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#original screenplay my pick and prediction is anatomy of a fall
hudbannonarchive · 2 months
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also oscars picks and predictions ig. best actor i'm picking cillian and i obvi think he'll win. i think the slate is kind of weak this year tbh he's giving the best perfromance (rustin notwithstanding bc i haven't seen it) of the nominees THAT said i'd be rooting for leo if he'd been nominated. best actress i'm picking lily gladstone and i'm tentatively predicting her as well. if emma stone wins i'll be disappointed but not surprised. best supporting actor i'm rooting for mark ruffalo i think he gives the best performance tbh but i would take anyone over robert downey jr. who is is my prediction. weakest performance in the category and it's not even close. one of the weakest performances in oppenheimer tbh and there are some bad ones. best supporting actress i'm rooting for da'vine joy randolph and she is also my prediction. best director I'm picking scorsese and predicting nolan. best picture my pick is killers of the flower moon and i predict oppenheimer will win.
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final-girlboss · 4 months
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So @sounds-of-some-day and I have been trying to watch as many movies we felt would be nominated at the Oscars this year, and now with the official nomination list, I can't say I'm shocked but I'm definitely disappointed.
If Maestro wins a single Oscar (save for maybe Sound), I'll be incredibly upset. Never seen a more haphazardly slapped together, desperate film before, and I think Bradley Cooper's begging for an Oscar is starting to get incredibly annoying.
Killers of Flower Moon was mid at best, but I wouldn't be upset with it winning Costuming, or with Lily Gladstone winning Best Actress (even if I personally feel Sandra Hüller was the standout actress this year both in Anatomy of a Fall and The Zone of Interest). Shocked to see that Margot Robbie wasn't nominated for Barbie however, she was truly the standout performance in that movie and I really feel like she deserves one at this point (she was previously passed over for I, Tonya, which she truly deserved it for in my opinion).
I truly hope Anatomy of a Fall wins something (Original Screenplay seems to be the most likely), because it was such an incredible film. Past Lives, as well, because it did not go where I thought it would and it was such a breath of fresh air, as well as bringing a unique perspective to the idea of destined lovers. I'll be a little pissed about May December winning, mostly because the producers didn't ask for permission to tell the story of the real person and events their story was based on.
I'm tickled to see Nimona nominated for Animated, even though I know it won't win (not that I'm begrudging Spiderverse or Boy and the Heron for this, they're both incredible movies).
I can see Barbie getting Production Design, and I honestly wouldn't be upset with that at all. Though, knowing the Academy, it's usually the historical pieces that win these categories. If Napoleon wins, I'll be incredibly upset.
If Maestro wins Makeup and Hairstyling, I'll walk into the fucking ocean. That fake nose prosthetic was so bad and distracting and it made Cooper sound incredibly nasal-y and awful. Or maybe he was doing that on purpose to sound deeper and it just sounded like shit instead. Regardless, I think it's the worst pick for this category.
Disheartened by the lack of Metro Boomin in Best Song. The Spiderverse soundtrack was breathtaking, and Metro and the rest of the musicians worked incredibly hard on the incredible songs such as Am I Dreaming and Annihilate. Barbie getting two songs nominated...I understand I'm Just Ken was a funny song with a creative dance number, and the emotion and story of finding yourself in What Was I Made For are both really good, but it should have been one or the other.
TLDR; Oscars stay predictably boring and disappointing.
Side note, in December I was able to watch The Iron Claw; INCREDIBLE movie, I cried at least 4 times while watching it. Not a single nomination. Sorry but Zac Efron's role was far better than Bradley Cooper's shit ass Maestro. Please watch The Iron Claw.
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bargainmatinee · 2 months
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Oscars Recap
I was worried that it was going to be a long night when the show started 10 minutes late, especially after how they touted a start time of 4 pm (Pacific) instead of the usual 5:00. And then Kimmel’s opening monologue seemed a bit lengthy on top of that. Thankfully they settled in and moved things along at a brisk pace after that.
I ended up getting 17 out of 23 of my predictions correct. Would have been 18 if I went with my heart and picked Emma Stone (who deserved the win IMHO), but I thought for sure Lily Gladstone was taking it. I also missed on Original Screenplay, which I didn’t see going to “Anatomy of a Fall” at all, so that was a shocker to me.
