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#4.07 analysis
reviewdiaries · 10 months
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Nancy x Ace and the case of miscommunication in 4x07
Well, well, well, if it isn’t the consequences of their actions and a butt ton of miscommunication coming back to bite my poor idiots in the butt.
Just when Ace thought they’d had a moment and could go back to what they had been to each other, he’s finally started to realise that isn’t possible. Thanks Tristan, I may not trust you in the slightest, but at least you’ve given both Nancy and Ace a wake up call that action (or inaction) has consequences and you can never go back to how things were no matter how much you may want to. And on that depressing life lesson, let’s dive straight into this episode.
Every episode offers a new snapshot into Ace and Nancy trying to find out how they fit together. In 4x04 they had no contact at all (and they were both miserable). In 4x05 Nancy enforced a colleagues space boundary (and they were both miserable). In 4x06 Ace tried to fall back into his acts of service love language by catching Chunky, and Nancy tried to explore other feelings that were heartbreak and misery, and lo, they were both miserable.
Suddenly we’re back to gravitating towards each other like magnets. For all Nancy’s declarations later in the episode that she needs space, she needs Ace to let her move on, she’s orbiting him like he’s her own personal sun again. On finding that Ace is at Nick’s she barges straight in and doesn’t shy away from talking to him, making eye contact with him, drinking in the sight of him as though she’s parched by the lack of him for a night. 
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GIF Credit  @loveyazy
Throughout the game they move to be next to each other, Ace moves to help protect her. They are constantly in each other’s spaces, sniping at each other, caring for each other - back on the same team. Just look at how they riff off each other getting Nick on board at the start. This is them finally meeting each other in the same place again and it is beautiful to watch.
The whole episode is absolute gold, up there with 2x11 The Scourge of the Forgotten Rune for me (Nancy Drew is at its best when it embraces the insanity and has the whole crew together doing crazy things), but I want to focus on that moment when Ace comes back to The Claw to see Nancy again. Sure he maintains that he’s there to pick up the silver, but he knew she would be there on her own and he is so desperate to try and talk to her without the others present and get them back on the same page again that he returns long after everyone else has gone.
And Nancy knows who it is the moment she hears his footsteps. These are two people so attuned to the other that they don’t even need to see. She knows from the way he opens the door, from the tread of his boots, from the scent of his shampoo, from the stuttered breath when he catches sight of her, from the way her heartbeat trips over itself.
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GIF Credit @nancy-drew
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She’s been having the arguments she wants to have with him over and over and over in her head the entire time she’s been cleaning, and finally he’s here so she doesn’t wait, doesn’t ease into it, just throws them headfirst into confronting it. It had felt like maybe things would be ok, even though she was feeling messy and confused about that dance with Tristan, and for a lot of the game night it had been. But then Chunky and she’s been angry and spoiling for this fight ever since.
GIF Credit @nancy-drew
Because she wants Ace, she wants to be with him, to love him freely and without judgement. And not only does she still feel like he’s abandoned her, abandoned them. But she doesn’t know how to unpack what happened with Chunky. Ace was cornered when she pieced it together, flustered and unsure and George and Nick were there and he didn’t know how to explain all of it. That he was trying to do something for her, for them, that Chunky was a metaphor and he knew he had to let her go even though it’s killing him. Splits him clean in two every time she looks at him like that. And he was embarrassed, that he couldn’t bear the idea that she’d know - that he’d seen her with Tristan, that he’d done this for her, that his heart was stitched so messily to his sleeve when it comes to her.
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He wasn’t able to tell her any of that - can barely express it to himself. Tongue tied up when it matters the most. He’s always been able to talk to Nancy, but now - now it’s like he can’t unpick the words from his throat, his chest. Push them out beyond his teeth, caught up behind the boulder of the I love you that’s jamming his throat.
GIF Credit @nancy-drew
So she doesn’t understand - how could she? And she’s furious and spent the last hours arguing in her head so she’s spoiling for this fight, desperate to provoke something after so much uncertainty. She’s tried pleading, tried telling him how she feels, tried giving him space, and for so much of this day it’s felt almost normal between them. Except for wanting to touch him, wanting to kiss him, wanting to take him by the shoulders and shake him into understanding how much she needs him. But it’s no longer her curse, it’s our curse, the last shared connection between them.
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GIF Credit @nancy-drew
And it’s his words back in his face - wanting to go back as they were, as friends. And hearing them back hurts harder than it should, a punch to the solar plexus as he clenches his jaw against the pain. She’s not wrong, she’s not hurling accusations, not telling him anything new. But when they’ve been close, so close, so close to touching, to what they had before, suddenly it’s like ripping his chest open and handing her his still beating heart.
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GIF credit @nancy-drew
She’s calling him out, direct eye contact, she’s not shying away from him, from this conversation. From everything painful they’ve been burying and pretending was fine. And he knows he deserves it, still can’t find the words to untangle it so she understands exactly why they can’t try again to break the curse. To make her understand that he cannot lose her, the world cannot lose her, their friends and her dads cannot lose her. But he will put himself in harm's way a hundred times, a thousand, to protect her. If it’s just his life on the line he will throw himself on it just to see her smile, to touch her face, kiss her lips again. But he can’t tell her, can’t formulate the sounds, so he just keeps messing up and lying and hurting her with how much he’s caught in a net of his own fear and pain.
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GIF Credit @nancy-drew
And he’s so close at this moment. This moment of acknowledging finally that he was wrong, that they can’t go back. He never truly wanted to, his heart was never in it. Nick was right, there was too much tangled up in their friendship - that was never all there was.
They can’t go back, but he’s so damn afraid of forward, of what it means, of the risks they would take. But it’s there, poised on the tip of his tongue, the set of his shoulders, the tightness of his jaw.
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GIF credit @nancy-drew
He is so close to saying they should try. That he can’t bear not being with her, that seeing her dancing with another man was like ripping out his heart, plucking out his ribs one by one. But he’s so afraid that she doesn’t want that anymore, that it was just a passing interest (that he isn’t worth it, never worth it, will never be worth it) that he can’t put the words in her mouth, can’t suggest it, has to hear it from her. He sets her up for her to tell him she wants to be with him, wants to try again. Is poised on the precipice with his agreement to try again caught on his lips.
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GIF credit @nancy-drew
But Nancy is so battered and bruised and afraid that he’ll just leave again if she opens herself up that when he doesn’t say he wants to try again, when he doesn’t take the opportunity that she left dangling like a promise, she shuts down. And despite what she just said, that they never lied to each other, she leaves that firmly in the past and lies now. Gaze moving away from Ace - she can’t look him in the eye and say this. She lies. Tells him that she wants him to let her move on. 
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GIF Credit @nancy-drew
Her body can’t carry on the deceit, moves towards him even as she’s telling him to let her go. Catches herself at the last moment and pulls back. Only looks at him again when she’s sure she’s steady, pulled herself back, won’t reach for him, leaves her hands fisted on empty air at her sides.
