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insidethegiftbasket · 3 years

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Red Sox (33-23) at Yankees (31-26)

Friday – 7:05pm on YES and MLBN: Nathan Eovaldi (6-2, 4.01 ERA) vs Michael King (0-2, 2.86 ERA)

Saturday – 7:15pm on FOX: Eduardo Rodriguez (5-4, 5.64 ERA) vs Jameson Taillon (1-4, 5.10 ERA)

Sunday – 7:08pm on ESPN: Garrett Richards (4-2, 3.75 ERA) vs Domingo German (4-3, 3.27 ERA)

Boston Pitching

The Red Sox come to the Bronx with the 12th best ERA+ in baseball (110), thanks in part to allowing the fewest homers in the league (.7 home runs/game allowed.) While none of their starters jump off the page at you with their numbers or their stuff, they’ve been able to do just enough on the mound to get the Sox to a winning record. They actually have the second lowest FIP in the league (which is fielding independent pitching) thanks to a low homer rate but a decent amounts of hits allowed (8.5 hits a game allowed) but have left the fourth most batters on base. They also have the worst defensive efficiency in the majors—only 66% of balls in play end up as outs, and they have the fourth worst outs above average allowed with -11 OAA and an additional 9 runs they cost themselves. Their outfield isn’t terrible: -2 OAA defensively, but the infield is a disaster at -9 OAA. This could play into the Yankees hands as they’ve been known to hit a lot of grounders.

Starting the first game of the series is a very, very weird statistical case in Nathan Eovaldi. Eovaldi has bounced back the last couple years to be the above average pitcher he’s typically been, but it’s been done in a really weird way. His HR/9 has gone from 2.1 in 2019, to 1.5 in 2020, to .1 HR/9 in 2021, despite throwing his four seam fastball nearly half the time right down the pipe.

He throws a 97mph four seamer with a ton of horizontal break (49% more horizontal movement vs the average four seamer) and mixes in a slider vs righties and a curve against lefties, but despite having really good stuff, he rarely gets strikeouts (39th percentile in strikeouts) and rarely gets swings and misses (32nd percentile in whiff rate.) So you have a guy with really good stuff that hitters are teeing off of, but not hitting homers: he’s allowed the fewest homers in the majors (1) of any qualified pitcher, but has allowed the 36th most singles (36), the third most triples (3), and the third most doubles (17). His platoon split this year is also way below his career norms—lefties this year have a .565 OPS, which is over .200 points lower than his career numbers, almost entirely because people stopped hitting his curveball (.121 SLG against this season is over .500 points lower than in 2019.) Boston is a good team, and this season they’re having isn’t a fluke, but I’d wager that Eovaldi’s season has been a fluke.

On the flip side, Game Two starter Eduardo Rodriguez has had some brutal luck this year. After missing last year due to myocarditis complications from the coronavirus, E-Rod has pitched to a 5.64 ERA, but his xERA is 2.93. He has a BABIP allowed of .374 which is the worst in the majors of any pitcher who’s pitched 50 innings.

E-Rod is a guy that throws mostly straight pitches—he has a four seamer that sits around 92mph, a cutter with less movement than normal, a decent change up, a sinker, and then every once in a while he’ll mix in a slider. The fastball has been a good pitch for him this year, but his change up and cutter are getting put into play too much (seven extra base hits in 29 balls in play for his cutter this year.)

Garrett Richards is starting Sunday night, and after his career was mostly derailed from injuries, the once-promising starter has turned into a perfectly acceptable middle of the rotation guy. He’s really a two pitch pitcher—fastballs and sliders against righties, fastballs and curveballs against lefties, and his stuff features a lot of vertical drop- an extra 5 inches of drop on the slider, and an extra 10.6 inches on the curveball. He gets a ton of spin on the fastball and the curve (95th percentile on fastball spin rate and 100th percentile in curveball spin rate) which would be super awesome if he could actually locate his pitches. He only strikes out 20% of batters he faces, and walks 12% of hitters he faces, and it doesn’t matter how much spin or movement you have on your pitches when your heat map looks like this:

Also, in Richards’ career vs the Yankees: 0-5 with a 8.42 ERA, 1.20 K/BB ratio, and Yankees hitters have a .870 OPS against him in seven starts. Between the three starters and the bad defense, this might be a chance for the Yankees bats to wake up.

