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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Free Chester Races Boodles May Festival 2021 Day Three Tips
14.15 Chester – Huxley Stakes 2021
The Huxley Stakes is a Group 2 race run over 1 mile 2 furlongs and 70 yards and it is open to horses aged four and older.
Huxley Stakes 10-Year-Trends 2021
The last 10 editions of the Huxley Stakes have attracted between five and eight runners, but only the 2010 winner was drawn in stall one, while none were drawn in stall two. Eight winners have been drawn in either stalls three, four, or five, with four winners coming from stall five.
Seven winners had run 13 to 68 days prior to their success, while the other three hadn’t run for between 144 and 260 days. Winners have been returned at odds ranging from 8/11 (1.72) to 11/1 (12.00).
Ryan Moore has ridden four of the last nine winners, while Aidan O’Brien (two) and Sir Michael Stoute (one) are the only trainers that have runners this year that have won the Huxley Stakes in the last decade.
Who Will Win The Huxley Stakes 2021?
Bharani Star is drawn in stall five but that’s about all she has going for her in this company, as she has between 9lb and 20lb to find on official ratings compared to her four rivals.
Aidan O’Brien’s 120-rated Armory sets a high standard for his rivals to aim at, but whether he will run to that rating first time out is the big question. He’s yet to win on either of his two previous seasonal debuts and may prefer quicker conditions.
Sir Michael Stoute’s Sangarius has already proven he handles a bit of cut in the ground but there must be a doubt as to whether this long-striding colt will be at his best around the tight turns of Chester after an absence of 139 days.
Bangkok has twice been beaten by a very short margin by Sangarius in his career, and he should be fitter than his rival having raced just 35 days ago. But he needs to overcome the stall-two hoodoo.
Palavecino has a bit to find with both Sangarius and Bangkok on the form of his last two runs on the all-weather, but this improving type went into the notebook for a race like this when winning a handicap at Chester in August. He pulled hard all the way that day but still bounded clear in the closing stages. The stable of Brian Meehan has also been red-hot in the last few days, making Palavecino an interesting value punt against higher-rated rivals.
Free Huxley Stakes 2021 Tip
Palavecino
14.45 Chester – Chester Cup Handicap 2021
The Chester Cup is a handicap race run over 2 miles 2 furlongs and 140 yards, making it one of the longest flat races run in England.
Chester Cup 10-Year-Trends 2021
The Chester Cup is limited to a maximum of 17 runners and, while an inside draw can be a huge advantage for horses that like to race near the pace, winners have come from a variety of stalls in the last ten years. Seven winners have been drawn in stalls one to six, but winners have also been berthed in stalls 11, 13, and 16.
Winners of the Chester Cup in the last decade have been rated between 92 and 101 and have carried between 8-9 and 9-6 to victory. Seven winners had run between 11 and 60 days prior to their success, with the other defying absences of 186, 209, and 242 days. But only two of those winners had won their previous race.
The shortest-priced winner of the Chester Cup in the last decade was 11/2 (6.50), while the longest-priced winner was 16/1 (17.00). Donald McCain (two), Mark Johnston (one) and Ian Williams (one) have all trained winners in the last ten years, while Ryan Moore, Franny Norton, and Graham Lee have all ridden winners in that time.
Who Will Win The Chester Cup 2021?
Six of this year’s field are rated higher than 101 and carry more weight than 9-6, so Falcon Eight, Who Dares Wins, The Grand Visir, Themaxwecan, Lucky Deal, and Rare Groove will all be looking to buck those strong trends. Of that sextet, Who Dares Wins stands out as having the best chance, having secured a better draw than when placed twice in the race before.
While it’s possible to win from a double-figure draw, the stats say more winners are drawn low. The well-backed Not So Sleepy is drawn in stall 13, which looks far from ideal for this habitual pacesetter. Trumpet Man, Future Investor, and Rochfield House are other runners with double figure draws, while Coeur De Lion, Glencadam Glory, and Nate The Great are drawn slightly wider than ideal in stalls seven, eight, and nine.
Using those strong statistics to eliminate runners leaves us with just four contenders, all which hail from stables that have won the race before.