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GIF Credit @nancy-drew
Ace was so braced for her saying they should try again, you can see the shock, the desperate fear as his stomach plummets at her words. He thought they were moving towards trying again, and she’s pushing him further away, feeding back into his fear that’s not enough.
And for a moment they are honest. A beautiful sweeping breath of air, a last salvation moment for both of each giving the opportunity to the other to break the stalemate they’ve reached.
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GIF Credit  @nancy-drew​
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GIF Credit  @nancy-drew
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GIF Credit  @nancy-drew
They are both in so much pain, both so desperate to protect the other that they’re twisting the knives in harder. Showing a soft spot to drive in the next. And Nancy thinks that maybe, maybe by clearing the air, by acknowledging how heartbroken she is, how hurt and desperate he is, that Ace will finally step up, undo the damage before it’s too late and tell her they’ll keep trying.
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GIF Credit @nancy-drew
Clean the wound before it festers and turns septic. She needs Ace like breathing, can’t lose him but can’t stand the constant battle of yes and no, heartbreak and love, touching and not. It’s too much, layered one of the other over the other until she feels like she might crack beneath the weight of it all. 
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GIF Credit @nancy-drew
But Ace has misread it. Thinks she truly just wants him to leave, to let her be, let her move on and be with Tristan. And even though it hurts, kills him, like swallowing glass every time he looks at them, he can understand exactly why she would want that and not him, Why would she ever want him? If she wanted him she would have said, she would have told him she wanted to try again. If you love something set it free - that’s all he can give her now.
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GIF credit @nancy-drew
They’ve always been so good at communicating with each other, but somewhere in these last days and weeks they’ve fallen out of step. Stopped trusting their instincts, no longer believing what their guts are screaming is true. Nancy was so sure that Ace would understand - he’s always understood, even when she herself has barely been able to fit the jigsaw pieces of her feelings together. So him agreeing, saying they’ll take space is like a final brutal blow when she’s already been beaten bloody. She sways towards him again, unintentional, she can’t help it, moving closer to him is an instinct, he’s her home. But she can’t look at him, has to look away to hide the raw devastation in her eyes.
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GIF credit @nancy-drew
He takes her silence, her refusal to look at him as agreement - of course she would agree, it’s what she’s said she wants. She’d tell him if it weren’t true, she’s just called him out for lying so everything now must be the truth. He turns to go, hesitates, waits for a beat expecting her to say something (anything). As he moves away she moves to occupy the space he’s just left. Even as she’s turning away from him she’s still subconsciously trying to move closer.
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GIF credit  @nancy-drew
She can’t bear to watch him leave, still half convinced he’ll say something, stop, turn around, grab her and kiss her and to hell with the curse. And he hesitates once, twice, three times. So sure she’ll stop him, say something. Not trusting that tug in his gut that’s telling him to stop, turn around, take her in his arms and tell her how much he loves her, that they’ll fight, they’ll fight until they’re free, and he’ll be there by her side every step of the way.
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GIF Credit  @nancy-drew
Nancy was frozen in that state of waiting, couldn’t move, could barely breathe, sure that at any moment the nightmare would end, that he’d understand, that he’d come back. But Florence starts up and drives away and then she breathes. Then she moves. Then she lets the tears fall. Because he left, just like so many others, even though she thought he was different, that he understood. He left her all alone, just like they always do.
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henrysglock · 8 months
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In Short: I Was Right About The Released Script and The Filmed Monologue.
In this post here about the discrepancies in the released 4.07 script as compared to the version of One's monologue that we see on screen, I mentioned a sneaking suspicion that they might be two halves of a whole monologue.
So, I spliced the 4.07 transcript and 4.07 script together:
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For clarity's sake, I color-coded it. Red-colored lines are ones that only appear in the filmed monologue. Blue-colored lines are ones that only appear in the released script. Words in parentheses indicate a swap in wording/phrasing. Words not in parentheses are additional words. Everything is left in order of appearance, i.e. none of the lines have been shifted for clarity. The texts are one-to-one merged.
As we can see, they splice together very nicely...especially in places where we were missing subjects, conclusions, topic introductions, and/or topic re-introductions in the individual texts.
For example:
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In the script, the conculsion/Victor's fate is not mentioned. In the transcript, Victor is never re-introduced to El as the subject of his own arrest.
In the merged version, it becomes:
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Victor is re-introduced to El, and his fate is told.
Or here:
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Brenner's goals with One is introduced in the script, but the part about "fixing" comes out of nowhere, since Virginia's goal of fixing Henry is never brought up. "A doctor not interested in fixing" implies that someone had been interested in fixing him. No such case is mentioned. Meanwhile, Virginia's goal of fixing Henry is mentioned in the transcript, but Brenner's "studying" part comes out of nowhere. "He did not just want to study me" implies that being studied was mentioned previously. It was not.
In the merged version, it becomes:
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Fixing? Mentioned by discussion of Virginia. Studying? Mentioned via Brenner's introduction.
And even within that section:
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The transcript initially mentions why Henward wants to escape/break free, but it veers away from it with Victor's arrest...only to revisit it out of nowhere directly after. The script never introduces breaking free/why Henward wanted to escape, but it does go from Victor's knowledge (or lack thereof) directly into a clear reintroduction of his need to escape.
In the merged version, it becomes:
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Reason for escaping? Given. Escaping? Clear reintroduction to the topic.
The two texts fill in each other's gaps, just as I suspected.
Now I won't say that there aren't some wonky bits, particularly in the "My naive father...for their sins" and "The more I practiced...take the next step" sections.
These exist entirely separately, and they overlay the same memory: Victor's cradle vision and Henward in the red sweater sitting in the attic.
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This becomes interesting when we consider that this ^ isn't Nancy's POV. Nancy is downstairs watching Victor...
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...and this view is peeking over some boxes in the attic, supposedly seeing Henward while he's enacting said vision:
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It, like this scene:
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Is from a bizarre outsider POV, one that's about Henward-height.
So my thoughts on that wonky-ness amount to this:
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I would speculate that the two lines don't feed into each other, but may instead be meant to occur simultaneously from different people (whether that be via a time loop or via timelines...I can't say for certain).
Either way, the texts do line up as two halves of a whole.
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is there any significance to the duffel bag at the bank in 4x07 that rio and beth deliver being filled with costume jewelry or whatever that slip of paper says? that went over my head
Hi Anon! TY for the ask. ❤️ Such an angsty episode, too. My favorite.
Idk that the bag itself has any specific significance. The slip of paper was, I think, a pawn shop receipt showing that all the jewelry was paid for and there’s nothing illegal about what he’s doing. Maybe the fake jewelry was commentary on how fake Beth is being? That seems like a stretch though. If you’ve seen other analysis on this specific choice for Rio I would love to read it! But I think it was just Rio covering his tracks with the feds while clueing Beth in that he’s aware of the game she’s running.
To me, there’s this standoff with Brio up until that moment, where they both know, but they won’t say.
