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aion-rsa · 3 years

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War of the Worlds Season 2 Ending: Breaking the Time Loop, Bill, Emily and the Future

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Warning: contains spoilers for War of the Worlds Season 2.

Bill did it. He went back in time, broke the time loop, erased the aliens out of existence and saved billions of lives by stopping Earth from ever coming under their devastating attack in the first place. Almost erased the aliens out of existence, that should say, because – handily for season three – the alien invasion timeline is still somehow creating ripples in this parallel universe. And almost erased most of the aliens out of existence, that should really say, because when Bill travelled back in time, he took half a dozen of the Invaders along with him. Now they’re on Earth too, with nothing but hatred for humanity. Should end well.

How did Bill manage it? Why are echoes of the other timeline bleeding through into the new one? And what does all of this mean for War of the Worlds’ recently commissioned third season? Let’s dig in.

How did Bill go back in time?

By using Micah’s matter wave transposing formula and an alien ship. As Isla told Bill, the alien spaceships are alive; their matter waves grow and change, which opens a pathway to enable time travel. Micah’s formula had been devised to travel back to a point in time that would break the invasion time loop and stop the alien race from ever existing. Unable to reproduce on their home planet, plagued by genetic weakness, and raised to hate humankind, the aliens invaded Earth to slaughter its people, cure themselves, and colonise the planet. Micah evidently thought genocide too high a price to pay for survival and so sought a different route. He did the maths required to plot a course back to a point in time from which he could sabotage the Invasion plan by stopping his people from ever existing in the first place.

Somehow, Micah knew a) that Emily was the ancestor of his people, and b) the timetable of her hospital appointments. He wrote a formula to a point in time where she could be killed before she and Sacha conceived the twins that would form the starting point of this new human-hating human race. Before he could carry out his plan though, he was killed by his brother Jokim at the Grenoble Observatory (where he’d traced the source of the signal Catherine and her colleagues sent into space). After he was killed, Catherine took his journal containing the formula, and brought it to London to share with Bill Ward, to whom she passed on Victor’s lesson about the need to have faith.

Isla had become disenchanted with Adina’s tunnel-vision belligerence and started to question if there was really any difference between her people and the humans she’d been raised to believe were so worthy of hate. She chose to betray her people and help to finish what Micah started after she learned that Adina had lied to her about Micah having been killed by the humans. She got Bill on board a ship and programmed it with Micah’s formula before Adina, Jokim and a handful of others chased them on board. Adina shot Isla, and everybody on board the alien ship was transported back in time.

How did Bill break the time loop?

In the new timeline, Bill and Isla were found unconscious outside a hospital and taken in for treatment. Isla died of her gunshot wound, and Micah’s journal containing the time travel formula was taken from her and placed into storage. Bill spotted Emily, Sarah and Tom in the hospital and realised why he’d been sent to that time and place. He led Emily – who was still blind in this timeline – onto the rooftop, told her that the visions she’d been having of dead bodies in the streets were of the future, and that he had to stop it from happening to save billions of lives. Then he pushed her off the roof, killing her. That stopped the timeline dead in which Emily and Sacha conceived the twins that went on to form the race that invaded Earth.

In retrospect, it’s a pity Bill didn’t hop on the Eurostar and push kitten-killing Sacha off a tall building instead of innocent Emily, but needs must. And to be fair to Bill, in the original timeline, Emily was also trying to kill Emily to stop herself from inadvertently creating a race of killer aliens, but Sacha wouldn’t let her die.

Bill’s choice was also a sacrifice for him, in a way. By killing Emily so publicly, he made himself the chief suspect in a murder investigation, and as we saw from the newspaper headline Zoe was reading, he was arrested at the end of the season. But not before he’d righted some past wrongs and made a proper apology to his ex-wife Helen (who’d died hating him for lying to her about her partner’s death), and told son Dan that he loved and was proud of him. A prison sentence, if that’s what Bill’s now facing, is a walk in the park compared to the timeline he’d just travelled back from.

How Will War of the Worlds Season 3 Work?