Blackeney Point is an interesting runner for Donald McCain, whose daughter claims a handy 5lb. He’s a winner of two of his three starts at Chester and he was sent off as the 4/1 favourite for the 2017 Chester Cup, when just fading in the final furlong. His flat form has been poor for a while but, after a good run over hurdles last time, he could run well at a big price at a course he likes.
Reshoun runs in the colours of Doctor Marwan Koukash, who loves nothing more than having winners at Chester. However, this 7-year-old has tried the turns of Chester once before and finished last.
Hochfield likes to front-run but, after four runs in a month, he doesn’t look to have been laid out for this big race. Jockey bookings also suggest he’s not Mark Johnston’s main hope.
The booking of Ryan Moore for the improving Cardano makes him our Chester Cup tip. He’s fancied to tuck in behind the leaders from stall one and pounce late to give Ian Williams a third Chester Cup win in 13 years.
Free Chester Cup 2021 Tip
Cardano (each-Way)
The post Free Chester Races Boodles May Festival 2021 Day Three Tips appeared first on Betting Gods.
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Daily Racing Tips – Wagga Wagga Gold Cup Day Special
Wagga - Race 2 1:15pm AEST
No. 4 Delightful Dream
Delightful Dream showed plenty of toughness to get the job done last start and he has now recorded two wins from his five race starts.
He is a horse that does have good early speed and he shouldn’t have any issues finding a forward position in the early stages of this contest.
Bet Now: Wagga Race 2
Wagga - Race 6 3:40pm AEST
No. 1 Black Duke
Black Duke doesn’t have the best winning record, but he is well-placed in the Wagga Guineas this afternoon.
He has generally been thereabouts without winning during his racing career to date and I like the fact that he is on the quick back up.
Barrier one is ideal and he maps to get a lovely run in transit with Nash Rawiller in the saddle.
Bet Now: Wagga Race 6
Wagga - Race 7 4:20pm AEST
No. 2 Spirit Ridge
Spirit Ridge is the horse to beat in the Wagga Wagga Gold Cup.
He wasn’t disgraced at Group 1 level in the Tancred Stakes and the Sydney Cup and this is a much more suitable race for him.
Nash Rawiller will be able to settle him right on the speed and he will give his rivals something to catch.
Bet Now: Wagga Race 7
Wagga - Race 8 4:55pm AEST
No. 4 Hellova Night
Hellova Night will need some luck in running from the wide barrier draw, but he is still the value runner in what is a very open race.
He does have the early speed to go forward from that gate and he does look to have more upside than the rest of this field.
$7 is great value and he can hopefully cap off a big day for Nash Rawiller.
Bet Now: Wagga Race 8
The post Daily Racing Tips – Wagga Wagga Gold Cup Day Special appeared first on Ladbrokes Blog.
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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2021 South Australian Derby Day Preview
Group 1 racing continues at Morphettville this Saturday and a host of talented three-year-old stayers will be in action.
The South Australian Derby may be the feature race, but there is plenty of interest right across the card.
We have analysed every single race and our 2021 South Australian Derby tips can be found below.
Race 1 - 12:10am
Accolade Wines Handicap (Morph Parks Track), (1000m)
Star Of Uma is a classy filly that has recorded two wins from her three race starts.
Her best form does give her a genuine class edge over the rest of this field and she still has the scope to improve.
Barrier six is perfect and she is deserving of her status as a clear favourite.
3 Units Star Of Uma
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 1
Race 2 - 12:45pm
Group 3 SA Sires' Produce Stakes (Morph Parks Track), (1400m)
Cloudy showed a nice turn-of-foot to win the Breeders Stakes last start and a repeat of that effort would make her tough to beat.
The Frosted filly has improved each time that she has been seen at the races and the step-up to 1400 metres is ideal for her.
The $5.50 currently available is a great price and she can continue her winning ways.
1.5 Units Cloudy
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 2
Race 3 - 1:20pm
Autumn Series Final (Morph Parks Track), (1400m)
This is an incredibly open race and you can make a case for just about every single horse in this field.
May Be Fate is racing consistently and there is no reason why he won’t be in the finish once again.
Barrier 11 isn’t ideal and he will need some luck in running, but he is still good value at his current quote.
1 Unit May Be Fate
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 3
Race 4 - 1:55pm
Happy Birthday Michael Larecki Handicap (1200m)
Midnight Storm is a very consistent galloper and he finds himself in a winnable contest at Morphettville this afternoon.