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I really believe Rio knew she was responsible for a hit on him when he realized “Dave” wasn’t SS and that Beth sent him to execute someone she knew had Rio as his mark. And I think he suspected she was responsible for making him the mark. I also think Rio decided to heed “Dave’s” advice and try to be careful “with a woman like that.” It took this man 4 seasons to stop underestimating her ability to be cold blooded. I also think this is when he decided to change his approach.
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I view Rio as trying to work with Beth for the entirety of season 4. I don’t think he was ever going to give the cops that gun with her prints and I think he struggled a lot with the emotions of making the decision to resign himself to her. I have some discussion of it in this post. But everything he did leading up to asking her to choose him was him actively trying to show her he’s on her side and that they can work together. He made her The Banker. “He trusts you.” He told her he’ll show her how his operation is structured. He showed her not only his business, but also his family and how he mixes work and emotions constantly. He showed her his capacity for gentleness, for protectiveness, for offering her the things she likes and values. He tried to get her to see that he is like her. That he is human. He flirted with her, he acknowledged their connection out loud, he noticed when she dressed up for him, he appreciated her gestures even when she herself denied that they were gestures at all. He was so gd gentle with her that whole season! And I think it worked.
Beth’s incremental softening to him happened because of his choice to stop antagonizing her at every turn. He didn’t always get to see her thawing resolve, but I think he put his trust into it happening. For a while at least. He had no other choice. She had control and he had to work within her limits to get them to a point of honesty. 4.07 was a very honest episode. Rio actually used his words for once and asked for what he needed instead of making it a test of loyalties or some riddle. And despite her lies, Beth heard him.
My favorite line of this episode is when Rio so openly airs his hurt with, “I just thought that things were different now,” and Beth looks him over as he’s turned away and stutters out, “If Carolyn makes you feel…” It’s almost too intimate. Such an uncomfortable line both for her to say and us to hear. It’s this acknowledgment that she sees his feelings on him. That she’s aware she’s hurting him. These cracks in her denial and her little shows of the compassion and empathy and whatever else she feels for him that she’s been stuffing down are so engrossing to me. I love to watch her watch him hurt. Love to see the guilt bubbling up despite herself. The way she sits beside him with her hands up, almost bewildered. Not by the situation. I give her more credit than to underestimate him like this. She’s sitting in her discomfort at his candor. At his open choice of her and his brazen ask to be chosen back. Like, they don’t do that. Or he doesn’t, at least. He doesn’t ask her to save him. He doesn’t ask her to see him as a fellow human, one whom she cares about. They’ve sat in a car like this before and she asked him for help and to remember what she means to him. And he said no, that she was just work. And now they’re back in a different car, him asking her to remember what he means to her. Him asking her to pick him.
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The duffle bag was just another gesture. Another way for Rio to show her that despite her lies he still would choose her. Over and over. And over again.
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I did the Community episode sorter. According to the sorter these are my top 10 episodes.
1. cooperative calligraphy (2.08) 2. mixology certification (2.10) 3. contemporary american poultry (1.21) 4. physical education (1.17) 5. emotional consequences of broadcast television (6.13) 6. virtual systems analysis (3.16) 7. origins of vampire mythology (3.15) 8. foosball and nocturnal vigilantism (3.09) 9. regional holiday music (3.10) 10. accounting for lawyers (2.02)
sounds about right.
Full ranking behind the cut - some rankings may shock you.
rankoptions 1 cooperative calligraphy (2.08) 2 mixology certification (2.10) 3 contemporary american poultry (1.21) 4 physical education (1.17) 5 emotional consequences of broadcast television (6.13) 6 virtual systems analysis (3.16) 7 origins of vampire mythology (3.15) 8 foosball and nocturnal vigilantism (3.09) 8 regional holiday music (3.10) 10 accounting for lawyers (2.02) 11 pillows and blankets (3.14) 12 studies in modern movement (3.07) 13 paradigms of human memory (2.21) 14 basic email security (6.06) 15 messianic myths and ancient peoples (2.05) 16 abed's uncontrollable christmas (2.11) 17 advanced dungeons and dragons (2.14) 18 critical film studies (2.19) 19 basic rocket science (2.04) 20 for a few paintballs more (2.24) 21 epidemiology (2.06) 22 early 21st century romanticism (2.15) 23 intermediate documentary filmmaking (2.16) 24 basic rv repair and palmistry (6.10) 25 social psychology (1.04) 26 anthropology 101 (2.01) 27 introduction to film (1.03) 28 romantic expressionism (1.15) 29 beginner pottery (1.19) 30 curriculum unavailable (3.19) 31 course listing unavailable (3.18) 32 urban matrimony and the sandwich arts (3.12) 33 applied anthropology and culinary arts (2.22) 34 basic crisis room decorum (6.03) 35 the science of illusion (1.20) 36 spanish 101 (1.02) 37 basic lupine urology (3.17) 38 home economics (1.08) 39 modern espionage (6.11) 40 bondage and beta male sexuality (5.07) 41 environmental science (1.10) 42 advanced advanced dungeons and dragons (5.10) 43 a fistful of paintballs (2.23) 44 aerodynamics of gender (2.07) 45 celebrity pharmacology (2.13) 46 communication studies (1.16) 47 intro to political science (2.17) 48 advanced criminal law (1.05) 49 vcr maintenance and educational publishing (5.09) 50 introduction to teaching (5.02) 51 asian population studies (2.12) 52 documentary filmmaking: redux (3.08) 53 digital exploration of interior design (3.13) 54 geothermal escapism (5.05) 55 advanced safety features (6.07) 56 modern warfare (1.23) 57 introduction to statistics (1.07) 58 analysis of cork-based networking (5.06) 59 cooperative polygraphy (5.04) 60 ladders (6.01) 61 competitive wine tasting (2.20) 62 biology 101 (3.01) 63 remedial chaos theory (3.03) 64 interpretative dance (1.14) 65 comparative religion (1.12) 66 investigative journalism (1.13) 67 intro to recycled cinema (6.08) 68 the psychology of letting go (2.03) 69 football, feminism, and you (1.06) 70 conspiracy theories and interior design (2.09) 71 custody law and eastern european diplomacy (2.18) 72 competitive ecology (3.04) 73 horror fiction in seven spooky steps (3.05) 74 geography of global conflict (3.02) 75 pilot (1.01) 76 contemporary impressionists (3.11) 77 cooperative escapism in familial relations (4.05) 78 herstory of dance (4.08) 79 advanced documentary filmmaking (4.06) 80 advanced gay (3.06) 81 basic human anatomy (4.11) 82 the art of discourse (1.22) 83 english as a second language (1.24) 84 the politics of human sexuality (1.11) 85 debate 109 (1.09) 86 app development and condiments (5.08) 87 basic intergluteal numismatics (5.03) 88 repilot (5.01) 89 grifting 101 (6.09) 90 basic genealogy (1.18) 91 digital estate planning (3.20) 92 intro to knots (4.10) 93 g.i. jeff (5.11) 94 paranormal parentage (4.02) 95 history 101 (4.01) 96 economics of marine biology (4.07) 97 introduction to finality (3.22) 98 the first chang dynasty (3.21) 99 advanced introduction to finality (4.13) 100 basic sandwich (5.13) 101 basic story (5.12) 102 wedding videography (6.12) 103 queer studies and advanced waxing (6.04) 104 pascal's triangle revisited (1.25) 105 lawnmower maintenance and postnatal care (6.02) 106 laws of robotics and party rights (6.05) 107 heroic origins (4.12) 108 conventions of space and time (4.03) 108 alternative history of the german invasion (4.04) 108 intro to felt surrogacy (4.09)
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statespoll · 1 year
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Election 2022 Governor Prediction Map November 7, 2022(Final Map)
My Twitter: https://twitter.com/StatesPoll/ This Map Created with www.Mapchart.net
* My analysis is neutral, not biased. Based on
1) Presidential Election 2020 Fox New Voter Analysis  
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis
2) Latest Poll(adjustment)
3) Voter registration statistics Trend + Early voting(VBM+In person)
4) Oppostion Party’s Advantage on the Midterm
(more Rep % / less Dem % than Presidential Year)
My 2022 Governor Final Map on the Twitter:
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* My Party ID % By States speculation post:
https://statespoll.com/post/699439301682954240 (October 29, 2022)
Last Updated: November 7, 2022  8:30 AM (EST) Maine
I. BattleGround States
1. Pennsylvania
1) My Party ID speculation, PA
with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 46% / IND 7%
2) Latest Poll
NYT/Siena 10/24-10/26, 620 LV
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/31/upshot/senate-polls-az-ga-nv-pa-crosstabs.html
Shapiro 53% / Mastriano 40%. D +13
Crosstabs, White: Shapiro 51 / Mastriano 43.
