#voting blocs

[escinsight]

Which Country Is Luckiest In Allocation Draw History?

Which Country Is Luckiest In Allocation Draw History? The Allocation Draw is when the different competing delegations at the Eurovision Song Contest find out if they are competing in the first or second Semi Final, and who they are competing against. Ben Robertson dives through Allocation Draw history to answer...Who has been the luckiest nation in Song Contest history?

On Tuesday 30th January we have Eurovision: The Draw, the new branding for what has been known in recent times as the Allocation Draw. This is the event where delegations get to find out which half of which Semi Final you can be a part of. At this point in January we have some, but not all, of the songs set to take place in the 2024 Eurovision Song Contest. It can therefore be hard to judge for…

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#accommodation #allocation draw #correlation #costs #data #draw #esc #eurovision #first half #host city #lottning #malmo #running order #second half #semi final #statistics #voting blocs

[portlanddrita]

Voting blocs

Opposition Bloc support (% of the votes cast) by district Both these two offsprings of Opposition Bloc took part independently of each other in the 2019 Ukrainian parliamentary election, with the Opposition Bloc - Party of Peace and Development (also) named into Opposition Bloc. Yuriy Boyko for the Opposition Platform - For Life alliance and Oleksandr Vilkul for Opposition Bloc - Party of Peace and Development (the recently renamed Industrial Party of Ukraine). īy January 2019 two wings of the party nominated two different candidates for the 2019 Ukrainian presidential election. American lobbyist Paul Manafort acted as political consultant for the party. In the 2014 election, the party won 29 seats predominantly in the Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk and Kharkiv oblasts. The party was perceived as the successor of the disbanded Party of Regions. Legally, the party was created by renaming the lesser-known party "Leading Force". The Opposition Bloc ( Ukrainian: Опозиційний блок, Russian: Оппозиционный блок) was a pro-Russian political party in Ukraine that was founded in 2014 by the merger of six parties that did not endorse Euromaidan. For more guidance, see Wikipedia:Translation.You should also add the template to the talk page.A model attribution edit summary is Content in this edit is translated from the existing Russian Wikipedia article at ] see its history for attribution. You must provide copyright attribution in the edit summary accompanying your translation by providing an interlanguage link to the source of your translation.If possible, verify the text with references provided in the foreign-language article. Do not translate text that appears unreliable or low-quality.Consider adding a topic to this template: there are already 2,613 articles in the main category, and specifying |topic= will aid in categorization.Machine translation like DeepL or Google Translate is a useful starting point for translations, but translators must revise errors as necessary and confirm that the translation is accurate, rather than simply copy-pasting machine-translated text into the English Wikipedia.View a machine-translated version of the Russian article.

#Voting blocs

[bodywint]

Voting blocs

#Voting blocs registration

Republicans are already seeing percentage gains among these voters. Supplemental tables provide additional detail on the share, growth, and candidate choice of the AAPI electorate by age, density, education, gender, and marital status. ABSTRACT: We propose a novel proportional voting system based on approval ballots: Single Divisible Vote with Least-Popular Elimination (SDV-LPE). Maybe the black voting bloc is a sleeping giant, about to awaken and roll over on them. Polling has shown that AAPIs are united across a range of issues, including gender pay equity, the DREAM Act, gun control, and racial profiling. Since 2008, AAPI voters’ preference for the Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate has been trending up steadily. The term bloc voting (or block voting) refers to a set of voting systems used to elect several representatives from one constituency.Although there are significant variations in types of bloc voting, they all allow voters to cast multiple votes for one or more candidates and have the potential to result in several officials being elected based on one specific. AAPIS HAVE REACHED CRITICAL MASSĪAPI registered voters make up a significant proportion of the electorate in Hawai’i and California, as well as in key congressional districts in Hawai’i, California, Georgia, Illinois, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Texas, Washington state, and Virginia.

#Voting blocs registration

Voter registration of Asian Americans increased 51 percent between 20, compared to just 8 percent nationally, according to the brief. Key Findings 22.1 MILLION STRONGĪAPIs comprise just over 4% of the nation’s registered voters but are among the fastest growing racial groups in America. This brief brings attention to the AAPI electorate and need for more organizing and funding to ensure that this critical voting bloc is able to exercise the right to vote, particularly in the midst of a global pandemic. In key states and congressional districts, AAPIs have now become a voting bloc, characterized by (a) significant numbers and (b) similar policy perspectives. The AAPI Civic Engagement Fund released a new brief that shows the Asian American and Pacific Islander electorate has now risen to more than 22.1 million voters. The term bloc voting (or block voting ) refers to a set of voting systems used to elect several representatives from one constituency. We investigate the applicability of voting power indices, in particular the.