I like the fact that he makes his own luck right on the speed and Jason Holder should be able to find the front comfortably in the early stages of this race.
1 Unit Midnight Storm
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 4
Race 5 - 2:30pm
Weslo Security Handicap (1050m)
On a day full of tough betting races, this might be the toughest of the lot.
It has been a long time between race wins for Lady Pavli Chenko, but her best form would be more than good enough to win this contest.
She has drawn nicely in barrier six and Michael Walker in the saddle is a positive in such an open race.
1 Unit Lady Pavli Chenko
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 5
Race 6 - 3:10pm
Provincial Super Series Final (1800m)
The stable of Michael Hickmott has been absolutely flying in recent months and he has the chance to claim another big race win with Reynolds.
Reynolds has scored two wins from his three race starts and he was unlucky when he was beaten as a short-priced favourite at Murray Bridge last start.
He is well-placed to return to winning form and is deserving of his status as a clear favourite.
3 Units Reynolds 
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 6
Race 7 - 3:50pm
Group 1 South Australian Derby (2500m)
This is an interesting edition of the South Australian Derby and I do think that it could end up being a race in two between Explosive Jack and Liquero.
There is no doubt that Liquero is the value runner.
He has recorded four wins from his five race starts and he holds a race win over Explosive Jack after knocking him off in the Bendigo St Leger.
Liquero went on to win at Caulfield last start and the horse that he beat, Through Irish Eyes, went on to win the VRC St Leger.
2500 metres is ideal for him and he will make his own luck right on the speed.
He will have a clear head start over Explosive Jack in the run and that could prove to be the difference.
$5 is a great price and I don’t expect it to last.
2 Units Liquero
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 7
Race 8 - 4:30pm
Listed Adelaide Guineas (1600m)
Cherry Tortoni will return to the races in the Adelaide Guineas and he has opened as a dominant favourite.
There is no doubt that he is the class horse in this field, but it is tough to get him as short as his current price.
Barrier nine means that he will settle in the second half of the field and his racing pattern means that he always needs luck in running.
I don’t want to bet against him, but I can’t dive in at the current price either.
No Bet
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 8
Race 9 - 5:05pm
SA Sprint Series Final (1100m)
Streetcar Stranger could hardly have been more impressive over 1000 metres last start and a repeat of that effort would make him very tough to beat.
He has never won over 1100 metres in the past, but he has been thereabouts and he does look to have gone to another level this campaign.
Barrier three is perfect for him and he will prove very tough to beat.
3 Units Streetcar Stranger
Bet Now: Morphettville Race 9
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Caulfield Preview – Saturday 8th May
Nine races will be run and won at Caulfield on Saturday to compliment a huge day of racing right around the country. 
We’ve analysed all nine races and our best bets can be found here.
Race 1 - 11:55am
Lamaro’s South Melbourne Handicap (1200m)
Generation was sensational on debut at Morphettville a fortnight ago, winning by over two lengths from barrier to box. 
This isn’t an overly deep field, so she should have no problem getting straight to the front to try and replicate that performance. 
The way she kicked clear was impressive to say the least, which goes hand-in-hand with the Maher and Eustace team’s exceptional record with their two-year-old this year. 
Jamie Kah booked to ride is also a huge plus. 
3 Units Generation
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 1
Race 2 - 12:30pm
Emerald Hill Mission Handicap (2000m)
Skelm has accepted to race on Friday in the Wagga Wagga Gold Cup, but if he lines up here I fancy him at odds. 
The six-year-old by Animal Kingdom won the Stony Creek Cup three runs back over a touch further and was strong in the finish in his last start at Caulfield over 2400m for third. 
The winner of that race, Mohican Heights, has since gone on to grab a place at Flemington on ANZAC Day, so the form has been franked somewhat. 
Getting back in trip at this stage of his prep also looks ideal. 
2 Units E/W Skelm 
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 2
Race 3 - 1:05pm
Cameron Plant Memorial Handicap (1600m)
Intellective flew home to claim a narrow win at Ballarat over the mile three back, so it’s no surprise to find her as the short-priced favourite. 