My Adjusted %: Shapiro 53.6 / Mastriano 41.8 D +11.8
Shapiro: R(47)x16+D(46)x92+I(7)x53=53.62
Mastriano: R(47)x80+D(46)x4+I(7)x34=41.82
3) Pennsylvania Gov  Race 2022 Forecast: Solid D
2. Wisconsin
1) My Party ID speculation, WI
with leaner: REP 50% / DEM 41% / IND 9%
2) Latest Poll
(1) Marquette 10/24-11/1 679 LV
https://www.dropbox.com/s/l3h7qgjl78njvjf/MLSP74CrosstabsLV.html?dl=1
Michels 48% / Evers 48%
My Adjusted %: Michels(REP) +7.68%
Michels: R(50)x92+D(41)x2+I(9)x55=51.78
Evers: R(50)x4+D(41)x95+I(9)x35=44.1
Beglinger: R(50)x3+D(41)x1+I(9)x9=2.72
(2) Data for Progress 10/14-10/22 1,376 LV
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_wi_midterm_tabs.pdf
Michels 49 / Evers 48
My adjusted %: Michels R +4.97%
Michels: R(50)x94+D(41)x3+I(9)x41=51.92
Evers:R(50)x5+D(41)x97+I(9)x52=46.95
3) Wisconsin 2022 Gov Race Forecast: Lean R~Likely R
3. Arizona
1) My Party ID speculation, AZ
with leaner: REP 51% / DEM 43% / IND 6%
2) Latest Poll
(1) Data for Progress 11/2-11/6 1,359 LV (1,157 RV)
Lake 52% / Hobbs 48%
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/11/dfp_az_final_midterm_tabs.pdf
(2) #AZGov Marist 10/31-11/2 1,015 LV (1,157 RV)
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Marist-Poll_AZ-NOS-and-Tables_202211031029.pdf
LV Model: Hobbs(D) 49 / Lake® 48
My Adjusted %: Hobbs +0.26%
Hobbs(D): R(51)x9+D(43)x97+I(6)x53=49.48 Lake®: R(51)x90+D(43)x2+I(6)x41=49.22
(3) NYT/Siena 10/24-10/26. 604 LV
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/31/upshot/senate-polls-az-ga-nv-pa-crosstabs.html
Lake 48 / Hobbs 48
My Adjusted %: Lake R +3.96%
Lake: R(50)x93+D(43)x4+I(7)X38=50.88%
Hobbs: R(50)x5+D(43)x94+I(7)x57=46.91
(4) Data for Progress 10/14-10/22 1,376 LV
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_az_midterm_tabs.pdf
Lake 50 / Hobbs 46
My Adjusted %: Lake R +3.94%
Lake: R(50)x93+D(43)x2+I(7)X46=50.58%
Hobbs: R(50)x4+D(43)x96+I(7)x48=46.64
3) Arizona Party ID %  Statistics
(1) August 2022
REP: 34.52%  DEM: 30.97%   R +3.55%
https://azsos.gov/elections/voter-registration-historical-election-data
(2) November 6, 2018: Total 3,712,500
Rep: 35.24% DEM: 32.2%  R +3.04%
https://azsos.gov/elections/voter-registration-historical-election-data/voter-registration-counts
about +0.51% shift for Rep.
4) Arizona 2022 Forecast: Tilt R
4. Nevada
1) My Party ID speculation, NV
with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 42% / IND 11%,
2018 NVGov Fox Voter Analysis: DEM 44% / REP 42% / IND 14%
2020 NV Pres Fox Voter Analysis: REP 48% / DEM 47% / IND 6%
2) Latest Poll
(1) NYT/Siena 10/19-10/24. 885 LV
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/31/upshot/senate-polls-az-ga-nv-pa-crosstabs.html
Lombardo 49 / Sisolak 45
My Adjusted %: Lombardo +6.06%
Lombardo: R(47)x92+D(42)x6+I(11)X53=51.59%
Sisolak: R(47)x6+D(42)x92+I(11)x37=45.53
(2) Data for Progress 10/13-10/19, 819 LV
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_nv_midterm_crosstabs.pdf
Lombardo 48% / Sisolak 47%
My Adjusted %: Lombardo R +4.07%
Lombardo: R(47)x91+D(42)x5+I(11)x45=49.82
Sisolak: R(47)x3+D(42)x93+I(11)x48=45.75
3) Nevada Party ID %  Statistics
(1) September 6, 2022: Active Voters.  Total 1,779,484
DEM 586,475(32.96%) REP 538,077(30.24%)  D +2.72%
https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/voter-registration-statistics/2022
(2) November 2, 2020: Active Voters.  Total 1,821,356
DEM 679,332(37.3%) REP 591,916(32.5%)  D +4.8%
https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/2020-statistics/-fsiteid-1
(2) October 18, 2018: Active Voters.  Total 1,560,928
DEM 598,174(38.32%) REP 523,251 (33.52%)  D +4.69%
https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/2020-statistics/-fsiteid-1
Since november 2020 about +2.08% shift for Rep.
