media & Entertainment
Construction & Archaeology
Others
North America
South America
Europe
Asia-Pacific
Middle East and Africa
US
Canada
Mexico
Brazil
Argentina
Rest of South America
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Spain
Russia
Turkey
Belgium
Netherlands
Rest of Europe
Japan
China
South Korea
India
Australia
Singapore
Malaysia
Indonesia
Thailand
Philippines
Rest of Asia-Pacific
South Africa
Egypt
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Israel
Rest of Middle East and Africa
Key Developments in the Market:
In June 2018, GE Ventures announced the launch of a startup based out of Boston, United States named AiRXOS. With the company focused on providing commercial drone software and product solutions to the consumers and industries. The startup is a joint venture between two of GE’s business divisions, GE Business Innovations and GE Aviation.
In August 2017, 3D Robotics and DJI announced that they had collaborated to integrate 3D Robotics’ Site Scan software for drones compatible with DJI’s drones. This venture will help in providing consumers the best that both the organizations can offer.
Competitive Analysis: Global Commercial Drones Market
Global commercial drones market is highly fragmented and the major players have used various strategies such as new product launches, expansions, agreements, joint ventures, partnerships, acquisitions, and others to increase their footprints in this market. The report includes market shares of commercial drones market for global, Europe, North America, Asia-Pacific and South America.
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Major Market Competitors/Players: Global Commercial Drones Market
3D Robotics; DJI; Aeryon Labs Inc.; Parrot Drones SAS; Aurora Flight Sciences; Denel SOC Ltd; Draganfly Innovations Inc.; Northrop Grumman Corporation; Lockheed Martin Corporation; Elbit Systems Ltd.; General Dynamics Corporation; AeroVironment, Inc.; Leptron Unmanned Aircraft Systems, Inc.; PrecisionHawk; YUNEEC; Trimble Inc.; INSITU; senseFly; Xiaomi; Sentera, Inc.; AiRXOS, a GE venture; QUADROCOPTER; Identified Technologies are few of the major competitors currently present in the market.
The Commercial Drones market research report covers definition, classification, product classification, product application, development trend, product technology, competitive landscape, industrial chain structure, industry overview, national policy and planning analysis of the industry, the latest dynamic analysis, etc., and also includes major. The study includes drivers and restraints of the global market. It covers the impact of these drivers and restraints on the demand during the forecast period. The report also highlights opportunities in the market at the global level.
The report provides size (in terms of volume and value) of Commercial Drones market for the base year 2019 and the forecast between 2020 and 2027. Market numbers have been estimated based on form and application. Market size and forecast for each application segment have been provided for the global and regional market.
This report focuses on the global Commercial Drones market status, future forecast, growth opportunity, key market and key players. The study objectives are to present the Commercial Drones market development in United States, Europe and China.
It is pertinent to consider that in a volatile global economy, we haven’t just conducted Commercial Drones market forecasts in terms of CAGR, but also studied the market based on key parameters, including Year-on-Year (Y-o-Y) growth, to comprehend the certainty of the market and to find and present the lucrative opportunities in market.
In terms of production side, this report researches the Commercial Drones capacity, production, value, ex-factory price, growth rate, market share for major manufacturers, regions (or countries) and type.
In terms of consumption side, this report focuses on the consumption of Commercial Drones by regions (countries) and application.
Buyers of the report will have access to verified market figures, including global market size in terms of revenue and volume. As part of production analysis, the authors of the report have provided reliable estimations and calculations for global revenue and volume by Type segment of the global Commercial Drones market. These figures have been provided in terms of both revenue and volume for the period 2020 to 2027. Additionally, the report provides accurate figures for production by region in terms of revenue as well as volume for the same period. The report also includes production capacity statistics for the same period.
With regard to production bases and technologies, the research in this report covers the production time, base distribution, technical parameters, research and development trends, technology sources, and sources of raw materials of major Commercial Drones market companies.
Regarding the analysis of the industry chain, the research of this report covers the raw materials and equipment of Commercial Drones market upstream, downstream customers, marketing channels, industry development trends and investment strategy recommendations. The more specific analysis also includes the main application areas of market and consumption, major regions and Consumption, major Chinese producers, distributors, raw material suppliers, equipment providers and their contact information, industry chain relationship analysis.