The mare by Toronado faded late last time out at Sandown in a tougher race over 1300m, so she should appreciate getting back out to her preferred distance now where she’s won three times previously. 
This is tougher again, but with 3.5kg’s off her back and fitness on her side, she’s the one to beat in a fairly unappealing race. 
2 Units Intellective 
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 3
Race 4 - 1:40pm
Ian Miller Handicap (1200m)
Alburq has claimed only one win from 22 starts in his career, but he has been around the mark of late to suggest another is right around the corner. 
The gelding by Rubick stuck on well for third two runs back over 1400m at Sandown and was only 1.5L off Li’l Kontra three weeks ago at Caulfield over shorter. 
He’s run no worse than fourth this time in work and has fared okay on soft going in the past. 
Barrier 4 should see afford him an ideal run off the speed, so look for him late. 
1 Unit Alburq
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 4
Race 5 - 2:15pm
JRA Handicap (1600m)
Surely Holbien gets the job done here?
He’s burned punters for the better part of the last six months and is now looking to snap a run of placings that dates all the way back to February. 
His run on ANZAC Day two weeks ago was full of merit though when just fading late to run a length second to Vassilator at Flemington after racing on the speed. 
Despite the fact he’s been up for a while, he has held his condition well, so this looks his to lose. 
3 Units Holbien
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 5
Race 6 - 2:55pm
JRA Handicap (1600m)
Tricky race with most resuming from a spell, but I think Blazejowski can run well after contesting some much tougher races earlier in the year. 
Greg Eurell’s six-year-old gelding won the Listed John Dillon Stakes at Caulfield over 1400m earlier in January and was far from disgraced when fifth to Streets Of Avalon in the C.F. Orr Stakes in his final run. 
He’s won three-from-five starts first-up, so his fresh record reads well. A trio of wins over the mile is also a big tick. 
2 Units Blazejowski 
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 6
Race 7 - 3:35pm
Fenwick Handicap (2000m)
Horrifying can be forgiven on his last start at Flemington on ANZAC Day when he just got a little too keen in the final stages to finish a narrow runner-up to Our Lone Star over 1700m. 
Getting out over further now should suit him nicely, and considering Jamie Kah’s record on these lightly-raced juveniles, you just know he’s going to improve. 
This is his first look at Caulfield, but this appears well within his grasp. 
3 Units Horrifying 
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 7
Race 8 - 4:15pm
Selangor Turf Club Handicap (1600m)
Looks a winnable race for Mozzie Monster to atone for her last start second over 1400m. 
The filly by Sebring blew the start that day, but still managed to make up enormous ground to run two lengths second to Annavisto. 
The start before saw her run second to the same horse at Bendigo where she smashed the clock with some impressive late times. Michael Dee does have his work cut out from the awkward alley, but considering she’s run over this track and trip before in the Thousand Guineas during the spring, she looks up to it. 
1 Unit Mozzie Monster 
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 8
Race 9 - 4:50pm
Darren Gauci Handicap (1200m)
Big watch on Mick Price and Michael Kent Jr’s lightly-raced gelding Ayrton in his return to the races. 
The three-year-old made only two starts back in December but he couldn’t have been more impressive winning his debut at Bendigo by over five lengths before venturing to Caulfield to win by a similar margin over 1400m. 
Whether this trip suits him first-up is a slight query, but after an outstanding trial win at Echuca two weeks ago, he’s impossible to back against. 
No Bet 
Bet Now: Caulfield Race 9
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Moody on The Mic – May 6th 2021
After tipping Media Award at a huge price in the Australasian Oaks last weekend, our man Peter Moody is full of confidence in this week’s #moodyonthemic
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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2021 Gosford Gold Cup Day Preview
A quality black-type card is on-hand at Gosford this Saturday with the running of the Listed Gosford Gold Cup and the Takeover Target. 
With rain about earlier in the week, we should be racing on something close to a Soft 5 come race-day with the rail remaining in the true position. 
For all of our best bets, be sure to read our 2021 Gosford Gold Cup Preview below. 
Race 1 - 11:45am
Central Coast Granite 2YO Handicap (1200m)
Ranch Hand is a dual acceptor, but if he lines up in this two-year-old contest at Gosford on Saturday he should prove very tough to beat. 