4) Nevada 2022 Forecast: Lean~Likely R
5. Michigan
1) My Party ID speculation, MI
with Leaner: REP 48% / DEM 44% / IND 9%
2) Latest Poll
(1) Mitchell 11/3  658 LV
whitmer (D) 50 / TudorDixon ® 48
My Adjusted %: Dixon® +0.56.  Dead Heat
Dixon: R(48)x92+D(44)x3+I(8)x51=49.56
Whitemer: R(48)x6+D(44)x97+I(8)x43=49
https://realclearpolitics.com/docs/2022/Mitchell_-_MIRS_Press_Release_MI_Poll_11-4-22.pdf
3) Michigan 2022 Gov Race Forecast: Tilt R
6. Minnesota
1) My Party ID speculation, MN
with Leaner: REP 47% / DEM 45% / IND 8%
1) Election 2020 Fox News Voter Analysis
MN: 3,583 Respondents(Voters)
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=MN
(1) Party ID%, Minnesota with leaner:  DEM 47% / REP 46% / IND 6%
Trends could be similar like PA  R +1% D -1% from 2020
(voter regd in Iowa is also trending R)
My Speculation(September, 2022). Minnesota
with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 45% / IND 8%
2) Latest Poll
(1) SurveyUSA 10/26-10/30, 836 LV
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YvHqJVoiDCp5NEWzuQHfhoCt9uxuin8keKdZ5iCl5Q0/edit#gid=0
Poll results: Walz 51% / Jensen 43%
My adjusted %: Walz 51.6 / Jensen 45.4. Walz(D) +6.2%
Walz: R(47)x9+D(45)x96+IND(8)x52= 51.59
Jensen: R(47)x87+D(45)x4+IND(8)x34= 45.41%
undecided: REP 3% / DEM 0% / IND7%
(2) Trafalgar 10/17-10/19  1,091 LV
Jensen 46.3 / Walz 45.8 / 3rd Parties 3.9 / Undecided 3.9
R +0.5%
https://alphanews.org/exclusive-jensen-takes-lead-in-minnesota-governors-race/
(3) MinnPost 10/10-10/14, 1,585 LV
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YvHqJVoiDCp5NEWzuQHfhoCt9uxuin8keKdZ5iCl5Q0/edit#gid=0
Poll results: Walz 47% / Jensen 42%
My adjusted %: Jensen 44.9% / Walz 44.74%.  R +0.16%
Jensen: R(47)x88+D(45)x2+IND(8)x33= 44.9%
Walz: R(47)x2+D(45)x92+IND(8)x30= 44.74%
undecided/would not vote: REP 6% / DEM 2% / IND 23%
considering undecided/would not voters favor Jensen (R 6 > D 2 )
3) Minnesota 2022 Forecast: Lean D
7. New York
1) My Party ID speculation, New York
with leaner: DEM 57% / REP 38% / IND 5%
without leaner: DEM 48% / REP 26% / IND 26%
2018 NYGov Fox voter analysis
2) Latest Poll
Emerson 10/20-10/24, 1,000 LV
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2022-hochuls-lead-over-zeldin-tightens-independent-voters-flip-toward-zeldin/
Poll results: Hochul(DEM) 50.1 / Zeldin(REP) 43.8% D +6.3%
Poll Samples: 1) registered: D 52.7 / R 23.6 / Other 23.5
3) New York Governor 2022 Forecast: Lean D
8. Oregon
1) My Party ID speculation, OR
with leaner DEM 49 / REP 43 / Pure IND 8
2022 GOP is doing much better than 2020
https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2022?demo_filters=%5B%7B%22key%22%3A%22registeredParty%22%2C%22value%22%3A%22All%22%7D%5D&state=OR&view_type=state
2020 Fox voter analysis with leaner: DEM 54 / REP 41 / Pure IND 5
DEM  Biden 95 / Trump 4
REP  Biden 8 / Trump 89
IND    Biden 48 / Trump 33
2018 Fox voter analysis with leaner: DEM 50 / REP 34 / Pure IND 16
https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis?filter=OR&type=G
DEM  Brwon 89 / Buehler 8
REP  Brown 7 / Buehler 90
IND    
2) Latest Poll
(1) Emerson 10/31-11/1  975 LV
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/oregon-2022-independent-candidates-support-melts-as-democrat-tina-kotek-leads-republican-christine-drazan-by-four-for-governor/
Kotek 46 / Drazan 41 / Johnson 9
(2) DataProgress 10/16-10/18 1,021 LV
https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_oregon_october18_2022_tabs.pdf
Drazan 43 / Kotek 42 / Johnson 12
My adjusted %: Kotek D +1.6%
Kotek: D(49)x87+R(43)x1+IND(8)X36=45.94
Drazan: D(49)x3+R(43)X93+IND(8)X36=44.34
Johnshon: D(49)x8+R(43)x5+IND(8)x23=7.91
3) Oregon 2022 Gov Race Forecast: Tilt D
9. Maine
1) My Party ID speculation, ME
with leaner: REP 48% / DEM 42% / IND 10%
2) Latest Poll
(1) UNH 11/2-11/6, 922 LV
https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1716&context=survey_center_polls
Poll samples: DEM 45% / REP 40% / IND 16%
Poll results: Mills 52% / LePage 44% / Hunkler 2%
Adjusted % : LePage(REP) +4.1%
LePage: REP(48%)x96%+DEM(42%)X0%+IND(10%)x45%= 50.58%
Mills: REP(48%)x4%+DEM(42%)x98%+IND(10%)x34%= 46.48%
Hunkler: REP(48%)x0%+DEM(42%)x2%+IND(10%)x8%= 1.64%
3) Maine Governor 2022 Forecast: Tilt R
10. New Mexico
1) My Party ID speculation, NM
with leaner: DEM 50% / REP 43% / IND 7%
2) Latest Poll
(1) Journal 10/20-10/27, 1,254 LV
https://www.abqjournal.com/2544712/lujan-grisham-maintains-8point-lead-over-ronchetti.html
1) Poll results
Results: Grisham 50% / Ronchetti 42%
3) New Mexico Governor 2022 Forecast: Lean D
11. Colorado
1) My Party ID speculation, CO
with leaner: DEM 43% / REP 42% / IND 8%
2) Latest Poll
(1) Civiqs 10/15-10/18, 600 LV
https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_CO_banner_book_2022_10_t23jdx.pdf
Poll results: Jared Polis(DEM) 55% / Heidi Ganahl(REP) 40%.  