By Louisa Mellor

War of the Worlds Season 1 Recap: Aliens, Cyborg Dogs, Emily, Sacha and the Mystery Tattoo

By Louisa Mellor

So, everybody on board the ship travelled back in time with Bill?

It looks like it. Bill, Isla, Adina, Jokim and a handful of other aliens were all on board the ship when it moved back in time, and all of them ended up in the same hospital in the new timeline. As Bill has stopped their people from ever existing, the remaining aliens on Earth are outliers, stranded in this version of events without a past or a future.

And everybody killed during the series is now alive in the new timeline?

Absolutely. That list includes Bill’s son Dan, who works for the government, his ex-wife Helen, Sarah Gresham, hospital porter Ash, Kariem’s sister (?), Sacha’s father/uncle Noah, and most importantly for us: Professor Catherine Durrand, who was shot in the head by a Mechanical in the original timeline in the finale, but who is now alive and well and repairing her estranged relationship with her recovering drug addict sister Sophia.

And all of the connections we saw made in the series now never happened?

That’s right. The soldiers never came to the Observatory, so Catherine and Colonel Mokrani never met and fell in love, neither did Sophia and Nathan, whose unborn baby now doesn’t exist. Emily never met Kariem, and crucially, never met and conceived twins with Sacha. Presumably Sarah and Jonathan are still together in the new timeline, as Jonathan never met Chloe in France. Victor’s family are still alive and well, so he doesn’t attempt suicide and never meets Catherine. The list goes on.

Had we seen that footage of Catherine at the Observatory before?

Basically yes, though compare Catherine’s scenes in the season one premiere to these and there are very slight differences to her appearance and dialogue, which shows that the scenes were possibly re-filmed. In the show’s first ever episode, Catherine and her colleague chat about “choice paralysis” and supermarket toothpaste right before she detects the first alien invasion signal. In the season two finale, they have basically that same conversation but no signal arrives to interrupt, so it continues to Catherine’s colleague casually asking her out and her turning him down before visiting Sophia to make amends with her.

So, how is season three going to work if the aliens don’t exist?

It’s going to be different alright. And it’s worth remembering that some aliens still exist in this timeline, they’re just ship-less and Mechanical-less, and there are barely enough of them to form a decent five-a-side squad. One question that season three needs to answer is how the original timeline is bleeding into this revised version of events. New timeline-Zoe dreamt of a ‘memory’ from the old timeline, and from it, recognised both Bill and the name Emily. Her first port of call in the third season will be to Bill’s prison cell for a long chat. We delve into the season three possibilities in more detail here.

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War of the Worlds season 2 is available to stream on Epix in the US and is airing weekly on Disney+ in the UK.

The post War of the Worlds Season 2 Ending: Breaking the Time Loop, Bill, Emily and the Future appeared first on Den of Geek.

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sportsv · 6 years

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谷底翻轉之後，Tyreke Evans交易攻略

灰熊和Evans簽約背景

雖然很多人早已猜測灰熊會這樣做，終於在近日有比較正式的消息，灰熊將Tyreke Evans放上交易桌，本篇除了討論關於灰熊和Evans的交易面向外，也藉此機會探討一下Evans本季的情況。

首先是灰熊球團考量的部分，灰熊在過去兩年多的時間，程度上出現了比政策急轉直下更糟糕的情況，就是戰略目標搖擺不定造成的全盤困境，除了眾所皆知的2016年暑假Mike Conley和Chandler Parsons頂薪慘案，另一件影響政策甚巨的事件是在頂薪哥倆更前一年為了獲得Jeff Green，將一張未來首輪送去波士頓。

這兩件事發生的當下，我們可以解讀灰熊是為了充實戰力現狀而全面梭哈，以當時灰熊的未來戰力預期和戰績排名，送去C’s的首輪原本就很大機會成為戰力下滑之時而保護過後的高額報償，頂薪哥倆事件本身是為了延續戰力保存年限，並試著再度往上衝擊，但同一時間，灰熊大膽放走了仍有合約在身而風評甚佳的教練Dave Joerger，找來長時間助教資歷的David Fizdale。

