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#thomas is alec but 100 years ago and he can’t have what alec has
livvyofthelake · 2 years
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the last hours genuinely is unlike any of the other shadowhunter series precisely because of its setting. this is the only one where the reader already knows the end of the story. because there’s no way it’s not a tragedy. because this is a very old story. there is no other version of this story.
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2018 Emmy Predictions
Find under read more. Ranked from most to least likely to be nominated imo.
Best Comedy Series:
Atlanta (FX)
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Silicon Valley (HBO)
Barry (HBO)
GLOW (Netflix)
Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)
Will & Grace (NBC)
Black-ish, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, and Modern Family can totally get in though since they were all in last year and dropping three seems dangerous. The Good Place is a possible spoiler as well. Dropping Black-ish is my biggest risk here, but I feel like it’s time could be up.
Best Actor - Comedy:
Donald Glover on Atlanta (FX)
Bill Hader on Barry (HBO)
William H. Macy on Shameless (Showtime)
Anthony Anderson on Black-ish (ABC)
Larry David on Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)
Zach Galifianakis on Baskets (FX)
Eric McCormack can totally show up, but I don’t see the show really doing as well as people are predicting. Thomas Middleditch is on the bubble as well, but him not getting in last year is a bad sign. Finally, Matt LeBlanc and Ted Danson could be spoilers if Episodes or The Good Place happens this year.
Best Actress - Comedy:
Rachel Brosnahan on The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Allison Janney on Mom (CBS)
Lily Tomlin on Grace & Frankie (Netflix)
Alison Brie on GLOW (Netflix)
Jane Fonda on Grace & Frankie (Netflix)
Pamela Adlon on Better Things (FX)
Tracee Ellis Ross is the most obvious exclusion here, but I’m sticking with Black-ish having a bad yeah tbh. Ellie Kemper and Debra Messing are the other potential nominees I’m skipping. I don’t feel confident about anyone outside my top three though.
Best Supporting Actor - Comedy:
Sean Hayes on Will & Grace (NBC)
Marc Maron on GLOW (Netflix)
Alec Baldwin on Saturday Night Live (NBC)
Tituss Burgess on Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
Louis Anderson on Baskets (FX)
Brian Tyree Henry on Atlanta (FX)
Anyone can miss here and I wouldn’t be surprised lol. Henry Winkler and Tony Shalhoub are the only ones I can see sneaking in in anyone else’s place (maaaaybe Lakeith Stanfield if Atlanta is really loved). But any combination of 6 out of those 8 is possible. I’m just going with these 6.
Best Supporting Actress - Comedy
Kate McKinnon on Saturday Night Live (NBC)
Megan Mullally on Will & Grace (NBC)
Alex Borstein on The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Leslie Jones on Saturday Night Live (NBC)
Betty Gilpin on GLOW (Netflix)
Rita Moreno on One Day at a Time (Netflix)
McKinnon is the only safe bet, but I still feel cautiously optimistic about my top four. Gilpin is more just what I’m hoping for, but she’s definitely on the bubble and can totally happen. I’m very concerned about Moreno since she didn’t happen last year, but there’s really no better options. Laurie Metcalf could happen, but I think Roseanne is too hated and Emmy voting was when all the shit went down. I also think a random Saturday Night Live woman could replace Vanessa Bayer (and I’m thinking that would be Aidy Bryant or Cecily Strong).
Best Guest Actor - Comedy:
Donald Glover on Saturday Night Live (NBC)
Bill Hader on Saturday Night Live (NBC)
Lin-Manuel Miranda on Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)
Bryan Cranston on Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)
Katt Williams on Atlanta (FX)
Jon Hamm on Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
I’m very confident on the top four and the last two are just kinda hopeful. Williams and Hamm’s episodes of their shows were so acclaimed I hope they can sneak in. If not, I expect Will Ferrell, Sterling K. Brown, Leslie Jordan or Bobby Cannavale.