Poll samples: D 39 / R 29 / IND 32 D +10%
Adjusted %:
Polis: D(43)x98+R(42)x5+IND(15)x46=51.14
Ganahl: D(43)x1+R(42)x88+IND(15)x45=44.14
3) Colorado Governor 2022 Forecast: Solid D
12. Kansas
1) My Party ID speculation, KS
with leaner: REP 59% DEM 37% IND 4%
2020 Fox voter analysis KSSen: REP 59% DEM 37% IND 4%
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?race=S&state=KS
2018 KSGov it was REP 54% / DEM 35% / IND 11%
https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis?filter=KS&type=G
2) Latest Poll
(1) Emerson 10/27-10/29  1,000 LV
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/kansas-2022-governor-laura-kelly-holds-three-point-lead-over-ag-derek-schmidt-in-gubernatorial-election-senator-moran-leads-by-21-points-for-re-election/
Poll results(with Leaner): Kelly(DEM) 48.7% / Scmidt(REP) 44.1%
Adjusted %: Kelly 47.5% / Schmidt 45.9% / Pyle 5.2%. D +1.6%
Kelly: R(59%)x18.2% +D(37%)x93.5%+IND(4%)x54.8%= 47.525%
Schmidt: R(59%)x72.7% +D(37%)x4.3%+IND(4%)x35.9%=45.92%
Pyle(Ind, Former Republican until 2022, Still a Kansas State Senator)
: R(59%)x 7.8+D(37%)x1.1+IND(4%)x4.6=5.193%
3) Kansas Party ID %  Statistics
https://sos.ks.gov/elections/elections-statistics-data.html#voter-registration
Aug,2022 Total   1,951,099
REP 858,429 (44.0%) DEM 503,746 (25.82%)  R +18.18%
Jan, 2021 Total 1,942,156
REP 874,555 (45.03%) DEM 509,955 (26.26%)  R +18.77%
4) Kansas Governor 2022 Forecast: Tilt D
13. Connecticut
1) My Party ID speculation, CT
with leaner: DEM 53% / REP 41% / IND 6%
2) Latest Poll
(1) Emerson 10/19-10/21, 1,000 LV
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/connecticut-2022-incumbents-blumenthal–lamont-maintain-leads-ahead-of-midterm-elections/
Poll results: Lamont 52% / Stefanowski 41%
3) Connecticut Governor 2022 Forecast: Likely D
FYI) 2018 CO Gov race results: Lamont 49.4% / Stefanowski 46.2%. D +3.2%
The race for governor is heating up with a 2018 rematch of
Ned Lamont vs. Bob Stefanowski.
14. Oklahoma
1) My Party ID speculation, Oklahoma
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=OK
with leaner: REP 68% / DEM 29% / IND 3% (2020 Fox )
2018 OKGov it was REP 65% / DEM 26% / IND 10%
https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis?filter=OK&type=G
2) Latest Poll
(1) Emerson 10/25-10/28, 1,000 LV
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/oklahoma-2022-governor-stitt-leads-hofmeister-by-nine-economy-is-determining-issue-for-voters/
Stitt 52% / Hofmeister 43%
(2) Ascend Action ®/Fox25 10/10-10/12, 638 LV
https://okcfox.com/news/local/oklahoma-governor-election-midterm-2022-joy-hofmeister-kevin-stitt-democrat-republican-independent-vote-poll-ascend-action-joe-biden
Poll results: Hofmeister (DEM) 49 % / Stitt (REP-INC) 42%
Adjusted: Stitt 48.7% / Hofmeister 41.5%  R +7.2%
Stitt: REP(68%)x69%+DEM(29%)x4%+IND(3%)x22%=48.74%
Hofmeister: REP(68%)x20%+DEM(29%)x89%+IND(3%)x69%=41.48%
3) Oklahoma Governor 2022 Forecast: Solid R
15. Illinois
1) My Party ID speculation, IL
with leaner: DEM 51% / REP 41% / IND 8%
2020 ILPres Fox Voter Analysis(with leaner)
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=IL
D 54 / R 41 / IND 5
DEM  Biden 96 / Trump 3
REP Biden 8 / Trump 90
IND  Biden 48 / Trump 40
2018 ILGov Fox Voter Analysis (with leaner)
https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis?filter=IL&type=G
D 52 / R 35 / IND 13
FYI) McCann a former republican, very conservative candidate.
DEM  Priztker 90 / Rauner 7 / McCann 1
REP  Priztker 8 / Rauner 83 / McCann 8
IND   No info, If i calculate the guess using the elimination method,
IND Priztker 37.9(?) / Rauner 47.2(?) / McCann  7(?)
2018 ILGov results: Pritzker 54.53 / Rauner 38.83 / McCann 4.23
2) Latest Poll
(1) Emerson 10/20-10/24, 1,000 LV
emersoncollegepolling.com/illinois-2022-democratic-incumbents-prtizker-and-duckworth-leads-shrink-as-republican-challengers-bailey-and-salvi-gain-support/
Poll results: Pritzker(DEM) 50.3% / Bailey(REP) 40.8%.
My Adjusted %: Pritzker(DEM) 49.79% / Bailey(REP) 42.95%. D +6.84%
Pritzker: D(50)x88.3+R(42)x6.6+IND(8)x39=49.79%
Bailey: D(50)x5.3+R(42)x87.2+IND(8)x45.9=42.946
3) Illinois Governor 2022 Forecast: Likely D~Solid  D
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Circuit Tracer Market Preparing for the Unforeseen Future in 2032: SWOT and Feasibility Analysis
The circuit tracer market size was valued at USD 191.5 Million in 2023 and is expected to reach a market size of USD 256.1 Million by 2032 at a CAGR of 3.3%.
The circuit tracer market has witnessed substantial growth in recent years owing to the increasing demand for efficient electrical maintenance and troubleshooting solutions across various industries. Circuit tracers are essential tools used by electricians and technicians to identify, trace, and diagnose electrical circuits, thereby enhancing safety and reducing downtime.
The market is characterized by a wide range of products catering to different voltage levels and applications, including residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. With advancements in technology, such as digital signal processing and wireless connectivity, circuit tracers have become more sophisticated, offering higher accuracy and reliability in circuit tracing tasks. Additionally, stringent regulations mandating safety standards in electrical installations have further propelled market growth as businesses prioritize compliance and risk mitigation.
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Key Growth Factors:
· Increasing Adoption of Circuit Tracers in Maintenance and Repair Operations: As industries strive to minimize downtime and enhance operational efficiency, the adoption of circuit tracers for quick and accurate identification of faults and troubleshooting has surged.
· Growing Emphasis on Electrical Safety: Rising awareness regarding the importance of electrical safety in workplaces and residential settings has led to the widespread deployment of circuit tracers to detect potential hazards and ensure compliance with safety standards.
· Technological Advancements Driving Product Innovation: Continuous innovation in circuit tracer technology, including the integration of features such as digital displays, GPS tracking, and wireless connectivity, is driving market growth by offering enhanced functionality and user convenience.
· Expansion of Construction and Infrastructure Projects: The booming construction sector, coupled with infrastructure development initiatives across regions, is generating significant demand for circuit tracers for electrical installation, maintenance, and renovation activities.
· Increasing Investment in Industrial Automation: With the growing adoption of automation in industrial processes, there is a parallel increase in the demand for advanced electrical testing and diagnostic tools like circuit tracers to ensure the reliability and safety of automated systems.
Top Companies are:
· Fluke Corporation
· Ideal Industries
· Klein Tools
· Greenlee
· Triplett
· Sperry Instruments
· Mastech
· Amprobe
· Southwire
· Extech Instruments
· Megger
Market Segmentations:
By Product Type (2024–2032)-
Wired
Wireless
By Voltage Range (2024–2032)-
0–120V
More than 120V
By End User (2024–2032)-
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
Regional Analysis:
North America commands the leading position in the global circuit tracer market, propelled by its robust electrical infrastructure, rigorous safety regulations, and enthusiastic embrace of cutting-edge technologies. As per the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the United States recorded a staggering consumption of approximately 4.07 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity in 2022, underscoring the immense magnitude of the electrical sector within the region.
