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April 14, 2024. The Metro playoff race is as follows.
NYI (37-27-16) 90 pts (80 GP) - holds M3 spot - most possible points is 92
WSH (38-31-11) 87 pts (80 GP) - holds WC2 spot - most possible points is 91
DET (39-32-9) 87 pts (80 GP) - most possible points is 91
PHI (38-32-11) 87 pts (81 GP) - most possible points is 89
PIT (37-31-12) 86 pts (80 GP) - most possible points is 90
Assuming that PHI wins v WSH on 4.16.24, gaining the maximum possible 89 points, here are the scenarios:
No team can gain more than 2 points.
Although Pittsburgh would tie in points (89) if they gained three in the standings, they hold the regulation wins tiebreaker above us (31 reg Ws to our 30). PIT cannot go 1-0-1.
We hold the regulation win tiebreaker over Detroit (28 reg Ws to our 30). Because they are only two points below us, they are in the same scenario as Pittsburgh; DET cannot go 1-0-1. (They are currently above us in the standings due to points percentage.)
Washington is a funky one. Okay. Here I go. Assume Flyers win on the 16th.
- WSH goes 0-2-0. Yippee!!
- WSH goes 0-0-2 for 89 points. Both PHI and WSH have 8 OTWs, 4 in SO. (30 reg Ws per club.) The tiebreaker then, if I did my research correctly is TOTAL WINS; this would be Philadelphia, with 39 wins on the season.
- WSH goes 0-1-1 for 88 points. PHI has 89. All good.
- WSH goes 1-1-0 for 89 points. PHI wins against them; the tiebreaker, after regulation wins and total wins, is head to head matchups. If we go 2-0-1 against them, gaining 4 points to their 3 against us, we're good.
- WSH goes 1-0-1 for 90 points. :NOT GOOD. WSH cannot go 1-0-1. We've been over this with others; no team can gain 3 points.
THE FLYERS CAN CLINCH ON TUESDAY 4.16.24 IF:
4.15.24: Pittsburgh, Detroit both lose in regulation (max possible points not enough or PHI holds tiebreaker) and Washington loses in any scenario AND
4.16.24: Flyers win in regulation or OT.
(If Washington wins against Boston, Flyers MUST win in regulation.)
GAMES TO PAY ATTENTION TO
April 14, 2024:
None
April 15, 2024:
DET v MTL // PIT v NSH // WSH v BOS //