#Voting blocs

[bunabi]

the most cooked strings of sentences ive ever seen in my life

give me the strength to stay outta search

#im not gonna make an essay in the tags but man #I think the most illuminating thing about the past ten months is this wild interpretation of violence #the idea that Biden's actions are less violent because of symbols and gestures and civil veneer over his actual actions is #i dont have a word other than shocking #its shocking im shocked mfw the shock hits me etc #ahh it was a tag essay after all #calling an evil that hurts migrants and black people and palestinians 'lesser' is a surefire way to lose those ~voting blocs~ real quick #in closing: boo tomato cackling witch sound effect taco bell gong

[dostoyevsky-official]

absurd to shame midwestern muslim, or worse, palestinian-americans for withdrawing their electoral support of biden when it's a question of their relatives dying after biden promised military support and hugged netanyahu, and the use of real political power to achieve their desired goals. threatening to withhold votes in swing states and protesting to voice this are some of the most effective things they, or anyone can do in america

#the inverse of this is how ukrainian-americans became a solid democratic voting bloc after being 50/50 #what do you expect of them?

[poetrysmackdown]

These polls have given me such anguish (/pos) because How to Be a Dog has ALWAYS beaten the poem I vote for, up to now. What started as an “Eh, this is an okay poem and solid to where I can see why people like it” to being something that triggers some sort of primordial emotion in me. Have a good day

HAHAHA I've been in a similar predicament! I don't mind the poem at all, but it's all about timing—it's a poem that's huge on Tumblr right now for a handful of reasons, but if this was conducted a year or so from now I think it might've had a bit more trouble. Or maybe not! Possible it's got more longevity than I'm predicting

#ask #not a poll #dog enjoyers the dark horse voting bloc of this tournament

[moeblob]

So uh. Eventually I'll stop drawing these guys so obsessively but not today I guess.

(DND AU where it's just these two, Brent, and Paul on a life mission to annoy Chris the GM by having the pact of "we're only here for Karen's benefit")

Karen is a warlock, Right is a cleric, Paul is a paladin, and Brent is a bard (so he can use bardic inspiration on Karen).

#my characters #fun fact i was watching a trio of streamers do tier lists and i saw them do a tier list about their streamer friends #and they all voted on how the person would die in dnd and the funniest thing to come out of it imo #was the difference of SELF SACRIFICE and under it FORCIBLY SACRIFICED #like who would take one for the team willingly and who would be disposed of with majority vote #then they added an executed for their crimes spot under that so while they were debating some guy they settled on #he was the one that initiated most of the forcibly sacrificed ideas and that means he was eventually executed for his crimes #which ... was really funny to distinguish #the point is thats karen in this non existent campaign #she is here to mess people up and then use her allies as scape goats and they all just go well that sucks peace out im on the chopping bloc #and chris is getting more and more distressed over the fact YOU GUYS CAN LITERALLY TALK YOUR WAY OUT OF IT #but they really dont talk their way out of it like he wants #they instead are like ok cool so im gonna pretend like i didnt see karen kill that guy #and shes like i mean it was an accident i didnt MEAN to kill THAT guy #which is why they all vote to not see it and not bring it up RIP that guy #i saved this canvas as A WARLOCK AND HER CLERIC #which is honestly fitting #anyway i wanna draw fanart again at some point but my joy is stored in the ocs rn #i dont play dnd i just listen to one person talk to me about dnd and thats enough #oops i fell in love

[chronotopes]

I trust that every single person voting vrisrezi has lived and died by the vrisrezi sword. I do NOT trust that every person voting for rosemary can name more than three character traits for each.

#rosemary in text is fantastic and just as complicated. but in terms of which voting bloc has the higher average reading comprehension skill? #i know my vote.

[brinnanza]

people saying "Republicans voting is what got us here so you also need to vote" are not wrong necessarily but the argument does tend to ellide how vigilantly Republicans have been eroding the right to vote for the last well forever. like yeah, you should vote but let's not pretend Republicans haven't been intentionally making it as hard for anyone who isn't a rich straight white man as possible.

that being said if voting didn't do anything they wouldn't be trying so hard to make sure we couldn't do it.

#tw politics #like yes vote but also nuance exists #and for a lot of minority blocs ie poor people disabled people elderly people there is an active barrier to voting #like it's not enough to say 'go vote' #organize a carpool or something

[dogsuffrage]

Congress is about to pass a bipartisan bill that outlines the definition of antisemitism based on the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance's definition and treats any such speech as hate speech. This very essentially includes this aspect:

Congress is imminently about to pass a law making it illegal to say the true statement that Israel is a racist colonizer state.