Best Guest Actress - Comedy:
Jane Lynch on The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Tina Fey on Saturday Night Live (NBC)
Tiffany Haddish on Saturday Night Live (NBC)
Molly Shannon on Will & Grace (NBC)
Blythe Danner on Will & Grace (NBC)
Laurie Metcalf on The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
I might be crazy discounting Wanda Sykes, but yeah...I’m completely destroying Black-ish here. The top three women are pretty much locks and the bottom three are just well respected women that they’d love to nominate. Sykes is certainly possible, maybe Elizabeth Perkins for GLOW, but I’m sticking with these six.
Best Drama Series:
The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
Game of Thrones (HBO)
The Crown (Netflix)
Stranger Things (Netflix)
This Is Us (NBC)
The Americans (FX)
Westworld (HBO)
This category is such a lock it’s not even funny. Killing Eve is really the only spoiler here, but I think it happened too late to really gain momentum. If it aired in the fall, it’d certainly be a contender. Maaaaaybe Homeland comes back but I doubt it.
Beat Actor - Drama:
Sterling K. Brown on This Is Us (NBC)
Milo Ventimiglia on This Is Us (NBC)
Matthew Rhys on The Americans (FX)
Jeffrey Wright on Westworld (HBO)
Liev Schreiber on Ray Donovan (Showtime)
Kit Harington on Game of Thrones (HBO)
The nominations barely matter because it’s pretty much down to those top three men fighting it out for the win. Wright should comfortably move up to lead and Schreiber always gets nominated so I can’t imagine him missing now. Harington is rocky and if I had to guess someone would replace him, I’d say Ed Harris. Freddie Highmore could happen, but his show was too blah. Maybe Jason Bateman, but I think him showing his ass during the Arrested Development press tour killed his Ozark chances. Jonathan Groff is a huge longshot, but maybe the Emmys really loved Mindhunter idk.
Best Actress - Drama:
Elisabeth Moss on The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
Claire Foy on The Crown (Netflix)
Keri Russell on The Americans (FX)
Evan Rachel Wood on Westworld (HBO)
Mandy Moore on This Is Us (NBC)
Emilia Clarke on Game of Thrones (HBO)
This category is competitive as hell. The top two women are 100% locks and Russell is an extremely safe bet. After that, anything goes. Wood had a dominant season so the fact that she got in last year makes me feel pretty good about her chances. Moore shockingly missed last year so that could happen again, but she was all everyone was talking about after that huge Super Bowl episode. Clarke is nowhere near safe, but the Emmys just adore Game of Thrones. Sandra Oh is the obvious spoiler here and I might be crazy discounting her because if she gets a nomination, she has potential to win. I’m sticking with my gut that Killing Eve just became big too late. Viola Davis is a goddess and could obviously happen. Laura Linney is an awards show favorite, Jodie Comer could happen if Killing Eve is a hit, Tatiana Maslany won for Orphan Black a few years ago and this is her last year, Claire Danes could always return...Hell Maggie Gyllenhaal could happen for her flawless performance on The Deuce. There’s so many options, but I’m gonna go with these six but feel like an idiot if Sandra Oh gets nominated tomorrow.
Best Supporting Actor - Drama:
David Harbour on Stranger Things (Netflix)
Peter Dinklage on Game of Thrones (HBO)
Justin Hartley on This Is Us (NBC)
Mandy Patinkin on Homeland (Showtime)
Joseph Fiennes on The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
Anthony Hopkins on Westworld (HBO)
This category is so open-ended with only Harbour and Patinkin as possible returnees from last year. Harbour and Dinklage are 100% locks. I think Hartley worked his ass off to get nominated so I’m throwing him in there and I’m keeping Patinkin in. I literally just put Fiennes in right now. He missed last year which concerns me, but I feel like Handmaid’s Tale is only getting bigger and bigger. I feel terrible about my Hopkins prediction since he did nothing and I hope he doesn’t happen, but he got a lead actor nomination last year and he’s just beloved. I have Noah Schnapp in seventh place and I’d love to see him happen because he killed it on Stranger Things but I’m not sure. Max Minghella, Matt Smith, Nikolaj Coster-Waldau, and Noah Emmerich are on the bubble as well and can easily snatch a spot from any of the bottom four.