Since I’m sure people are wondering as well, a quick dive into Adam Ottavino this year—still awful against lefties, but has been really good against righties (.087/.263/.109). Allowing some of the weakest contact in the majors but also walking a ton of guys as well. He’s basically having the same level of success as he did at the end of the 2019 season, and I’m sure he’s going to make the Yankees look silly this weekend since our lefty options are Gardy, Wade, and Odor.

Boston Hitting

After a shockingly bad 2020 season offensively, the Sox are right back to being a good offense—they’re 7th in OPS+, thanks to having the third best batting average in the league. They don’t walk ever (second to last in walks) and are right around league average in strikeouts and home runs, but they put the ball in play and get a ton of doubles—they have 16 more doubles than the second place team does and nearly twice as many as the Yankees do. Boston has been getting by with a stars and scrubs approach however—the top guys in their lineup (JD Martinez, Devers, Bogaerts, and Verdugo) have really been carrying the load for their offense.

After an awful 2020 season, J.D. Martinez is back to his normal destroyer of worlds self. He always mentioned that the pandemic was really messing with him mentally, and this year he’s been perfectly fine—162 OPS+ is right in line with his previous All Star seasons going back to his days in Detroit, and really anything in the zone is getting hammered.

Best bet with him right now is to pound everything low and away and throw in the occasional inside heater, especially because he has a high chase rate (15th percentile.) He’s been worth 17 runs above average on pitches in the zone, which is second in the major leagues behind Vladito, and he’s near the tops in every hitting category. The Yankees are going to have to be ready to get through the top of the order and have their best relievers ready to deal with them.

#New York Yankees #Yankees #Boston Red Sox #Red Sux #Fuck Boston #Fuck Altuve #Alex Cora is a cheater #Boston is a dumpster city filled with trash people #Sorry AJ it's true

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100dailywords · 5 years

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I did not leave the house today, and it was great. I had a day of rest but I also got things accomplished. BB and I made a good breakfast, started work on my dice box, made an awesome dinner for the household, and watched some Letterkenny. It was a really, really good day. Yesterday was hella busy so having a day in was really needed. Only 33 days until we really begin moving and in so excited. I’ll have a space to create and I’ll have someone I love to come home too. I look forward to lazy Sunday’s.

#100 words #one hundred words #lazysunday #good times

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inkykeiji · 3 years

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i...i....just wanna yell at daddy Sukuna first thing in the morning... tell him that i want pancakes and his cock and i want it now! and then squeal and run away when he says to watch my mouth... ehehehehee 😈 also feel better clari I hope u have a great rest of your day. I am totally cool with u answering asks 1 day a week too!

ANON LMAO DO YOU HAVE A DEATH WISH?????

oh my god hehehehe you know Daddy sukuna wouldn’t take tolerate that kind of behaviour, that he’d catch up to you quickly, hands encircling your hips as he pulls you back into his strong chest and whispers about how bad you’ve been first thing in the morning, and you know Daddy has to punish you for that, right?, voice dropping into a growl that rumbles against your back <3

he thinks it’s so cute, downright adorable, that you thought you’d be able to get away with such an attitude, with such disrespect, even as you’re wailing out i was kidding Daddy! i was only kidding, i swear! while his large hand connects with the raw, swollen flesh of your bottom, your face half-buried in the mattress as you try to look back at him, his other hand planted firmly on the middle of your back, pinning you to the surface. it’ll always astonish you just how much his hand hurts, the sting of his palm worse than any paddle or belt he’s ever used on you, and just how intimate it feels, to have his bare flesh colliding with yours, sharp slaps ringing out among the bedroom.

still, Daddy sukuna isn’t as strong or mean as he claims he is, weak to your teary eyes blinking up at him and falling victim to your pretty pout—because in the end, even though your ass has been spanked raw, burning and stinging with every subtle movement of your clothes as they brush against it, and your mouth has been stuffed with soap, curls of the bitter substance still stuck between your teeth from the way Daddy had shoved it in, you still get exactly what you want; to bounce on his thick cock and eat the yummiest, fluffiest pancakes money can buy <3