在前陣子Fizdale被拔時，已經有過不少關於Fizdale的討論，筆者對於Fizdale的看法大致持平，不是特別好或特別差的教練，但在Joerger離去而Fizdale上位時另一個大家容易忽略的背景是，此時灰熊的助理教練團也同時更迭，即便不看Joerger和Fizdale的差距，光這前後兩組教練團的差異都是非常明顯的，離開的有像35年教練背景、戰術素養甚高的Elston Turner，而引進了分別是球探和球員出生、之前甚少或完全沒有執教經驗的Adam Mazarel、Nick Van Exel，以及之前都曾短暫擔任總教練、但在原球隊皆無建樹的J.B.Bickerstaff、Keith Smart，灰熊是整個教練團重組，而上路的新兵沒有一個是那種足以當後盾的名字。

Parsons的受傷配上他的合約對灰熊來說無疑是一個災難，但就在這個仍能進入季後賽席位的球季過後，拖著3張巨型合約、1張重要首輪仍外流的灰熊，卻選擇立即年輕化的政策，當然這過程是有些不得不然的因素，老闆口袋淺、經營權有疑慮、球隊又處於虧損，不過從戰力佈局角度，你在剛梭哈一年後馬上做大幅度退縮，怎麼看都不是一件聰明的事，而這退縮的另一層背景還是缺乏後路的退縮，除了那3張巨型合約和首輪外流的問題外，灰熊前幾年的選秀和年輕球員養成幾乎是全面潰敗的，在開季前才剛裁掉了2016年首輪Wade Baldwin。

暑假簽到Evans，是灰熊政策擺盪的果、也可能是另一個因，灰熊在年輕化和預算有限的雙重背景下，想從自由市場中找到填補戰力的人選，而Evans尋求一個重新證明自己的機會，兩造便達成低薪短約加盟的協議，不過當下灰熊沒想到的是，在年輕化政策下以這組教練團的能力碰上傷兵問題，會迎來快速崩盤的結果，更沒想到的是，在崩盤的當下，因為價碼低廉而引進的Evans，反而打出了生涯至今最璀璨的時期。

現實面上，送走Evans要價會有限

這邊我們要先知道一件事，母隊在續約自由球員時，除了新人延長約的Qualifying以外，最大的優勢是擁有鳥權，就是以原薪資為基礎而更高的漲幅續約，但Evans因為是低薪合約，造成他的鳥權是幾乎沒有任何意義的，類似林書豪在黃蜂那年的狀況，不管他現在在哪一隊，球季結束後都不會是用鳥權續約，下一個東家（即便是母隊）必定是拿薪資空間或空間特例出來簽約，而以Evans現在的表現很可能連空間特例都不足以簽下他。

這樣的背景已經先大幅降低他的交易價值，得到他的球隊，除非在球季結束後騰的出薪資空間，不然都是租借半季性質，而即便騰出薪資空間也是和其他有意願招募他的球隊站在同樣立足點而已。

再則以灰熊的角度，如果灰熊這季的目標已經和提升戰績無關，那Evans就只是一個可以在遭逢災難之餘拿到些微回饋的美麗意外，灰熊簽他時就只是暫時填補老將離隊戰力的過渡性質，本來就沒有長期持有的打算（所以連個1+1的中產都沒有），現在無論只能拿回多低廉的報償，都算不上是規劃上的損失，能拿回任何東西都已經超出和Evans簽約時的期待了，更甚者如果不是Evans打出超優表現，現在可能連談論送走他的機會都沒有。

當然灰熊可以有別的想法，設法清出能續約Evans的薪資空間來年再戰，但這種想法本身存在很大的技術難度和操作風險，灰熊要騰出足以續約Evans的薪資空間，很難不從那三張巨型合約下手，而現在除了最大神主牌Marc Gasol外，另兩張交易價值都是負的，且就算能騰出薪資空間仍會遇到上述問題，在鳥權無意義下灰熊並沒有母隊續約的優勢，所以我們這邊先不去探討這種可能性，目前看似灰熊也沒有要走這條路的打算。