Chris Waller’s lightly-raced sprinter was enormous on debut at Warwick Farm in December winning by over three lengths before going on run fifth in the Magic Millions 2YO Classic on the Gold Coast. 
His debut win came on the soft, so he might appreciate any extra sting out of the ground in his return to the races.
After a comfortable trial win at Rosehill a couple of weeks ago, he should take a power of beating from the rails run.
2 Units Ranch Hand
Bet Now: Gosford Race 1
Race 2 - 12:20pm
Benchmark 78 Handicap (1200m)
Rammstein should take improvement into his second-up assignment after being nabbed right on the line by Olympic Legend fresh at Canterbury three weeks ago over the same trip. 
The son of Snitzel doesn’t win out of turn, but he does have a good strike rate over 1200m with two wins and three placings on the board. 
He’s typically a very honest customer, and with minimal speed on offer, he should be able to run the race on his own terms again from the inside gate. 
2 Units Rammstein 
Bet Now: Gosford Race 2
Race 3 - 12:55pm
Highway Handicap (1200m)
This is a rise in class for Glenn Milligan’s lightly-raced filly Faatinaat, but it does look a contest she’s capable of winning after finishing strongly through the line last time out at Port Macquarie to win by a nose. 
Both of her wins so far have come on the soft, so she should handle the sting out of the track with some rain about earlier in the week. 
She won’t know herself carrying just 54kg, and providing Ashley Morgan can park her just behind the speed again, the pair should be somewhere in the finish. 
1 Unit E/W Faatinaat
Bet Now: Gosford Race 3
Race 4 - 1:30pm
Benchmark 72 Handicap (1600m)
This looks an ideal race for Tectonicus to bounce-back after weakening out in the final stages a few weeks ago for third behind Savoury at Canterbury. 
That horse went on to run second last week at Hawkesbury, so the form out of that race reads well for Tectonicus getting back to his preferred distance. 
The three-year-old by Not A Single Doubt won over the mile on a Heavy 10 at Wyong by a big margin two runs back, so there’s no query on his wet-track form. 
With Tim Clark booked to ride from an ideal gate, he should take some beating. 
2 Units Tectonicus
Bet Now: Gosford Race 4
Race 5 - 2:05pm
Benchmark 78 Handicap (2100m)
So Wicked led them all-the-way two weeks ago at Canterbury over shorter, a performance she’s more than capable of replicating with a 2kg’s off her back under Tommy Berry. 
The Street Cry mare found an extra gear last time out to gap her rivals by close to two lengths, and if she can shuffle across early on Saturday and land on the speed, she should again prove tough to run down. 
Her wet track form is strong to say the least and I think she can go on with it. 
2 Units So Wicked 
Bet Now: Gosford Race 5
Race 6 - 2:40pm
Listed Debortoli Wines Takeover Target (1200m)
Only a few to choose from in the Takeover Target, which makes it tough to get away from the short-priced favourite Signore Fox. 
The Snowden-trained speedster was a clear winner over this distance first-up at Rosehill in the Group 3 Star Kingdom, before going on to finish only a length fifth to Splintex in the Hall Mark Stakes at Randwick. 
He burned punters on more than one occasion last year, so it’s always hard to feel overly confident in him.
That said, this isn’t a very deep race, so as long as Tommy Berry gives him the right ride coming off the speed, he should be winning. 
3 Units Signore Fox
Bet Now: Gosford Race 6
Race 7 - 3:20pm
Listed Gosford Gold Cup (2100m)
Polly Grey was very competitive over similar distances during the spring, most notably finishing fifth to Orderofthegarter in the Group 3 MRC Foundation Cup over the 2000m at Caulfield. 
Chris Waller’s mare has since resumed to run no worse than fifth in four starts, with a win two runs back in the Group 3 Epona Stakes at Rosehill also on her resume.
She returned off a freshen-up to finish only two lengths fourth to Paths Of Glory in JRA Plate at Randwick a fortnight ago, so she should take improvement into this race with some fitness back on her side. 
Tommy Berry does have a job to do from barrier 11, but with a wet track more than likely, she should relish the conditions. 
2 Units Polly Grey 
Bet Now: Gosford Race 7
Race 8 - 4:00pm
The Coast (1600m)
Expecting big improvement here from All Saints’ Eve after John O’Shea’s mare found herself too far back last time out in the Queen Of The Turf. 