Key highlights of the report include:
1. The report delivers thorough Market analysis, furnishing valuable insights to guide strategic decision-making.
2. The comprehensive research outlined in the study enhances the depth of your presentations and marketing strategies.
3. By offering crucial insights into key market competitors, the study empowers businesses with a strategic edge.
4. It delivers a precise assessment of evolving market dynamics, ensuring readers stay abreast of the latest industry trends.
5. With meticulous breakdowns of various market niches, the report facilitates informed decision-making processes.
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aktyagi123 · 19 days
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manojbh · 1 month
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dbmrmarkett · 1 month
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Onshore Drilling Fluids Market Size, Share, Growth, Trends, Demand and Opportunity Analysis
Global Onshore Drilling Fluids Market business report is the all-inclusive market research report which studies the challenges, market structures, opportunities, driving forces, emerging trends, and competitive landscape of industry. The report encompasses primary, secondary and advanced information about the global market with respect to status, trends, size, share, growth, and segments in the forecasted period. This Industry report conducts thorough competitive research to provide better market insights. This market report accomplishes comprehensive analysis of profiles of key market players that provides a competitive landscape. Onshore Drilling Fluids Market research report is one of the key factors used in maintaining competitiveness over competitors.
Market research report execution is becoming very critical for the successful businesses as it provides insights into revenue growth and sustainability initiative. Onshore Drilling Fluids Market survey report employs the use of latest tools and techniques for researching, analysing and collecting data and information. The statistical and numerical data are represented in graphical format for a neat understanding of facts and figures of market research analysis. Furthermore, Onshore Drilling Fluids Market business report presents the data and information for actionable, most recent and real-time market insights which makes it easier to even take critical business decisions.
Global Onshore Drilling Fluids Market was valued at USD 4.07 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach USD 6.01 billion by 2029, registering a CAGR of 5.00% during the forecast period of 2022-2029. Water-Based Fluids accounts for the largest product type segment in the respective market owing to the concern towards toxicity and biodegradation.
Access Full 350 Pages PDF Report @
Drilling fluids refer to the type of fluids that are widely used in exploration of oil. These fluids fing their application in the drilling of well to control the pressure, removing cuttings from the wellbore, sealing permeable formations encountered while drilling, and maintaining wellbore stability.
Some of the major players operating in the onshore drilling fluids market are
Baker Hughes Company (US)
Halliburton (US)
National Oilwell Varco (US)
Newpark Resources Inc. (US)
TETRA Technologies, Inc. (US)
Scomi Group Bhd (Malaysia)
CES Energy Solutions Corp. (Canada)
GEO Drilling Fluids, Inc. (US)
Weatherford (US)
Gumpro Drilling Fluids Pvt. Ltd. (India)
Akzo Nobel N.V. (Netherlands)
Catalyst LLC. (US)
Flotek Industries, Inc. (US)
China Oilfield Services Limited (China)
Mazrui International L.L.C. (UAE)
Global Onshore Drilling Fluids Market Scope and Market Size
The onshore drilling fluids market is segmented on the basis of product type and well type. The growth amongst these segments will help you analyze meager growth segments in the industries and provide the users with a valuable market overview and market insights to help them make strategic decisions for identifying core market applications.
Product Type
Water-Based Fluids
Ikalinity and Ph Control Materials
Viscosifiers
Shale Stabilizers
Fluids Loss Control Additives
Surfactants
Thinners
Defoamers
Others
Oil-Based Fluids
Viscosifiers
Dispersants
Fluids Loss Control Additives
Protective Chemicals
Wetting Agents
Thinners
Lost Circulation Materials
Others
Synthetic-Based Fluids
 Rheology Modifiers
Fluids Loss Control Additives
Viscosifiers
Thinners
 Surfactants
Wetting Agents
Others
Well Type
HPHT
Onshore Drilling Fluids Key Benefits over Global Competitors:
The report provides a qualitative and quantitative analysis of the Onshore Drilling Fluids Market trends, forecasts, and market size to determine new opportunities.
Porter’s Five Forces analysis highlights the potency of buyers and suppliers to enable stakeholders to make strategic business decisions and determine the level of competition in the industry.
Top impacting factors & major investment pockets are highlighted in the research.
The major countries in each region are analyzed and their revenue contribution is mentioned.
The market player positioning segment provides an understanding of the current position of the market players active in the Personal Care Ingredients
Table of Contents: Onshore Drilling Fluids Market
1 Introduction
2 Market Segmentation
3 Executive Summary
4 Premium Insight
5 Market Overview
6 Onshore Drilling Fluids Market, by Product Type
7 Onshore Drilling Fluids Market, by Modality
8 Onshore Drilling Fluids Market, by Type
9 Onshore Drilling Fluids Market, by Mode
10 Onshore Drilling Fluids Market, by End User
12 Onshore Drilling Fluids Market, by Geography
12 Onshore Drilling Fluids Market, Company Landscape
13 Swot Analysis
14 Company Profiles
The investment made in the study would provide you access to information such as:
Onshore Drilling Fluids Market [Global – Broken-down into regions]
Regional level split [North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, South America, Middle East & Africa]
Country wise Market Size Split [of important countries with major market share]
Market Share and Revenue/Sales by leading players
Market Trends – Emerging Technologies/products/start-ups, PESTEL Analysis, SWOT Analysis, Porter’s Five Forces, etc.
Market Size)
Market Size by application/industry verticals
Market Projections/Forecast
Critical Insights Related to the Onshore Drilling Fluids Included in the Report:
Exclusive graphics and Illustrative Porter’s Five Forces analysis of some of the leading companies in this market
Value chain analysis of prominent players in the market
Current trends influencing the dynamics of this market across various geographies
Recent mergers, acquisitions, collaborations, and partnerships
Revenue growth of this industry over the forecast period
Marketing strategy study and growth trends
Growth-driven factor analysis
Emerging recess segments and region-wise market
An empirical evaluation of the curve of this market
Ancient, Present, and Probable scope of the market from both prospect value and volume
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dencyemily · 2 months
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Bullish Momentum: XRP's Market Dominance Set to Surge, Analysts Point to Positive Signals
XRP enthusiasts are finding reason for optimism as historical patterns in the cryptocurrency market indicate a potential bullish phase for XRP, signaling imminent growth and market dominance. Egrag Crypto's analysis has brought attention to XRP's potential significant increase in market share based on a combination of technical and historical data. The XRP community is highly anticipative of a market rally, with expectations set on substantial increases in dominance.
Past movements in XRP's price action reveal a unique pattern characterized by a whitish-green color, often signaling the beginning of a bullish phase. This pattern, unofficially recognized as the green light for a bull market in XRP, has become a crucial indicator for observers and investors. The analysis, incorporating technical and historical insights, provides a nuanced understanding of potential future movements, serving as a valuable tool for decision-making in anticipation of market shifts.