而眼下另一個關鍵點是，球季進行到差不多剛好一半，位居西區墊底的灰熊理應要開始積極進入坦克大戰，無論是想徹底重建或短期重整，坦完這季拿到好籤位都是絕對必要的步驟，所以這個議題不只是灰熊想用Evans換回什麼的討論而已，為了坦徹底，灰熊送走Evans的需求搞不好比想得到他的球隊的需求更高些。

如果再多考慮到灰熊總管Chris Wallace近年的談判能力，嗯，現實面上，想取得Evans的球隊代價多半會低於他的真實價值，至於低於多少，大概會取決於該隊總管和Wallace的智商差距。

更多本文作家春少文章：

湖人這季年輕球員的表現，會否牽動到暑假佈局？

金塊起飛的最大原因：Mike Malone

然而送走Evans真的連想要張首輪都這麼難嗎？

筆者本來想表列一下Evans和去年幾位半季租借球員的差距，看了看其實沒啥好列的，我只能說當中所費代價最高的Serge Ibaka交易當下PER也不過17.5，而Evans此時此刻還高達22.8，如果以去年的租借名單當標準，Evans的戰力所值必然不只一個後段首輪。

這邊另外提醒一點是租借球員的合約長度未必是加分，像合約多一年的Lou Williams其實換的也沒有比較好，和半季合約的Ibaka、Bojan Bogdanovic同樣是拿到後段首輪，送出他的湖人還多吃了一張Corey Brewer的合約，不過這邊我認為和該球員的球路、年紀、球場定位、傷病風險等比較有關，該球員越像是理所當然的核心輪替人選時，合約長度理應越長越好，這邊我們只是強調交易價值不全然取決於合約長度。

我們直接來看下表比較快，這是Evans和球員A的比較，球員A的數據背景是合約最後一年時的成績，WS/48的（）是該季所屬球隊勝率：

請先再次回答我兩個問題：半季的Evans值不值至少一張首輪？Evans有沒有輸球員A？

兩人數據的分佈很類似，球員A不擅長投三分球但有別人沒有的特長，列3P%出來不是為了貶低他，只是列一下現在很多人都在講的三分球能力，Evans比球員A合約最後一年時更年輕4歲，Evans所屬球隊勝率僅有球員A的一半不到而贏球貢獻卻不亞於球員A（因為時空背景不同，我們不去說Evans比較好，但至少可以看出Evans並沒有不會贏球的疑慮），Evans產生這條數據的同時也不是靠超量USG%刷出來的，效率也不亞於球員A。

球員A並沒有在我列的這個球季被交易，當時他是屬於球隊不動產，但如果，我是說如果，球員A的母隊想在當下送走他，你猜會不會有球員A值不值一個後段首輪的討論？

Evans的真實戰力價值真的不該在一個後段首輪討論範圍中，雖然在現實面上，包括灰熊簽約他的背景、送走他的背景，都會讓最後成交價往後段首輪靠攏，但你若只是聽到球員的名字、球隊的名字、合約的長度，就設定Evans最多只值那麼多，那也未免太過歧視了，從任何角度看，Evans這季的球場表現都是至少強隊二當家等級的球星，戰力比起去年拿到首輪的半季租借球員勝出許多，這樣的戰力拿到後段首輪來討論已經是一種屈於現實後過度的貶低了。

球員A是13-14球季的Dwyane Wade。

除了首輪以外，有無其他交易方案？

除了強隊租借性質的交易討論外，其實Evans這季打出的表現，還會讓灰熊有其他動機的交易可能性，關鍵在於若交易對象把Evans視為長期藍圖（28歲再威個3、5年不過分吧），又能騰出薪資空間續約，那就有機會產生非租借性質的交易思維。