#I LOVE DADDY SUKUNA #I LOVE DADDY SUKUNA SOOOOOOOOO MUCH #HE MAKES ME GO FUCKING CRAZY I SWEAR #LIKE #THE DEFINITION OF FERAL ANON THE DEFINITION OF FERAL #IM GONNA LOSE IT SOON #IM GONNA WRITE A WHOLE FUCKING DADDY SUKUNA AU IN A MOMENT #THESE ASKS ARE KILLING ME IN THE BEST WAY AAAAAAAAAAH I LOVE THEM I LOVE U #i hope ur having an awesome weekend anon bb <33 ilysm please stay safe out there!!!#also thank you for your input on the asks situation!! <33 #i think i'm gonna try closing my ask box once a week (from midnight on saturday to monday morning) and use all day sunday to catch up on #what i missed during the week!! or at least try to answer as many as i can!! <333 #clari gets mail #inky.sukuna #DADDYSUKUNA #stanley queuebrick

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inkykeiji · 2 years

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CLARI UR SO CUTE WTF AWH

HEHEHEHEHE thank you anon aaaaah (*/ω＼*) u are very sweet ily <333

#eeeeeeeeee thank you thank you thank you #i rly like that outfit hehehe <333 #i hope you’re having an awesome sunday anon bb!!!#stay safe and don’t forget to drink enough water <33 #inky.bb #clari gets mail

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inkykeiji · 3 years

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hi my brain just reminded me abt a tiktok where it's the audio that's like "ahhh i sure love sunbathing on the beach. wait, what's blocking the sun?" then the person looks up and then it's the pov of mr toji fushiguro from below and his buldge is front and center

IDK IF THIS MAKES ANY SENSE I JUSY NEED ANY HELP FINDING IT OR CONFIRMATION THAT ITS A REAL THING THAT I SAW BC I CANT FIND IT ANYMORE AHDHDH

LMFAOOOOOO HAHAHAHA ANON ANON i have not seen this tiktok however i completely understand what u mean and i am dying hehehehe

#IF ANYONE HAS A LINK PLS GIVE IT TO ANON #but oh god #oh GOD #toji is just !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!#i'm fucking in love with him #like #crush me daddy #tear me to fucking SHREDS #rip me apart with ur monster cock #sorry about that anon got a lil obscene there #toji makes me WILD #clari gone wild quite literally #hahahaha well anon bb i hope u find it!! <33 #have an awesome sunday pls and stay safe ofc!! <33 #clari gets mail #stanley queuebrick

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inkykeiji · 3 years

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oooo u dye ur hair?? i just dyed my hair blue N ITS SO CUTE (but it definitely damaged my hair cause my natural hair color is brown :(( ) what’s ur natural hair color? i hate when my roots grow back 😭😭

yes, i do!!! omg blue!!!!!!! i’m so jealous, i’ve always wanted to dye my hair blue (like almost a teal type colour; tiffany blue is my favourite colour hehe) but i never got around to it :( i have had bubblegum pink tho!!! awww anon i’m sorry :(( deep condition!!! usually after i bleach my hair i actually don’t wash it until it’s crazy greasy and i can’t stand it, just to let it sit in its own oil (gross ik).

my natural hair colour is a dark strawberry blonde!! i’m really lucky in that regard because 1. my hair is light and 2. it takes REALLY WELL to bleach; like just recently we bleached it once and got it to nearly white blonde, so that’s super rad hehe <33 roots are ANNOYING!!!! i find that having a colour (like an unnatural colour) is such insane upkeep and i just blah didn’t want to do it again HAHAHA

#i don’t wear makeup (like literally; at all) & i don’t paint my nails or get them done #so all my disposable ‘beauty’ income goes to hair hehehe #hair is like #the one thing i really love/really care about out of the three if that makes sense???#like obv i take care of my nails & my skincare stuff is rly important to be bUT YEAH #to me**#aw anon i kinda wanna show u my hair :(((#but yes i’ve been dyeing my hair since i was about 14 years old!!!!#blonde + black for most of high school #then red for all of uni (worked rly well bcoz it would fade so close to my natural colour)#and then pink #and now i’m back to blonde!!! ash blonde #+ bangs #because i am irl toga #LMAOOOOOOOO jesus #but yeah!!!#ah BLUE that’s so fun!!!!!! what shade is it???#omg enjoy anon i bet it looks totally kickass #i hope ur weekend had been well so far!!!#have an awesome sunday bb <33 #stay hydrated and healthy pls!!! ilysm!!! ♡(˃͈ દ ˂͈ ༶ )#inky.bb #clari gets mail

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