Being anti-Zionist will soon be illegal. How is this acceptable?

#this is also a rare situation where the far left and far right both oppose this #the only way this fails to pass the senate is if the far left and far right vote as a bloc #which is insane

[dordey]

"who's the most dangerous fundie" listen. ik you'd rather hear that the highly accessible homesteading homeschooling christian influencers you already snark on are the Most Dangerous & you are doing the lord's work spending your time pointing out how awful they are for (checks notes) wearing dresses & having more than 2 kids & having a veggie garden, but i PROMISE you the kinds of christians you should be scared of are the kinds that do only have a couple of kids & are raking in millions from political agendas or their own megachurches / come from generational wealth & would not be caught dead tilling their own soil or giving their kids abeka homeschool curricula

#fundies #ik there's a lot to be said for the sheer number of them as a voting bloc #but individually? idk man look at who your local members of parliament are maybe #they'd be more immediately dangerous To You

[8241991]

really grinds my ass that the SCOTUS decision for my state’s electoral maps is being halted/slowed down again and that a federal ruling allowed for the current gerrymandered maps to stay in place until SCOTUS reaches a decision

#this is purposeful lol #not like it’d flip the state blue entirely #but this is all because one democrat won a house seat in a historically red district in 2018 #and the GOP shit themselves #yeah when you disenfranchise an entire voting bloc for years they tend to not like you

[wildweirdly]

Saw the term “microflirting” this morning and it wasn’t even bout furry vore… shocked nd disappointed

#weirdly rambles #phone tried to turn vore into vote #the furry voting bloc ig

[beatrice-otter]

You’re seriously still blaming Trump on “Bernie Bros”? Time for democrats to start taking responsibility for putting up shitty candidates and deflecting blame toward everyone else, for once

Trump was elected by a very narrow margin. And there was a ton of polling and data crunching and statistical modeling going on during and after the election, so we actually know what the factors that tipped the needle Trump's direction are.

One of the biggies is leftists who thought Hilary was insufficiently far left. If every leftist who loved Bernie and disliked Hilary because she wasn't perfect enough had held their nose and voted for Hilary, Trump would have lost. They're not the only demographic that's true of; there are a number of others who, if they had turned out in force, would have turned the tide of the election. For example, if a higher percentage of Black women had voted, Trump would also have lost. You know what the difference is between your average Bernie Bro and your average Black woman? Your average Bernie Bro is white and thus a hell of a lot less likely to have his vote suppressed. He is a hell of a lot more likely to find it easy to vote. This is not me saying this because I don't like them, or because I think Hillary was a perfect candidate. This is me saying that when you look at the actual numbers, leftist ideologues who refused to vote for a candidate who was not their perfect choice was one of the main reasons Trump got four years in the White House.

In general, regardless of the candidates involved, if 55% of American adults vote in a national election, the Republican wins in a landslide. If 60% of American adults vote, the Republican wins by a bare margin. If 65% of American adults vote, the Democrat wins by a bare margin. If 70% of American adults vote, the Democrat wins by a landslide. If 75% of American adults voted--and voted regularly in every election--the Republican party would cease to be a significant force in American politics.

This has been known for decades. Republicans will show up and vote no matter what; a very high percentage of Democrats and left-leaning voters will only show up if the candidate in question is perfectly in line with their views. That's why we have a Congress that is dominated by Republicans despite most of the country not liking them, and that's why we have most of the political problems that they do. By waiting for a political candidate who is good enough, you are directly ceding power to the people who are making the world worse.

Elections are decided by the people who show up. If you do not show up to vote, your vote does not get counted. If politicians want to get re-elected, they have to listen to the people who will vote for them. If they try to listen to the people who don't regularly vote, they are far more likely to lose re-election than if they listen to the people who show up every election. And conservatives show up every election. If liberals and leftists changed our voting habits and voted in every single election--voted for the furthest left candidate in the primary, and whoever got the Democratic nomination in the general election--we would prove ourselves to be a voting bloc worth listening to and the party would move left in response.

You want a candidate who perfectly fits your vision and ideals for what America should be? That doesn't happen in a vacuum. That takes work, and the most basic level of that work is showing up to vote now and every time there's an election to vote in.