這邊筆者提一個假設交易對象，金塊，金塊可以用Kenneth Faried + Mailk Beasley + 首輪向灰熊換取Evans + JaMychchal Green + 平衡薪資的到期約，對灰熊來說，可以拿到沒那麼底的首輪和Beasley的報償，吃下Faried和Green的薪資差額（兩人合約年限一樣），若Beasley換成Juan Hernangomez也差不多意思，兩人均是素質甚好的二年級生現在卻缺乏機會，對金塊來說，除了替這季爭搶季後賽排名更添保障外，暑假Wilson Chandler有蠻大機率跳出合約，Darrell Arthur即便執行球員選項也可用買斷來處理，金塊在順利的情況下，會有20M以上薪資空間在Nikola Jokic薪資暴漲前最後紅利時間，簽下核心級後場。

當然這只是一個延伸Evans交易價值的假設，金塊後場雙核心地位穩固，但Jamal Murray和Gary Harris兩人本質都偏射手，Evans和他們一起登場理論上不太會有可行性的爭議，金塊又是聯盟中Pick n Roll Ball Handler工作最輕鬆的球隊，而這正是Evans的強項。

另外灰熊不管想重整或重建，原本想帶走Parsons的薪資，除了買斷外都幾乎是個不可能的任務，而現在因為Evans讓這個可能性出現了，當然要憑半季的Evans帶走一張聯盟爛約表率仍是遠遠不夠的，但爛約對換或許就有機會了。

比如說這季仍在為季後賽席位奮戰的尼克，手上還抱著Jokim Noah這張絕對爛約、和幾張有疑慮的長約（我們先姑且稱之為小爛約），如果灰熊透過Evans的誘因把Parsons換成Noah和平衡薪資的球員，可以降低一些薪資壓力，對尼克而言Evans會是大勝Jarrett Jack的導師也可擔當側翼，如果灰熊連尼克的小爛約一起帶走，還有機會要到尼克的保護首輪，這又比金塊或其他強隊的首輪更值錢一些，而不管走這兩個方案哪一個，尼克因為Enes Kanter在球季結束後跳出合約的機率不低，都會因此而得到續約Evans的空間。

在有空間續約為前題下，Evans的戰力比起其他有可能被釋放到交易市場的球員更有賭賭看的價值，若朝這方向走，等於是半季的磨合拚一個長期規劃，並非完全不可行的交易思維。

更多本文作家春少文章：

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Evans的真實價值取決健康

雖然背了很長時間新人年即生涯年的戲謔，事實上Evans不管在哪支球隊的什麼定位，績效都算很穩定，我們不去緬懷20-5-5的新人年，只看他在生涯500場比賽過後還能保持在16-4-5的全能身手，聯盟現役球員也僅有8個人能達標，另外這7個名字都不需要介紹，分別是Stephen Curry、James Harden、LeBron James、Chris Paul、Russell Westbrook、Dwyane Wade、John Wall。

Evans之所以在去年暑假身價暴跌，唯一的原因是他過去兩年分別只各打了700多分鐘的比賽，之前他每季的出賽時間、即便在足底筋膜炎的10-11賽季都打了2000分鐘以上，Evans過往雖然時有小傷，不過當他能夠健康出賽時並不會讓人有省著用的感覺，鵜鶘改名後的唯一一次季後賽，就是Evans撐出來的結果，該季他出賽79場、場均打超過34分鐘。

Evans的球路特色簡單說在於單純的直線運動，他的切入結合了高級的變向變速和強壯的身體，搭配不錯的視野和急停機制，讓他單純在做這一件事情時，就能衍生出各種不同的變化和效益，基本上，聯盟中可以一對一阻止Evans切入的球員，這8年多來還沒出現過，所以持有Evans的球隊基本上就是獲得了破壞對手防守陣式的保證。

真要說Evans切入的缺點，大概就是他的finish偏重於拋球，放槍率比起同樣擅長切入的球員如Harden或Wall略高，不過這只是無傷大雅的小問題，且這季也已經較為好轉。

投射問題過去長期是大家對Evans的質疑，儘管擁有頂尖的切入效益，但Evans的本質並不是那種策應團隊攻勢的指揮官，他的傳球多是利用自身的威脅性產生的one-done傳球，所以當他持球時是不是只能切入？不持球時是否仍能保有基礎威脅性？這兩個問題讓他過去的兩個東家都不願意將球隊希望壓在他身上。