Egrag Crypto, a notable figure in the digital currency space, has shared insights into XRP's potential market dominance trajectory. By highlighting historical data and technical patterns, the enthusiast sheds light on the optimistic future predicted for XRP.
XRP's historical journey has seen significant milestones, with market dominance surging to 20% in January 2015 and nearly touching 32% by 2017. These instances demonstrate XRP's capability to capture substantial market share amid the volatile dynamics of the crypto market.
The focus on a symmetrical triangle pattern adds to the optimism, with predictions suggesting a potential dominance ranging between 6% and 25%, contingent on a bullish outcome. The anticipation surrounding the next breakout has kept the XRP community eagerly awaiting developments.
Despite a previous successful call that elevated XRP's dominance to 4.07%, falling short of expectations, the current market analysis points to a critical zone identified as a whitish-blue circle. Named Athena's Pillar, breaching this area could signal a downward trend, while holding above it might indicate robust health and upward momentum for XRP. Positive signals from various oscillators contribute to a tangible sense of optimism for an imminent upward movement.
Looking ahead, ambitious targets are set, with immediate aims to achieve a 2.2% dominance and more grandiose goals for the medium to long term, including 6.4%, 17.6%, and eventually aspiring for a 31.50% market dominance. These targets represent milestones that could validate XRP's growing influence in the crypto ecosystem.
The enthusiasm within the XRP community, known as the XRPArmy, is evident. Predictions of a 17-33% increase in XRP dominance during the next significant market rally have supporters gearing up for what could be a monumental ascent in XRP's journey.
As of the latest trading data, XRP is priced at $0.542257, indicating a 2.72% decline over the past day. Positioned sixth on CoinMarketCap, its market valuation is approximately $29.58 billion, with an available supply of around 54.56 billion XRP coins and a daily trading volume reaching $1.33 billion.
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marketsandatablog · 3 months
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Global colorectal cancer market size was valued at USD 15.06 billion in 2023, and is expected to reach USD 20.72 billion in 2031, with a CAGR of 4.07% for the forecast period between 2024 and 2031F. The market for colorectal cancer therapies and diagnostics has witnessed substantial growth in recent years, driven by a combination of factors such as the increasing prevalence of colorectal cancer, advancements in medical technology, and growing awareness.
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henrysglock · 10 months
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Now…I might sound insane, but it’ll be worth it if I end up being right.
I think this might be half a script, and the final product is the other half of it.
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There are key, emphasized points in here that are essentially inverse-swapped from the final filmed product.
Final Filmed Product: - Heavy emphasis on Martin Brenner, sound effects and everything. - Brenner being placed at the center of the 1959 massacre by his involvement with the Creel mother. - Henward having been exposed to Brenner often enough to want to escape him before the 1959 massacre. - The Creel Mother despising Henward. - Henward was forced to kill because he was cornered in the situation with Brenner, - Barely any mention of Victor, but the mention we do have talks about a demon (which only appears in the Henry newspaper). - Strange, abrupt dialogue cut to Victor's arrest (i.e. "He was arrested..." with no clear mention to El of who "he" is). - Tattoo reads 00—
Script: - Brenner never mentioned to El by name by Henward - Brenner having no direct link to the 1959 massacre - No mention of the Creel Mother...at all. - Killing to escape his family framed as Henward's next logical step - Victor is focused on, his arrest is not mentioned, and neither is the demon. - Tattoo reads 001 right off the bat.
It's also so bizarre to me that even after the Henry-001 reveal in this script, he's never referred to as Henry. Henry is named in the flashbacks, but when it's NINA dialogue it's always One. One is never equated to Henry.
Even here:
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Never "Henry is One". Just "Henry is Vecna." and "One is Vecna."
We also have an entirely different transformation scene, one that would have more adequately tied Henward to Vecna without giving us that bizarre Brenner face overlay:
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Which brings me to my final assertion: (Once again) There are two different Vecnas.
This would absolutely track with my observations about the mirror shards (here), the unaccounted for jumpsuits (here), the differences in build between Vecnas (here), and the Max/Maxine swapping (mentioned in script talk here, but it also appears in the final filmed product).
(And for heaven's sake, if you're thinking of coming into my reblogs with talk of revisions and unscripted changes: please don't. I have considered that, and I don't particularly care because there's a pattern to the changes.)
Script available here: link
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What’s your analysis on the song choice Over and Over during the scene with Beth and Rio and “Carolyn” at the bank in 4x07?
The way season 4 fed us, amirite, Anon? They just threw it all to the wind. Decided to forego all subtlety and give us blatant, overt proclamations we’d been dying to see. I genuinely believe Over and Over was exactly what we all wanted it to be – Rio coming to realize that he’s choosing Beth.
What’s interesting to me is what a LEAP it was for him from the painful, resentful strip search he did of her in 4.05, to the gentleness of his approach to her in 4.06 and 4.07. I am BEYOND curious what happened between him and Nick in the time it took Rio to finally introduce them. Everything after he killed Fitz was Rio trying to subtly show Beth that he was putting his trust in her. He knew there was a hit on him. Did he suspect her? He seemed to. He knew she was talking to the Secret Service. (“I’m worth it.”) Did he suspect they made her new plates? She wouldn’t tell him who they were from. She was acting all twitchy. His car was tracked. He certainly suspected she was up to something. How interesting that he went against his typical response and instead of pushing back or punishing her he gave her grace and trust. Made her The Banker. What happened that made him try harder to gain her allegiance?
Before there was Over and Over, there was Whole Life. There was Rio being so loud that Beth was someone who mattered. There was his protectiveness, his quiet approach to show her his humanity. His selfless giving-in to show her a side of him she hadn’t seen for a long time. A side he tried to get her to believe didn’t even exist. That she had imagined it. That she was nothing to him and he didn’t care. That she was just work. And suddenly she wasn’t just work. She was someone he felt was “a friend,” someone “good enough.” For him. Someone he wanted to be near. Someone he wanted to choose him. His behavior was confusing because it was yet another Rio gesture. Him telling her without telling her. Him showing her who he is and her misreading everything.
Over and Over is such an old song. It’s so evocative of that old-fashioned sort of courtship in its sound and the romanticism of the lyrics. How unfitting this type of sound is for a couple like Brio. They are anything but a conventional courtship. And yet, it’s still a courtship. Displays of affection, displays of caring. An offering of vulnerability. A quiet giving of oneself. Giving her grace. Choosing to forgive her. And imploring her to choose him back. “I just thought things were different now, that’s all.” He thought he’d shown her. How much clearer could he have been? He showed her his childhood home, his most intimate memories. Showed her his vulnerability. Showed her she wasn’t just work. There isn’t much to the lyrics. Just the cyclical loop they’re stuck in. And he wouldn’t have it any other way.
What does everyone else think? Rio is so hot and cold throughout season 4. How is everyone else reading him?
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jayanthitbrc · 5 months
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