[sequrhandy]

Voting blocs definition ap gov

DOWNLOAD NOW Voting blocs definition ap gov

That was eventually confirmed by the 1936 presidential and congressional elections. voting behavior and party identification from 1928 to 1936 that benefited the Democratic Party and made it the majority party until the 1968 presidential election.Īccording to some scholars, the presidential election of 1928 foreshadowed the New Deal realignment Since Key's articles were published, political scientists and historians have disagreed about several aspects of realignment, but there is scholarly consensus that enduring changes occurred in U.S. In adopting the term "secular realignment" in his 1959 article, Key characterized a critical or realigning election as a "secular shift in party attachment," that is, "a movement of the members of a population category from party to party that extends over several presidential elections and appears to be independent of the peculiar factors influencing the vote at individual elections" (Key 1959, p. Key, Jr., defined a critical election as "a type of election in which there occurs a sharp and durable electoral realignment between parties" (Key 1955, p. In a 1955 journal article on critical elections and a 1959 article on secular realignment, political scientist V. Such a change also affects the party as an organization (e.g., the chairmanship, activities, finances, and apparatus of the Democratic National Committee or Republican National Committee ) and the party in government (e.g., partisan control of the presidency and Congress and the policy agenda identified with a party through its national platforms and legislative behavior). The study of political realignments, or realigning elections, is concerned with a rare, significant, long-term change in the voting behavior and party identification of the electorate. parties according to three internal dimensions: the party as an organization, the party in government, and the party in the electorate. American political scientists have often analyzed the two major U.S.

DOWNLOAD NOW Voting blocs definition ap gov

#Voting blocs definition ap gov

[crowns-of-violets-and-roses]

The Hugo Awards nominating statistics don't add up

tl;dr Along with works arbitrarily being deemed ineligible for the Hugo Awards the underlying numbers for the nominating data don't add up. The nominating statistics are junk.

Yesterday the Hugo nominating statistics for 2023 were released. Initial discussion focused on several nominees including R.F. Kuang's Babel being deemed ineligible for seemingly no reason.

After people started looking at the actual statistics a number of oddities were apparent. Heather Rose Jones has released a blog post with some graphs neatly illustrating this.

She suggests a number of hypothesis for what's going on: bloc voting, certain nominees below the cut-off being omitted or the one I now think must be true "The math is bogus. That is, the reported nomination statistics include large numbers of nominations attributed to the "top group" that do not arise from an actual nomination process."

In a previous post I discussed Peter Wilkinson's comment that showed that there are mathematical impossibilities in the statistics:

As (I think) a quite separate final remark for now, I think I have found a small mathematical impossibility in the Best Novel nomination statistics as given. Because of the way EPH works, every valid ballot gets counted in the first round of an EPH count, but ballots get eliminated as and when the last nominee on the ballot gets eliminated. It is therefore quite impressive that, of the 1,637 ballots received for Best Novel, 1,652 remained after all but the final 15 candidates had been eliminated.

To elaborate on this each nominators is given a single point divided equally between the works they nominate. In the first round the number of points equals the number of nominators.

In subsequent rounds if a work is eliminated the point is redistributed between the nominators remaining nominees. If no nominees remain it isn't redistributed. In essence the number of points represents the number of nominators who have nominees remaining on the ballot.

The number of points should never be higher than the number of nominators.

The only explanation I can see is that the statistics are made up.

Following on from Peter Wilkinson's comment Marshall Ryan Maresca ran the numbers for all categories:

His results match the ones I have previously checked. I posted about novel and fanwriter in the previous linked post and had checked novella as well.

I've now checked the other two categories where he showed the result is over 100% and my numbers add up to the same as what he has shown.

I've posted my workings below for reference.

First lets look at best novel which had 1637 nominating ballots:

My calculation matches what Peter and Marshall found.

Best novella had 1393 ballots:

This again matches Marshall's result and is the only category I checked where the points sum to less than 100% of the ballots.

Best short story has 1500 ballots but 1568.96 nominating points, again matching Marshall's results:

Best fan writer which I discussed yesterday has the largest relative difference with only 241 people nominating but 364.01 nominating points (again matching Marshall's results).

Finally let's look at the Lodestar which had 280 nominating ballots:

Again my result matches what Marshall found.

Heather Rose Jones has illustrated why the nominating statistics are anomalous. Peter Wilkinson showed that the numbers for best novel reflected a mathematically impossibility.

Yesterday after seeing Wilkinson's comment I ran the numbers and got the same result and found the even larger discrepancy in the fan writer category.

Marshall Ryan Maresca separately saw Peter Wilkinson’s comment and went through the categories much more systematically and has shown several are unusually high and that four have impossible numbers based on the reported number of ballots.

I've double checked the categories where Marshall demonstrated that there were over 100% of votes being reported and got the same results.

I do not see how the above is possible without extra votes being added to the totals. The math doesn't add up.

#hugo awards #cut for length