Best Supporting Actress - Drama:
Thandie Newton on Westworld (HBO)
Ann Dowd on The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
Lena Headey on Game of Thrones (HBO)
Millie Bobby Brown on Stranger Things (Netflix)
Chrissy Metz on This Is Us (NBC)
Yvonne Strahovski on The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
I’m very confident on my top three (though no one seems to be a 100% lock). I feel good about Brown and Metz since they got in last year, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they missed. Strahovski is kinda what I’m hoping for so I’m just trying to send those good vibes out there. It’s either gonna be her or Bledel and I think Strahovski kinda deserves it more (though Bledel won guest actress last year). I’d love to see Vanessa Kirby happen, but I’m scared she’ll miss. Maisie Williams and Uzo Aduba are totally in the running too, but I’d be pretty shocked to see them.
Best Guest Actor - Drama:
Gerald McRandy on This Is Us (NBC)
Ron Cephas Jones on This Is Us (NBC)
Peter Mullan on Westworld (HBO)
Michael C. Hall on The Crown (Netflix)
Jimmi Simpson on Westworld (HBO)
Matthew Goode on The Crown (Netflix)
Idk, I only feel confident with the This Is Us men. If they’re watching Westworld both those men will get in, but maybe they’re not watching and neither of them are really super famous. Cameron Britton is on everyone’s predictions for Mindhunter but I just don’t think they’re watching it and the only chance that show happens is for David Lynch in directing. I’m terrible with guest and I have no idea who else could get in. Beau Bridges or F. Murray Abraham for Homeland? Alan Alda for The Good Fight? Who knows.
Best Guest Actress - Drama:
Diana Rigg on Game of Thrones (HBO)
Samira Wiley on The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
Marisa Tomei on The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
Rinko Kikuchi on Westworld (HBO)
Cicely Tyson on How to Get Away with Murder (ABC)
Pam Grier on This Is Us (NBC)
This category’s more fun than Guest Actor. Anyway, the top two women are 100% locks and Rigg probably has the win locked up unless something crazy happens. I feel pretty confident with Tomei, even if her role was kinda underwhelming for some, her name should secure the nomination. Kikuchi is a risk, but like with Mullan and Simpson in Guest Actor, if they’re watching the show she should be good. Tyson and Grier are both strong, beloved black women and I’d be happy to see them happen. Cherry Jones could maybe happen for The Handmaid’s Tale, but that would suuuuuck because she literally did nothing. Laverne Cox is in the running too just because she’s loved. Maybe Jodi Balfour or Elizabeth Perkins but I doubt it.
Best TV Movie:
Black Mirror: USS Callister (Netflix)
The Tale (HBO)
Paterno (HBO)
Flint (Lifetime)
Electric Dreams: The Commuter (Amazon)
Oh God this category is soooooooo tragic. The top three are the biggest locks ever, no chance they miss since they were actually decent. Everything else is a crapshoot since nothing good aired lol. Flint got a WGA nomination so that’s literally the only reason I put that in there. Electric Dreams has Philip K. Dick’s on it which helps it. So yeah. Fahrenheit 451 had the hype and the prestige but flopped so bad I don’t want to put it in. It might sneak in for a lack of better options even though it was awful. The Child in Time, Cocaine Godmother, Notes from the Field, and I Am Elizabeth Smart are floating around there too in the running since the cateogry’s so tragic.
