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#P'ABL plays the numbers game
absolutebl · 8 months
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Hi ABL! I was hearing about the GMMTV lineup announcement, and had a question. I know that “a thai trailer does not a series make” but how many of series of the lineup would you expect… like half? Less then half? a majority of the trailers? Does it depend mostly on the interest shown by viewers for a show to get a green light?
Also I appreciated your guesses for the GMMTV lineup, I think it’s cool to see what you were expecting, even if GMMTV has a way of being completely unpredictable. This feels like the BL equivalent of a sports player draft or something haha
Ha thanks, hold on let me check the numbers...
In the BL sphere we are still waiting on 4 GMMTV BLs announced for 2023,
Cherry Magic (Thai remake)
23.5 (GL)
Cooking Crush
Last Twilight
These all may still happen, or they might happen early 2024.
In addition to those they actually made:
Our Skyy,
Boss & Babe,
Be My Favorite,
Hidden Agenda,
Moonlight Chicken,
Never Let Me Go,
My School President,
Dangeruous Romance,
Only Friends.
So out of 13 announced, 9 got made at this date.
Let's call that a 70% completion rate (Our Skyy being kinda amorphous)
Now when I say "a Thai trailer does not a series make" that doesn't necessarily apply to GMMTV since they have the most will, the most star power, and the most money. They don't rely on sponsorships as much, or to put it better, their sponsors trust them to produce product that sells placements.
Also they make these very splashy announcements. So if they then don't satisfy, the fans get mean. Just imagine if Only Friends hadn't actually been made this year?
So, my "a Thai trailer does not a series make" applies more to all the other Thai announcements and trailers.
Thailand (in general) announced c.105 BLs for 2023.
As of now, we have approx 55 BLs announced for 2023 that still remain un-unmade (or at least still in dev hell). About half those had trailers.
To date Thailand has produced c. 50 BLs for 2023. (My Universe is mucking my numbers up a lot. With 24 eps I think I should just count it as 1 12 ep BL in 2023, 1 in 2024.)
To sum up:
Thailand has a c. 50% completion rate on BLs announced to produced. +/- 5%
So GMMTV beats the main easily with their 70%.
But we hold them to a higher standard.
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