Inquire Before Buying This Research Report: https://www.databridgemarketresearch.com/inquire-before-buying/?dbmr=global-commercial-drones-market
The research in this report also includes product parameters, production process, cost structure, and data information classified by region, technology and application. Finally, the paper model new project SWOT analysis and investment feasibility study of the case model.
Overall, this is an in-depth research report specifically for the Commercial Drones industry. The research center uses an objective and fair way to conduct an in-depth analysis of the development trend of the industry, providing support and evidence for customer competition analysis, development planning, and investment decision-making. In the course of operation, the project has received support and assistance from technicians and marketing personnel in various links of the industry chain.
The Commercial Drones market competitive landscape provides details by competitor. Details included are company overview, company financials, revenue generated, market potential, investment in research and development, new market initiatives, global presence, production sites and facilities, production capacities, company strengths and weaknesses, product launch, product width and breadth, application dominance. The above data points provided are only related to the companies’ focus related to Commercial Drones market.
Prominent players in the market are predicted to face tough competition from the new entrants. However, some of the key players are targeting to acquire the startup companies in order to maintain their dominance in the global market. For a detailed analysis of key companies, their strengths, weaknesses, threats, and opportunities are measured in the report by using industry-standard tools such as the SWOT analysis. Regional coverage of key companies is covered in the report to measure their dominance. Key manufacturers of Commercial Drones market are focusing on introducing new products to meet the needs of the patrons. The feasibility of new products is also measured by using industry-standard tools.
Key companies are increasing their investments in research and development activities for the discovery of new products. There has also been a rise in the government funding for the introduction of new Commercial Drones market. These factors have benefited the growth of the global market for Commercial Drones. Going forward, key companies are predicted to benefit from the new product launches and the adoption of technological advancements. Technical advancements have benefited many industries and the global industry is not an exception.
In this study, the years considered to estimate the market size of Commercial Drones are as follows:
Historic Year: 2017-2020
Base Year: 2019
Forecast Year 2020 to 2027
Reasons to Purchase this Report:
Market segmentation analysis including qualitative and quantitative research incorporating the impact of economic and policy aspects
Regional and country level analysis integrating the demand and supply forces that are influencing the growth of the market.
Market value USD Million and volume Units Million data for each segment and sub-segment
Competitive landscape involving the market share of major players, along with the new projects and strategies adopted by players in the past five years
Comprehensive company profiles covering the product offerings, key financial information, recent developments, SWOT analysis, and strategies employed by the major market players
(**NOTE: Our analysts monitoring the situation across the globe explains that the market will generate remunerative prospects for producers post COVID-19 crisis. The report aims to provide an additional illustration of the latest scenario, economic slowdown, and COVID-19 impact on the overall industry.)
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Table of Content:
PART 01: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
PART 02: SCOPE OF THE REPORT
PART 03: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
PART 04: INTRODUCTION
Market outline
PART 05: MARKET LANDSCAPE
Market ecosystem
Market characteristics
Market segmentation analysis
PART 06: MARKET SIZING
Market definition
Market sizing 2021
Market size and forecast
PART 07: FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
Bargaining power of buyers
Bargaining power of suppliers
Threat of new entrants
Threat of substitutes
Threat of rivalry
Market condition
PART 08: MARKET SEGMENTATION BY PRODUCT
Global Commercial Drones market by product
Comparison by product
Market opportunity by product
PART 09: MARKET SEGMENTATION BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL
Global Commercial Drones market by distribution channel
Comparison by distribution channel
Global Commercial Drones market by offline distribution channel
Global Commercial Drones market by online distribution channel
Market opportunity by distribution channel
PART 10: CUSTOMER LANDSCAPE
PART 11: MARKET SEGMENTATION BY END-USER
Global Commercial Drones market by end-user
Comparison by end-user
PART 12: REGIONAL LANDSCAPE
Global licensed Commercial Drones market by geography
Regional comparison
Licensed Commercial Drones market in Americas
Licensed Commercial Drones market in EMEA
Licensed Commercial Drones market in APAC
Market opportunity
PART 13: DECISION FRAMEWORK
PART 14: DRIVERS AND CHALLENGES
Market drivers
Market challenges
PART 15: MARKET TRENDS
PART 16: VENDOR LANDSCAPE
Overview
Landscape disruption
Competitive scenario
PART 17: VENDOR ANALYSIS
Vendors covered
Vendor classification
Market positioning of vendors
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dailytechnologynews · 6 years
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Top Ten Predictions FOR 2050
Autonomous vehicles become widespread – this should happen well before 2050 in developed countries (perhaps by 2030). The global road toll, currently over one million deaths a year, will eventually decline by 90% or more. Car ownership will continue for rise for a time (especially in poorer countries) then eventually start to decline. More efficient, autonomous, Uber-like taxis come to dominate road systems. Owning a personal car will eventually be much more expensive (especially as human drivers become increasingly hard to insure). ‘Flying’ versions (of the sort recently trialled in places like Dubai, like small electric helicopters) slowly emerge as well, albeit reserved for the very wealthy.