Best Limited Series:
The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
Godless (Netflix)
Twin Peaks (Showtime)
The Looming Tower (Hulu)
The Sinner (USA)
This category’s not as tragic as TV Movie, but there was no Big Little Lies breakout really. The top two are pretty safe I’d say. Twin Peaks has the passion votes which should help it, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it was so inaccessible it missed. The Looming Tower has prestige but idk if anyone watched it. The Sinner has the ratings and some buzz thanks to Jessica Biel, but idk if it has the prestige. There’s a ton of options that could sneak in though...Patrick Melrose, Genius: Picasso, Top of the Lake: China Girl, Howards End, American Vandal, The Alienist are all in the running. And if there’s a God, Alias Grace will happen but I know it’s not gonna (Netflix isn’t even really campaigning it which is stupid since it was the best limited series of the year BUT WHATEVER).
Best Actor - Limited Series/TV Movie:
Darren Criss on The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
Al Pacino on Paterno (HBO)
Benedict Cumberbatch on Patrick Melrose (Showtime)
Kyle MacLachlan on Twin Peaks (Showtime)
Antonio Banderas on Genius: Picasso (NatGeo)
Jeff Daniels on The Looming Tower (Hulu)
I am feeling pretty confident with these six. Michael B. Jordan was a safe bet for a long time till his movie actually aired and completely flopped. Maybe Jesse Plemons sneaks in but I think these’s too many big names he’s going up against. So yeah, I’m feeling good with this six.
Best Actress - Limited Series/TV Movie:
Laura Dern on The Tale (HBO)
Jessica Biel on The Sinner (USA)
Elisabeth Moss on Top of the Lake: China Girl (Sundance)
Michelle Dockery on Godless (Netflix)
Sarah Paulson on American Horror Story: Cult (FX)
Cristin Milioti on Black Mirror: USS Callister (Netflix)
This category feels kinda bleak, the top two are the only two locks. Hayley Atwell could get in, but I’m not sure anyone actually watched Howards End. Catherine Zeta Jones and Edie Falco starred in stuff that no one really cared about, but their names alone could get them in. I’m holding out hope for Sarah Gadon because she fucking deserves it, but I’d be shocked if she actually happened.
Best Supporting Actor - Limited Series/TV Movie:
Edgar Ramirez on The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
Jeff Daniels on Godless (Netflix)
Jason Ritter on The Tale (HBO)
Bill Pullman on The Sinner (USA)
Brandon Victor Dixon on Jesus Christ Superstar: Live (NBC)
Peter Sarsgaard on The Looming Tower (Hulu)
I’m taking like a million risks here but that’s okay. The top two are totally locks. After that it’s a bit of a mess. The Tale was beloved and Ritter’s performance was fantastic. In such a bleak category, I don’t know why he’s expected to miss. I know he was creepy as hell, but Alexander Skarsgård just won despite that. Ricky Martin, Jimmi Simpson, Michael Shannon, Bill Camp, Michael Stuhlbarg or Cody Fern could totally sneak in, but I’m just not really seeing it. I don’t think anyone watched The Looming Tower and I can’t believe I’m even predicting one of them. Simpson & Fern aren’t famous enough, Martin was barely on the show and didn’t really do much. I would love to see Fern get in though, he totally deserves it.
Best Supporting Actress - Limited Seres/TV Movie:
Penelope Cruz on The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
Laura Dern on Twin Peaks (Showtime)
Angela Lansbury on Little Women (PBS)
Judith Light on The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
Ellen Burstyn on The Tale (HBO)
Nicole Kidman on Top of the Lake: China Girl (Sundance)
Like with most these Limited Series categories, I don’t feel good about this at all. I don’t think there’s a single lock. I feel very good about Cruz and Dern, but I also could see them missing. I really, really want to predict Merritt Wever, but I don’t think she’s that beloved yet (even though she won a few years ago lol). It just feels crazy throwing her in there over Nicole fucking Kidman. Jennifer Jason Leigh and Elizabeth Debicki are my other backups.
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