Highlights:
“Godzilla Mine One” was my favorite movie of the year, and I thought the effects were truly outstanding so I was thrilled to see that win.
Ryan Gosling’s performance may be the greatest thing to ever happen on the Oscar stage. Truly epic.
As I mentioned in my last post, I didn’t think Cillian Murphy or RDJ deserved to win for their performances this year, but I love them both in everything they do so I’m not mad at it, just wish they would have won for other (better) movies.
John Cena and the combo of Schwarzenegger and DeVito delivered the best presentations of the night. So funny.
All in all a great show this year over all.
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heywoodsays · 2 months
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2024 Oscar Predictions
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People may very well remember 2024 as the years big movies came back. That the front runner for Best Picture is the third-highest grossing film worldwide, bringing in close to $1 billion is a huge shift from the patterns of recent years, where victors like Nomadland and CODA were launched from streaming services.
Box office champions like Oppenheimer and Barbie were critical and artistic successes. Smaller films like Poor Things and The Zone of Interest were still grand in nature. But there was still room for more intimate films like Past Lives and Anatomy of a Fall.
In the articles ahead, I'll provide my take on who’s likely to walk away with this year’s Oscars. Spoiler alert: It’ll be a big night for Oppenheimer, but enough prizes to go around so the year’s best still get some recognition.
Predicted tally:
Oppenheimer — 8
Barbie — 2
American Fiction — 1
Anatomy of a Fall — 1
The Holdovers — 1
Killers of the Flower Moon — 1
Maestro — 1
Poor Things — 1
The Zone of Interest — 1
Next: International Feature ►
2024 OSCAR PICKS | FEATURES AND SHORTS: International Feature | Animated Feature | Documentary Feature | Live Action Short | Animated Short | Documentary Short | TRADE CRAFTS: Cinematography | Film Editing | Production Design | Costume Design | Makeup and Hairstyling | Sound | Visual Effects | Original Score | Original Song | TOP CATEGORIES: Original Screenplay | Adapted Screenplay | Supporting Actor | Supporting Actress | Actor | Actress | Director | Picture | TOP 10 FILMS OF 2023
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bisamwilson · 2 months
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mak's 96th oscar picks
hello and welcome to my 96th oscar picks! if you're new here, this is the second year in a row i've completed the "death race" and watched every movie nominated for an oscar! (you can find my rating and either a joke or real review on my letterboxd, as well as a ranking of all the narrative feature length films i've watched that released in 2023 if you're interested). the list below is mostly for me to just have in the future to look back on post show tbh
anyways, below is every award listed in the order they appear on the 2024 oscars wikipedia page, with my preferred winner, my preferred runner up, any snubs i'm angry about if applicable, anything i'd be angry about winning if applicable, AND what i think is going to win, regardless of my feelings! note: just bc i have something i prefer winning doesn't mean it's necessarily my personal favorite of the category. for example, i think zone should take international film, but i personally liked perfect days better
anyways, here's my picks for this year's academy awards!