健康的Evans依然得面對這兩個問題，不過，這不是他身價暴跌或身價持平的討論，而是偏向他身價持平或嶄新身價的討論，因為過往他的身價基礎已經是設定在他不持球威脅性不夠、他持球時以切入為主要手段這兩個前提上。

投籃當然、絕對、確定不是假象

也許你沒有深入了解過Tyreke Evans，在他以20-5-5奪下新人王、隔年2K設定給他的成長範圍可以到99分的超高看好度當下，Evans都是一個完全看不到驕氣的球員，這句話並非全然的稱讚，因為個性沒有霸氣，你翻遍所有報導幾乎都看不到有類似領袖氣質的形容詞用在他身上，他一直是個徹底的乖乖牌，教練叫他做什麼工作他就去做，無論他到底擅不擅長這樣的工作。

但同樣因為這種個性，讓Evans被叫去做任何訓練也不會質疑指令，他做的訓練，是非常紮實而徹底。

早在2012年暑假，也就是新人約的最後一年開跑時，當時國王的老總管Geoff Petrie年近70待退之齡，他深知Evans有獨特的能力，所以才會在2009年選秀會上力排眾議慧眼挑中Evans，但Petrie同時也深知Evans必須克服投籃問題，在那個暑假，Petrie跳過球隊教練、和Evans在場館進行一對一的訓練。

這樣的訓練成果並沒有白費，隔年Evans將三分球從前一年的0.202大幅提升到0.338，這個數字從現在的角度看並沒有多了不起，但已經是Evans生涯首次讓三分球突破三成，然而隨著國王新團隊入主，並沒有採納Petrie的建議，決定不留Evans，前往鵜鶘後，Evans被定位在球隊第六人，帶領替補上陣他同時得負擔球隊組織的運作和個人搶分，當時他的pull up還時靈時不靈，為了求勝他又把投籃先擱下，三分球的出手數來到生涯新低，命中率又降回0.221。

在受傷的這兩年，他聽從投籃教練的建議開始改機制，曾經苦練出來的感覺又逐漸回來，其實在15-16球季的短暫25場出賽中，Evans已經讓3P%來到0.388的水平，隔年回到國王後，Joerger教練利用強弱邊的轉移幫Evans製造出許多catch & shot的機會，而他在14場出賽中也很爭氣的繳出0.438的回報。

到這個時間點，仍有許多質疑Evans是小樣本的短暫爆發，事實上Evans是經過數年苦練累積的成果，儘管早已不是那種可以談天賦談潛力的年紀，Evans始終沒放棄修正自己的短處，在這季他終於能夠健康出賽，三分球無論出手數和命中數都來到生涯新高，命中率0.416雖然還略遜於去年短暫回歸國王的時期，但由於定位不同，這季沒有戰術保護他，而是由他來帶動戰術，現在的0.416是由大量難度更高的pull up投籃堆積出來的結果。

一個頂級的切入型球員配上超過4成的三分球命中率會是什麼型態？我不知道到底有多少球迷有認真看這季灰熊的比賽，儘管團隊兵荒馬亂，Evans卻再再展現出非常高階的球場支配力，他的投籃根本沒啥好質疑的，苦練數年的結果一直都在那累積，只是因為各種時運到現在才發光，現在的Evans，無論從任何角度看，都是個足以擔當強隊二當家等級的巨頭。

機會是互相的

除了回鍋國王的短短14場比賽，Evans生涯沒在像樣教練手上打過完整一季，多數時間是他在遷就戰術，而不是戰術在配合他，若能加入一支正常運作的強隊，他的產值還能有比現在更上升的空間。

如果灰熊真的決定賤賣，只要一張後段首輪的報價，那對Evans或得到他的球隊來說，都是一扇機會之窗，真的，這樣球場價值的球員根本不該在一張後段首輪的討論範圍中。

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