Other wealthy people and car enthusiasts will continue to own (regular) cars a long way into the future (like horses today). However in many countries, humans may eventually be banned/severely restricted from driving on public roads due to safety concerns (despite how unimaginable this may seem today). In the developed world at least, one of the last holdouts will be the US, as conservative politicians trumpet the rights of law-abiding car owners.
The space program takes off, but slowly – given current plans (especially by private companies like SpaceX and Blue Origin) I would give at least 50% odds we will have a man on Mars by 2030 (only 12 years away). In just the last few years SpaceX in particular has proven the feasibility of reusable rockets. Pretty much all the requisite technologies are now here and the pace will slowly pick up as costs come down.
By 2050 several countries/major companies are likely to have space stations in Earth orbit, bases on the Moon and even Mars. Like bases in Antarctica today, these will mainly serve research and tourism purposes (plus a purely geopolitical one in staking out future territory i.e. the US and China build separate bases on the moon and then each claim a hemisphere). More probes will continue to be sent to the outer solar system. The earliest human missions to Jupiter or Saturn space may be in their early stages by 2050. Early efforts to mine the resources of the asteroid belt may be under way. Space-based solar power might have become a reality around Earth (though I suspect that, like nuclear power before it, the public will be sufficiently terrified by the thought of giant space lasers that plans will be stymied even if the experts say the safety concerns are greatly exaggerated). Space elevators remain impractical.
The world successfully finds new sources of energy and copes with climatic changes – for decades many people (some of them highly educated) have predicted that something akin to ‘peak oil’ was imminent and that shortly afterward the world might plunge into a Mad Max-style dystopia. This is unlikely. Not only have the world’s oil, coal and natural gas reserves proven to be vast enough to likely last us generations, but even if all fossil fuels vanished tomorrow, the world has enough uranium to supply our energy needs for thousands of years. CO2 levels will continue to rise and with it global temperatures will continue to tick upwards. However, the industrial capacity and ingenuity of the human race rises much faster. In 2018 your odds of dying from a natural disaster are an order of magnitude less than in 1900. This trend will continue.
The world’s urban population doubles between 2010 and 2050 (from 3.5 to 7 billion). Major coastal cities eventually construct elaborate flood levees as sea levels rise maybe two or three feet by the end of the century. Even in poorer countries, better infrastructure majorly cuts down on deaths due to disease, famine, floods, storms and other disasters (in the long run earthquakes remain the most unpredictable and thus the most dangerous). The predicted ‘climate refugees’ largely fail to eventuate, though millions are always seeking to enter the first world to find higher paying work, especially as automation ramps up and ‘cheap labour’ is no longer the powerful driver of growth it once was.
Fossil fuels remain the primary source of energy in 2050. However, solar, wind, nuclear and now fusion power plants are rapidly coming on line. By 2050 several record breaking tunnels, including from Sicily-Tunisia and Korea-Japan, have been constructed. A number of buildings over 1km tall have been built, with the highest (likely built in a prestige-hungry African country) surpassing 1.5km.
