IkeSen JP Mid-Term Results
I haven’t seen anyone share this other than EN’s ranking, so here you go! I always find it amusing, depending on the fanbase, how we all feel about the warlords.😂
Using last year’s results, this ranking is as follows:
Mitsuhide has reclaimed his number one spot. Ieyasu dropped from 1st to 5th. Ouch. Masamune, Kenshin, and Nobunaga each went up one spot. These warlords continue to be the top 5 favorites.
Kanetsugu continues to defend his 6th place. Kichou has gone up three from 10th place, mostly due to his route release. Hideyoshi remains at 8th place, as well.
Yukimura dropped from 7th place to 9th this year. Mitsunari dropped down one spot to 10th. Motonari and Shingen remain in 11th and 12th.
Sasuke moved up one spot. Ranmaru moved up two from 16th to 14th. Yoshimoto dropped down two spots. Kennyo is once again climbing out of last place by going up one spot. And, Keiji drops two places to become this year’s last place.
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Holy shit, I think it's gonna come down to a Georgia runoff again.
Dems had 36 seats not up for election
They won all their safe seats, California, Oregon, Washington, Illinois, New York, Vermont, Connecticut, Maryland [brings them up to 44]
Scahtz is almost certainly gonna win in Hawaii, another safe seat that just hasn't been called yet [45]
Bennett won in Colorado, which was right on the cusp between safe and competitive, so that's a good sign [46]
Mark Kelly is winning handily in Arizona, an unexpected 60-40 landslide so far, a major blow for Republicans in what was a deep red state for decades under McCain and Goldwater before him [47]
Fetterman is ahead of Oz in Pennsylvania, not by a huge margin but enough that a recount probably wouldn't change things [48]
Against the odds, Hassan held onto New Hampshire despite her opponent being endorsed by the very popular Republican governor Sununu who also won his own race; this is an even better sign than Colorado considering Republicans have made up a ton of ground in New Hampshire these last few cycles [49]
Nevada is anybody's game, no results at time of writing (little past midnight eastern), not even preliminarily. Zero votes reported on any news sites yet; possible repeat of 2020, could be days before we know the results. Cortez Masto was about as likely to win as Hassan in New Hampshire, so maybe just maybe she can eke by
Georgia is neck and neck. I fully expected Herschel Walker to win in a 55-45 landslide because Georgia is like Florida and can't be trusted to do anything right, but Raphael Warnock is holding his own and has even pulled ahead by a fraction of a percent. It'll be recounted, but I don't think either of them will limp to 50%, so it'll go to another runoff in January for all the marbles!
If either Warnock or Cortez Masto can hold their seats, the Senate will stay deadlocked 50-50, status quo antebellum, not ideal, but workable. If they both hold, that gives Democrats the tiniest ounce of wiggle room because then they'd only have to wrangle Manchin OR Sinema instead of both. This is nowhere near the bloodbath I feared it would be, but it's not the refutation of right-wing extremism I hoped for either.
God, please let things be clearer in the morning. Please don't let Mitch McConnell become majority leader again. We can afford to lose the House, but losing the Senate would be game over for decades, no more judges, none, zilch, nada. The worst a Republican led House can do is impeach Biden, but that's meaningless now after Trump's twofer, and any select committees they create would be toothless with the Dems in control of the DOJ. They would have bargaining power to shut down the government and fuck with the budget, but what else is new? We're not gonna default on our debts; they can only cry wolf so many times before we get wise and ignore them.
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Until recently, the pundit narrative about the 2022 midterm elections was that this would be a bad year for Democrats.
Republicans took that prediction seriously and responded by nominating extremist candidates wherever possible. After the GOP US Supreme Court tossed out 49 years of safe abortion, Republicans in state legislatures went on a rampage of abortion restrictions and bans.
But a backlash has erupted. The terrible GOP candidates nominated for US Senate seats have revealed themselves to be wildly inept. The House January 6th Committee public hearings provided new evidence of the Republican Trump administration’s efforts to engineer a coup d’état. And widespread outrage has spread across the US in reaction to Republican efforts to end reproductive freedom.
Veteran journalist Jeff Greenfield takes these things into consideration and regards the 2022 midterms as more unpredictable and uncertain than what the conventional wisdom has been telling us.
