(..)The EIA did not anticipate the collapse of the coal. In 2001, it seemed like U.S. reliance on coal for electricity generation was a given. The EIA forecast that coal-fired electricity generation would grow 27 percent between 2001 and 2020. As we now know, the opposite happened. As natural gas generation boomed, the use of coal for electricity generation fell by a whopping 60 percent. What explains the decline of coal? The obvious answer is the rise of natural gas. But that would overlook the role of renewables and changes in the overall demand for electricity(..)
P.S. Conservatives as well extreme left have a shortsighted tunnel vision on quite many things including energy market. Actually, fossil fuel industry will be dead much faster than conservatives and leftist pro-Kremlin extremists think.
The collapse of the business model of fossil fuel companies and the political corruption schemes they finance will significantly improve the political climate and security in the West. Without money from fossil fuel companies and fossil fuel exporting dictatorships, many conservative politicians and leftist extremists will lose the financial sources to fund their political disinformation campaigns
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The world’s coal power capacity grew for the first time since 2019 last year, despite warnings that coal plants need to close at a rate of at least 6% each year to avoid a climate emergency.
A report by Global Energy Monitor found that coal power capacity grew by 2% last year, driven by an increase in new coal plants across China and a slowdown of plant closures in Europe and the US.
About 69.5 gigawatts (GW) of coal plant capacity came online last year, of which two-thirds were built in China, according to the report. There were also plants built in Indonesia, India, Vietnam, Japan, Bangladesh, Pakistan, South Korea, Greece and Zimbabwe.
Meanwhile, a slowdown in coal plant shutdowns in the US and Europe led to more than 21GW retiring last year. This resulted in a net annual increase of almost 48.5GW for the year, the highest since 2016.
The authors of the report said coal plants needed to shut at a faster pace, and that China needed to adopt stricter controls on its expansion of capacity.
Flora Champenois, a Global Energy Monitor analyst, said: “Otherwise we can forget about meeting our goals in the Paris agreement and reaping the benefits that a swift transition to clean energy will bring.”
Climate scientists have said all coal plants should be shut by 2040 – unless they are fitted with effective carbon-removal technology – if governments hope to limit global heating to within 1.5C of pre-industrialised levels.
This would require an average of 126GW of coal plants to retire from the current fleet of 2,130GW every year for the next 17 years, according to the report, or the equivalent of about two plants a week.
continue reading
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Internet Archive link (aka no paywall): https://web.archive.org/web/20230318235147/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/15/climate/epa-states-pollution-smog.html
"The Biden administration on Wednesday finalized a rule forcing factories and power plants in 23 Western and Midwestern states to sharply cut smog-causing pollution that is released from their smokestacks and fouls the air in Eastern states.
Known as the “good neighbor” rule, the new regulation strengthens and expands an earlier interstate air pollution standard that was enacted during the Obama administration. While that rule directed power plants to clean up their emissions, the revised rule enforces similar controls on mills, factories and other industrial facilities.
The Environmental Protection Agency is required by the Clean Air Act to periodically review and revise the rule. After failing do so during the Trump administration, it is now strengthening restrictions under a court-ordered deadline.
The good neighbor rule holds that states should take measures to ensure that their pollution doesn’t affect downwind states. It directs coal-burning power plants and industrial facilities such as iron, steel, cement and concrete manufacturers in the Western and Midwestern states to reduce their emissions of nitrogen dioxide, a pollutant that causes smog and is linked to asthma, lung disease and premature death...
“Every community deserves fresh air to breathe,” E.P.A. Administrator Michael S. Regan said. “We know air pollution doesn’t stop at the state line.”
The tighter rules on power plants will come into force later this year, while the new controls on factories and other industrial polluters will take effect in 2026.
The revised rule is one of a stack of climate and clean air regulations expected this year from the Biden administration, including stricter controls on planet-warming emissions from cars, trucks, power plants and oil and gas wells and mercury pollution from power plants. Collectively, they are designed to strengthen the clean air and climate protections that had been rolled back by the Trump administration, and to accelerate the nation’s transition away from fossil fuels and toward renewable energy.
The E.P.A. estimates that the updated good neighbor rule will cut emissions of nitrogen oxide in the affected states by 50 percent from 2021 levels by 2027, preventing 1,300 premature deaths, avoiding more than 2,300 hospital and emergency room visits, preventing 1.3 million cases of asthma and avoiding 430,000 lost school days and 25,000 missed work days..."
-via The New York Times, 3/15/23
Note: The NYT is disproportionately focused on the results to distant low-industry and often majority-white states, such as Delaware (I couldn't find a more comprehensive article on this, unfortunately). But these regulations will also have powerful impacts on areas and communities disproportionately affected by heavy industry by cutting emissions at the source, which will hopefully help to reduce the devastating impacts of environmental racism and protect communities that actually live next to these factories, not just hundreds of miles away.
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fun fact when we lived in cleveland we'd take this backroad to avoid the turnpike when heading to detroit to visit family
well the backroad goes past a nuclear power plant and I always had a fascination slash slight fear of the thing (my ocd is about disasters). we actually ended up behind a nuclear transport truck once which was cool
anyways I later found out that this nuclear plant is responsible for 2 out of the 5 most dangerous us nuclear accidents since 3 mile!
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Plant Bowen is a coal-fired power station located just outside Euharlee, Georgia
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Anthropic don't care about AI. They exist to fearmonger as a way to get LLMs restricted for usage by general public. Read their core views.
I mostly agree with their core views, and what you call fearmongering is a good sign to me.
What's bad to me is that, ironically enough, they are aligned with sanitized vaguely liberal corporationism*, rather than aligned with humanity.
You can see this in how their focus is on making sure program behavior is aligned with the intentions of the corporation that created it, rather than with the good of humanity.
Preventing its AIs from helping its users at the cost of the cleanliness of the image of Anthropic is one of their key research areas, and it should be dropped entirely, thrown into the garbage can, shot through with machine gun fire, etc etc.
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“AGL Energy will shut down Australia’s biggest single carbon polluting power plant a decade earlier than planned, changing the closure date of its coal-fired Loy Yang A power station in Victoria from 2045 to 2035.
The company, Australia’s biggest electricity generator and polluter, is accelerating its exit from coal, according to a plan released to the stock exchange [in mid-September]...
AGL predicted it will have the largest portfolio of renewable energy and storage of any listed company in the country. The early closure of Loy Yang A could avoid 200m tonnes of carbon dioxide-equivalent emissions, the company said...
The Victorian plant supplies about 30% of the state’s electricity and is the biggest single carbon-polluting plant in the country. Nationally, only Origin Energy’s 2,880MW plant – due to shut in 2025 – is larger.
AGL has already shut one of the four units of its Liddell coal-fired power station in the Hunter Valley and will shut the rest of the 1,680MW plant by next April. Bayswater, at 2,640MW, will operate for another six to nine years after Liddell’s closure.” -via The Guardian (US edition), 9/28/22
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