Major confrontations between the US and China over Taiwan and the South China Sea – there will almost certainly be at least one more (and possibly several) sequels to the 1st, 2nd and 3rd ‘Taiwan Strait Crises’. This could take many forms. It might start with a Chinese blockade of the island, or an attempt to seize another, more minor Taiwanese asset (Taiping Island in the Spratlys stands out for instance, or possibly Kinmen and Matsu closer to the mainland). One such scenario is depicted here
Hard to be specific but I would predict better than 50% odds you will see Chinese and US warships shooting at each other at some point. However, I also think the odds are very low it will escalate into WW3. As both sides have nuclear-tipped ICBMs and the American and Chinese homelands are sufficiently far apart battles are likely to be confined to sea, air and fairly remote islands (though space and cyberspace are also likely). Other countries like Japan and Australia could easily get involved.
Hostilities may last for years but the eventual death toll will probably be in the thousands rather than the millions. More dire scenarios see a physical Chinese land invasion of Taiwan (though it is hard to see this succeeding) or a major escalation whereby one side tries to shoot down the other’s satellites, causing a chain reaction that destroys more or less everything in LEO. This, or a China-US trade embargo (10X worse than the current ‘trade war’) plus a prolonged shutdown of seagoing trade in the S. China Sea would cause severe economic disruption. However, again, probably no nukes and no WW3. My ultimate guess is that the US Navy prevails and in 2050 Taipei is still independent of Beijing (indeed – probably openly so).
Global politics will realign as demographic change and economic growth sees the rise of certain countries – in broad strokes this is fairly obvious, but we can take a stab at a few specifics. Despite earlier fears of runaway growth the global population is expected to increase from today’s 7.5 billion to maybe 10 billion in 2050 and thereafter stabilize. Also, despite much misinformation and fear-mongering the world today is much richer and healthier today than ever before.
The existing western world will maintain its dominance for some time yet. The United States in particular is projected to have healthy population growth well into the future. The US population should be around 400 million by 2050 (albeit increasingly diverse) and still third in the world (though Nigeria might overtake them towards the end of this century).
China since 1980 is the obvious model for other poor countries (though worth noting their streak of ‘10% annual GDP growth’ burned out in 2010, they have averaged 6-7% since). India’s economy is now growing faster than China’s and its population will overtake theirs by 2025 but it is starting from a much lower base. Despite many predictions, I suspect the US will remain no.1 in GDP at least until 2030 and will still be 1st or 2nd in 2050 (with China the only real competitor).
A complete implosion of China is possible. This could be caused by an economic crisis or a failed military venture abroad which destroys the legitimacy of the communist party and sparks a revolution calling for democratic and other reforms. Perhaps in tandem with this, North Korea implodes and is reunified with South Korea (this is unlikely to occur without a major change in China first, given their status as essentially a buffer state with the US-backed south).
One possible state that stands out as a future superpower is the ‘East African Federation’, an intended evolution of the existing ‘East African Community’ that now includes Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda and South Sudan. At present these states are very poor, with a combined GDP smaller than New Zealand. However, they are now growing at 6% a year. Linked by Swahili as a common lingua franca they are expected to have a population of 410 million by 2050 and 800 million by 2100 – not far behind India and China. If their political integration succeeds and their economic growth continues, the EAF could emerge as a major world power by mid-century.
Population declines and changing resource markets will cause the decline of other countries - on the flip side to the above, countries like Japan and Russia have a bleak demographic outlook. Russia in particular with anaemic economic growth and a growing Muslim minority may face substantial internal instability. The decline of oil (either due to the spread of new technologies or simply a global shortage) will also contribute. The country could even collapse entirely as depicted here
Individual European states face demographic and (relative) economic decline. However if the European Union survives as an institution (I would give better than 50% odds) its combined population of 450 million (even without the UK) and historical economic strength should help it remain a major world power well into the century. The anglosphere countries will continue to benefit from the rise of English to the global lingua franca.
In 2050 I suspect the Middle East, as in 2018 or indeed 1950, will continue to be something of a war-torn shithole. The brewing cold war between Sunni-Saudi Arabia and Shia-Iran is just beginning. Both could eventually get nukes (and then things get real interesting). The decline of oil, increasing calls for democracy/secularism/modernisation and ongoing ethnic tensions will all ensure continued chaos. An independent Kurdistan is likely to become a reality eventually. Turkey, now resurgent and by far the strongest country in the region, could take advantage of the weaknesses of the Arab states to advance south into its historical realm of influence (the entire region having been controlled by them until 1918).