BEST PICTURE:
my preferred winner: oppenheimer
my preferred runner up: the zone of interest
nominee i'd be actively angry if it won: maestro, barbie
snub i'm still upset about: spider-man: across the spider-verse
my predicted winner: oppenheimer
BEST DIRECTOR:
my preferred winner: christopher nolan, oppenheimer
my preferred runner up: jonathan glazer, the zone of interest
snub i'm still upset about: celine song, past lives
my predicted winner: christopher nolan, oppenheimer
BEST ACTOR:
my preferred winner: cillian murphy, oppenheimer
my preferred runner up: colman domingo, rustin
snub i'm still upset about: andrew scott, all of us strangers
nominee i'd be actively angry about: bradley cooper, maestro
my predicted winner: cillian murphy, oppenheimer
BEST ACTRESS:
my preferred winner: lily gladstone, killers of the flower moon
my preferred runner up: sandra hüller, anatomy of a fall
snub i'm still upset about: greta lee, past lives and cailee spaeny, priscilla
nominee i'd be actively angry about: annette benning, nyad and carey mulligan, maestro
my predicted winner: lily gladstone, killers of the flower moon
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
my preferred winner: robert downey, jr., oppenheimer
my preferred runner up: sterling k. brown, american fiction
snub i'm still upset about: charles melton, may december
nominee i'd be actively angry about: mark ruffalo, poor things
my predicted winner: robert downey, jr., oppenheimer
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
my preferred winner: da'vine joy randolph, the holdovers
my preferred runner up: danielle brooks, the color purple
snub i'm still upset about: sandra hüller, the zone of interest
nominee i'd be actively angry about: jodie foster, nyad and america ferrera, barbie
my predicted winner: da'vine joy randolph, the holdovers
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
my preferred winner: anatomy of a fall
my preferred runner up: past lives
nominee i'd be actively angry about: maestro, may december
my predicted winner: anatomy of a fall
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
my preferred winner: american fiction
my preferred runner up: oppenheimer
snub i'm still upset about: the killer, all of us strangers
nominee i'd be actively angry about: barbie, poor things
my predicted winner: american fiction
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
my preferred winner: spider-man: across the spider-verse
my preferred runner up: the boy and the heron
snub i'm still upset about: teenage mutant ninja turtles: mutant mayhem
my predicted winner: the boy and the heron
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM:
my preferred winner: the zone of interest
my preferred runner up: perfect days
snub i'm still upset about: the promised land
nominee i'd be actively angry about: the teacher's lounge
my predicted winner: the zone of interest
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM:
my preferred winner: four daughters
my preferred runner up: to kill a tiger
snub i'm still upset about: kokomo city
nominee i'd be actively angry about: eternal memory
my predicted winner: 20 days in mariupol
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM:
my preferred winner: the last repair shop
my preferred runner up: nǎi nai & wài pó
nominee i'd be actively angry about: the abcs of book banning
my predicted winner: the abcs of book banning
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM:
my preferred winner: the wonderful story of henry sugar
my preferred runner up: invincible
nominee i'd be actively angry about: the after
my predicted winner: the wonderful story of henry sugar
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM:
my preferred winner: ninety-five senses
my preferred runner up: our uniform
nominee i'd be actively angry about: war is over! inspired by the music of john and yoko, letter to a pig
my predicted winner: war is over! inspired by the music of john and yoko
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
my preferred winner: ludwig göransson, oppenheimer
my preferred runner up: ludwig göransson, oppenheimer but a second time
nominee i'd be actively angry about: literally any nominee that isn't ludwig göransson, oppenheimer
my predicted winner: ludwig göransson, oppenheimer
BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
my preferred winner: "i'm just ken" - barbie
my preferred runner up: "what was i made for?" - barbie
snub i'm still upset about: dear alien (who art in heaven) - asteroid city
nominee i'd be actively angry about: "the fire inside" - flamin' hot
my predicted winner: "what was i made for?" - barbie
BEST SOUND:
my preferred winner: the zone of interest
my preferred runner up: oppenheimer
snub i'm still upset about: ferrari
nominee i'd be actively angry about: maestro
my predicted winner: oppenheimer
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
my preferred winner: poor things
my preferred runner up: barbie
snub i'm still upset about: asteroid city
my predicted winner: poor things
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
my preferred winner: oppenheimer
my preferred runner up: killers of the flower moon
nominee i'd be actively angry about: maestro, el conde
my predicted winner: oppenheimer
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
my preferred winner: poor things
my preferred runner up: society of the snow
snub i'm still upset about: priscilla
nominee i'd be actively angry about: maestro, golda
my predicted winner: maestro
BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
my preferred winner: barbie
my preferred runner up: napoleon
my predicted winner: barbie
BEST FILM EDITING:
my preferred winner: oppenheimer
my preferred runner up: anatomy of a fall
nominee i'd be actively angry about: the holdovers
my predicted winner: oppenheimer
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
my preferred winner: the creator
my preferred runner up: godzilla minus one
snub i'm still upset about: oppenheimer
nominee i'd be actively angry about: guardians of the galaxy vol. 3
my predicted winner: godzilla minus one
and that's every category! if you made it this far, i'm shocked tbh, but interested to hear your thoughts as well!
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