That sound you heard late Tuesday night was the collective dropping of jaws and twisting of necks of the political class, watching a state that had last elected a Democrat to the Senate in 1932 (that’s not a typo, 1932), overwhelmingly vote to keep abortion legal. That landslide, along with turnout numbers in early August approaching Presidential election levels, suggests to Democrats that they may have found the issue that will turn the feared “red wave” into a trickle come November.
Or… maybe not.
[ ... ]
American voters could send a small army of new Republicans to Congress, putting a brick wall in front of the Biden agenda and likely launching a chaotic new wave of investigations and Washington finger-pointing. But they might not—and if they don’t, the Democratic president could spend the next two years shaping the country with a small, battle-scarred but ambitious majority.
We’ve been hearing ad nauseum that the non-presidential party *always* loses seats in a midterm election. People repeat that without knowing what they’re talking about.
First of all, there’s no such thing as historical determinism. As the saying goes: past performance is no guarantee of future results. do’h!
Secondly, there are too many exceptions to that to consider it a concrete rule. In the 1998 midterms, Democrats under President Bill Clinton gained 5 seats in the House and had a draw with Republicans in the Senate. In the 2002 midterms, Republicans under President George W. Bush picked up 8 seats in the House and 2 seats in the Senate.
One may say that 1998 and 2002 were unusual. But who is claiming that 2022 is a normal year?
Mr. Greenfield puts the law of averages in perspective.
[I]t is true that the party in the White House loses an average of 26 House seats and four Senate seats — a number that would easily hand both chambers back to the GOP. But that’s a bit like saying that if you put Bill Gates in a room with nine homeless people, their average wealth is $10 billion.
Democrats have a lot of good things to run on in 2022, but have voters noticed them?
Are any of the infrastructure projects promised in last year’s bill up and running? Has broadband come to rural America? Are the roads, bridges, rail lines a reality? (This is no criticism; it just takes time for major projects to move forward.) Will prescription drug prices have come down in 100 days? Will the air and water be any cleaner? As a matter of substance, Democrats will have plenty of talking points. As a matter of political impact…we just don’t know.
Of course there’s that new gorilla in the room: the A-word.
The question for Democrats is whether they can make GOP candidates stand-ins for a vote on abortion — for instance, by pushing them to take a stand on a federal abortion ban. Indeed, Democrats will likely try to “nationalize” the issue by arguing that “a vote for a Republican Congress is a vote to ban abortion.”
The question is whether that will override concerns over crime, inflation, and other issues that favor Republicans. The answer is…we don’t know.
And Donald Trump refuses to leave the scene. As he becomes more of an embarrassment to Republican office holders, his high profile pumps up the Democratic base.
While Trump didn’t manage to wreak vengeance on all of his targets, the primaries so far showed that the 45th president still dominates his party.
This is the fourth election in a row (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022) where Trump is a factor. At least some Republicans are getting tired of him while Democrats are getting more skillful at attacking his weaknesses.
There are times when it’s possible to divine the outcome of a midterm well in advance. Before Obama was even inaugurated in 2009, his economic team’s gloomy forecast of a slow, halting recovery led David Axelrod to exclaim “we’re gonna get our asses whipped in the midterms.” He was right.
The Kansas abortion vote is just the latest sign that this is not one of those times. History still points to a good night for Republicans. But sometimes, history takes the night off.
When Democrats are united and well organized (2006, 2008, 2020) they do well. The Republican war on reproductive freedom and the continuing danger of Donald Trump have provided deep incentives to repeat those previous efforts.
The people of Kansas have demonstrated what a powerful weapon the vote is. We should not hesitate to use it and make sure like-minded people use it as well later this year.
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Midterm Election report: Florida swings overwhelmingly Republican
Midterm Election report: Florida swings overwhelmingly Republican
By Basil Pursley & Caspian Rizzo
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) has secured re-election by a landslide. DeSantis’ victory was declared with 88% of the votes in. DeSantis won with 59.5% of the votes (4,568,386) 1,510,885 ahead of Charlie Crist, leaving many Democrats disappointed.
During his victory speech, DeSantis proclaimed a victory over “woke ideology” and claimed that Florida is setting an…
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