On the whole Africa’s economic outlook is now improving and its demographics indicate that 40% of the world will be African by 2100. However, they still have a long way to go. Major wars, revolutions, epidemics and other disasters are likely to strike numerous times before then as they have in the previous 60 years since the withdrawal of the European colonial powers. I suspect in the next decade or two racial tensions in South Africa will also come to a head and the white minority will be forced to flee the country, i.e. Rhodesia in the 1980s.
Neural implants evolve from today’s smartphones – As we went from room-sized computers to PCs to laptops to smartphones (and maybe smartwatches and smartglasses as well) the ultimate result will be unobtrusive brain-computer interfaces that will quickly become universal (if not exactly mandatory – but trying staying employed without one). As with past computer technologies, the earliest adopters (from maybe the late 2020s) will be tech enthusiasts, time-pressed businessmen, and the young. Over another decade or so they will spread to the rest of the population in developed countries (with some inevitable holdouts, generally the elderly with little appetite to embrace more technologies and those with religious or other objections). Poorer countries (though now catching up) will be another decade or two behind. However, even in darkest Africa neural implants will probably be arriving by 2050 or so, as electricity and the internet already are today.
So what is a neural implant? Think of a smartphone but one that bypasses your ‘traditional’ senses. Rather than looking at a screen or listening via speakers, information will be beamed directly into your neocortex. Images/text/sounds and possibly other sensations will simply appear in your vision/hearing. This would apply to everything. When you walk down a shopping strip advertisements will flash up in your vision. When you want to communicate with someone, text/audio/video messages can be wordlessly exchanged via a little box popping up in the corner of your field of view. You can browse the global internet, check the weather, etc simply via thought commands. You can set a morning alarm that will wake up nobody but you! It’s at least as big a revolution in our lives as everything internet-related since 1990.
Of course, all this would come with staggering privacy concerns (i.e. the government or someone else being able to hack into your very nervous system and observe what you sense/observe – or perhaps even being able to ‘take control’ themselves depending on the nature of the implant). However, society finds ways to deal with these concerns, as we already have carrying smartphones around in our pockets. Expect to see a few neural-implant-Edward-Snowdens.
Major enhancements to the human body, either through gene therapy or surgery, start to become possible – neural implants are one thing, but just one element of our shift into what are essentially cyborgs. Artificial organs are already on the horizon. Designer babies are well on the way. Genetic doping in sports is probably already around. Genetically modified crops are already decades old.
Want to guarantee your kids will grow to be at least six foot? Have perfect vision and teeth? Such gene therapy will eventually not only be permitted, but calls will abound to make it free and universal (like education or healthcare today). On the plus side, our children and grandchildren will increasingly be free of the heavy burdens of genetic disease. On the other hand, if everyone’s kid has a perfect smile and can learn to play the violin with ease – how else does one stand out? Major social problems typical of a ‘modern’ society, such as obesity and drug abuse, will finally start to reverse after decades.
Of course, inequality will be a problem. Just as it is the world’s wealthy offspring who have access to braces or laser eye surgery today, the poor will have to do with their ‘natural’ bodies until such breakthroughs spread. A heart attack will prove fatal to an old man in Africa. In Europe it may mean the installation of a new heart and another decade of life. However, this is just the beginning.
Anti-aging efforts start to bear fruit – this one has many question marks attached, but I would expect that substantial progress will eventually be made. Global life expectancy is now 72 years, up from 67 in the year 2000 or 48 in 1950. Most of this has been as the ‘low-hanging fruit’ of vaccines, improved sanitation and nutrition and other changes have finally spread to the third world.
Modern medicine tells us the human body is an immensely complicated machine. Slicing and dicing our DNA is still proving immensely hard. Nonetheless, aging doesn’t seem to be an immutable law (like breaking the light barrier or time travel or anything). Once our understanding of the human body is sufficiently advanced, reversing every aspect of the aging process seems very possible. Maybe I’m falling into the usual trap of hoping for such developments before I get old (I will be nearing 60 in 2050) but I suspect we might finally be getting close. However, for a task of this magnitude, we might have to wait for the next step – the breakthrough to end all breakthroughs.
The singularity – this is the biggest question mark of all. While I feel the world until 2050 is relatively foreseeable (barring a nuclear war, solar flare, etc) the rise of superintelligent AIs is an event so overwhelming as to put all other predictions in doubt. Even if Moore’s law slows it is unlikely to stop, and current trends put the capabilities of silicon computers well ahead of anything our puny human brains can do by mid-century.
Suffice it to say I think the worst predictions about the singularity are unlikely to come to pass. Most apocalyptic scenarios about an AI taking over the world see a massive divide between that AI and the puny humans of 2018 (or earlier). By 2050 many humans will already be well on their way to becoming cyborgs. AIs of all shades will have been developed, doing everything from playing chess matches to playing the stock market. The gap between a ‘superintelligent’ AI and the rest of the world won’t be nearly as great, decreasing the odds that a single rogue entity will be able to hold the rest of the world hostage to its pre-programmed whims.
Nonetheless, the proliferation of superintelligence will strain every institution of our modern world. Major, apparently unassailable concepts like democracy and capitalism and the superiority of human life will come under question. Why bother with the cumbersome nature of a democratic legislature or the chaos of a free market, if a perfect AI can make better decisions? Why respect the world’s existing governments, if all their armies and weapons have suddenly been made obsolete by some godlike alliance of AIs? Why even bother with the ‘real’ world at all, if you can transfer your brain patterns to a hard drive smaller than your thumb and inhabit whatever virtual reality you please? In a world where humans as we’ve known them for the past 100,000 years have suddenly become obsolete, whatever will our silicon offspring do next?
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ebenpink · 5 years
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Military And Intelligence News Briefs -- January 30, 2019 http://bit.ly/2FZU4Vg
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FBI Director Christopher Wray; CIA Director Gina Haspel and Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats arrive with other U.S. intelligence community officials to testify before a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on "worldwide threats" on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., January 29, 2019. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts
Reuters: U.S. spy chiefs break with Trump on many threats to U.S. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - China and Russia pose the biggest risks to the United States and are more aligned than they have been in decades, U.S. intelligence leaders told senators on Tuesday, in testimony that repeatedly contradicted President Donald Trump’s statements on global threats. While Beijing and Moscow seek to expand their global reach, Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats said, some American allies are pulling away from Washington in reaction to changing U.S. policies on security and trade. Read more ....
Military And Intelligence News Briefs -- January 30, 2019
Spy chief says Russia will attempt to interfere in 2020, contradicts Trump on North Korea's denuclearization, ISIS defeat -- FOX News U.S. intelligence chief breaks with Trump on North Korea, Iran, ISIS -- Politico Key intel assessments appear to be at odds with U.S. policy -- CBS Top U.S. intelligence official warns of danger from 'no-deal' Brexit -- Reuters Dems reintroduce bill to prevent nuclear first strike without congressional approval -- The Hill Pentagon quiet on Venezuela options -- Military Times Pentagon to send a 'few thousand' more troops to southern border -- The Hill Launch-and-Landing Failures Add to $13 Billion Ship’s Troubles -- Bloomberg Why the Abraham Lincoln is waging a (virtual) war at sea -- Navy Times Marine Corps distributing 1,300 new night vision devices at bases -- UPI Marine Corps' CH-53K King Stallion Sucking up More Money & Time -- Bloomberg Lockheed Martin Defends Troubled F-35 After Acting Pentagon Chief's Criticism -- Sputnik Lockheed CEO: Boeing’s F-15X won’t disrupt F-35 program -- Defense News Lockheed: F-35A Cost To Drop Below $80 Million Per Fighter In 2023 -- USNI News Honeywell awarded $85.7M for C-5 software, hardware support -- UPI After a rough 2018, Army recruiting is trying to turn around both its strategies and its notorious culture -- Army Times A look inside the work, future of Jim Mattis' task force focused on infantry, close combat -- Military Times Will Space Force Boost Already-Rising Spending on Satellites? -- Marcus Weisgerber, Defense One Shanahan has identified top pick to lead Space Command -- Defense News US will boost security ties with Taiwan, says ‘ambassador’ as he warns mainland China to stop strong-arm tactics -- SCMP US naval chief: American and Chinese navies in talks to cut risk of South China Sea miscalculation -- SCMP US accuses Russia, China of lack of transparency on nuclear programmes -- SCMP US Spy Plane Conducts Reconnaissance Close to Syrian Border, Russian Bases -- Sputnik US Development of New Warhead Increases Risk of Nuclear War - Lavrov -- Sputnik NATO-member Denmark to hike military spending to 1.5 percent of GDP -- Reuters 'Under Pressure': Trump Twists Copenhagen's Arm to Up Defence Spending -- Sputnik Retired South Korean generals: Our country is in 'crisis' -- UPI Report: U.S., South Korea agreed on 'early settlement' of troop costs -- UPI Japan approved for $2.15B buy of Aegis Ashore missile defense systems -- UPI Israeli Air Force starts training German Heron TP drone pilots -- Defense News IRGC General Vows to Defend Disputed Islands in the Gulf, Slams US Presence -- Sputnik Iran shows off new weapons to mark anniversary of Islamic Revolution -- UPI American military superiority will fade without bold national action -- Kelly Ayotte and Bradley Bowman, The Hill US would be crippled by an EMP attack, which we pioneered nearly 60 years ago -- Morgan Wright, The Hill from War News Updates http://bit.ly/2DKCXo1 via IFTTT
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un-enfant-immature · 6 years
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U.S. targets 2020 for the creation of a Space Force
In a speech before the Department of Defense at the Pentagon today, Vice President Mike Pence outlined the broad contours of the new Space Force that the Trump Administration wants to create as the sixth branch of the U.S. military.
Emphasizing the need to both further militarize and privatize space as a new war-fighting domain, Pence stressed that the new branch of the military is targeted for a 2020 implementation date. The administration is pushing for $8 billion in new space spending.
“While other nations increasingly possess the capability to operate in space, not all of them share our commitment to freedom, private property and the rule of law,” said Pence. “As we continue to carry American leadership in space, so also will we carry America’s commitment to freedom into this new frontier.”
Pence cited threats from North Korea, Russia, China and Iran to the safety of the U.S. space program.
Newer threats include the Chinese government’s 2007 launch of a satellite-destroying missile and the development of hypersonic missiles that can evade U.S. missile defense capabilities. The Chinese government has set up a separate division within its own military to address space as a war-fighting domain, Pence said. “Our adversaries have transformed space into a war-fighting domain already.”
“It is not enough to have an American presence in space. We must have American dominance in space,” Pence said quoting the president. “What was once peaceful and uncontested is now crowded and adversarial.”
To advance its goals of creating the new Space Force, the Trump Administration had commissioned the Department of Defense to issue a report on the necessary steps to create the new military branch.
The creation of a new branch of the military — the first since the Air Force was created in the wake of World War II in 1947 — could require a significant reorganization of the Pentagon. And some officials within the military and national security communities fiercely oppose the idea. The Air Force in particular is opposed to the idea, because it might lose key responsibilities. The proposal would also need Congressional approval.
In a report that will be issued later today, the DOD outlined four steps.
The first is the creation of a United States Space Command that will coordinate the nation’s space-fighting capabilities. Pence likened it to the special operations command established in the eighties that provided unified command and control capabilities for mobilizing terrestrial air, sea and land forces. “This new command structure for the physical domain of space, led by a four star flag officer will…. develop the space warfighting doctrine and tactics of the future.”
As part of the space plan, the Department of Defense will also create a new space operations force that will be “an elite group of joint war fighters specializing in the war-fighting domains of space,” according to Pence. They’ll support the space combat and command and carry out space missions.
Third, a new joint organization called the Space Development Agency will be created to develop new technologies for the space force. “While our adversaries have been busy weaponizing space, we have been bureaucratizing it,” Pence said. He pointed to the creation of the intercontinental ballistic missiles and the Navy’s nuclear fleet as examples of American military innovation and achievement from past initiatives.
(It’s a good thing he didn’t bring up the Air Force’s “half-a-trillion dollar drone boondoggle” of a new fighter plane.)
Finally, the process of creating the new organization will require oversight, which will include the creation of a new civilian position that will report to the secretary of defense, Pence said. That position will be called the assistant secretary of defense of space.
“Just as we’ve done in ages past, the United States will meet the emerging threats on this new battlefield,” Pence said. “The time has come to establish the United States Space Force.”
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