The four-year-old by Sacred Falls had a lot of work to do from out wide that day, but she still showed plenty through the line to finish just under four lengths behind Nettoyer. 
Like a few others, this is a big drop back in grade, and providing she doesn’t over-race in the early stages, she should be strong in the finish from an ideal gate. 
2 Units All Saints’ Eve
Bet Now: Gosford Race 8
Race 9 - 4:40pm
Brook Group F&M Benchmark 78 Handicap (1200m)
No surprise to find April Rain at short odds ahead of her return to the races. 
This classy Chris Waller-trained mare resumed to win her maiden by close to four lengths over a similar distance at Canterbury in January before going on to claim her hat-trick at Randwick a month later.
She’ll carry 60kg’s for the first time in her career on Saturday, but based on everything we saw from her last campaign and her most recent trial, she’ll take a power of beating. 
3 Units April Rain 
Bet Now: Gosford Race 9
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Free Chester Races Boodles May Festival Day Two Tips
14.15 – Dee Stakes 2021
The Dee Stakes is a Listed Race run over 1 mile 2 furlongs and 70 yards.
Dee Stakes 10-Year-Trends 2021
Despite Chester’s tight turns, no winner of the Dee Stakes in the last decade has been drawn in stalls one or two. All ten winners have been drawn in between stalls three and seven.
The racecourse experience of the last 10 winners has varied between two runs and six runs. Five winners had run in the previous 13 to 27 days, while the other five were making their seasonal debuts.
Like in many of the races at this meeting, Aidan O’Brien has an excellent record with six winners in the last eight years. Ryan Moore has ridden four of those winners. Eight winners were returned at no bigger than odds of 7/2 (4.50), but there have been winners at 11/1 (12.00) and 12/1 (13.00) in the last four years.
Luther Cee and Earlswood both won their last starts but it could be worth passing on the chances of the two lowest-rated horses, who are drawn in stalls one and two.
Maximal is the next lowest rated runner on a mark of 92, and Sir Michael Stoute’s representative has already had a run this season over a similar trip. He was second that day, but Ryan Moore was aboard, and he jumps ship.
It’s hard to know what to make of recent winner Fox Tales but his trainer Andrew Balding often targets this meeting with some useful types. He steps up in trip from a mile, as does the Roger Varian-trained El Drama who has already had two runs this season.
However, all the above runners have plenty to find with the two market leaders who have already achieved ratings of 107 and 109.
Yibir won twice at the end of last season and a prep run when third in a Group 3 should have put him spot on for this race. But his trainer Charlie Appleby hasn’t won the race before.
That’s why Ontario gets the vote for O’Brien and Moore. Third over 7-furlongs on his seasonal debut, O’Brien side-stepped the 2,000 Guineas to step him up to 10-furlongs here.
Free Dee Stakes 2021 Tip
Ontario
15.15 – Ormonde Stakes 2021
The Ormonde Stakes is a Group 3 race run over 1 mile 5 furlongs and 84 yards, and horses aged four and older are eligible to run in it.
Ormonde Stakes 10-Year-Trends 2021
Age hasn’t proved to be a barrier to success in the Ormonde Stakes in the last decade, with the oldest winner being aged seven. But it’s 4-year-olds and 6-year-olds that have the best records with five wins each. The other winner was aged five.
Seven winners carried 9-0 to success, while three winners have defied 3lb penalties. Six winners were making their seasonal debut, while two of the winners that had run in the season of their success had won their prep race.
Six winners were drawn in stalls one, two, or three, but four winners were also berthed in stalls five, six, and seven. Nine winners were returned at odds no bigger than 7/2 (4.50), while the biggest-priced winner was just 8/1 (9.00).
Jockey Ryan Moore has the best record in the race, having ridden four of the last ten winners. Two of those winners were for trainer Aidan O’Brien, who has saddled three winners in the last decade.
Who Will Win The Ormonde Stakes 2021?
The ground is forecast to ride good-to-soft for the opening day of the Boodles May Festival but, with little rain forecast on Wednesday or Thursday, it may be riding good by the second day.
The drying ground may count against the 2019 Ormonde Stakes winner Morando, who is aged eight now and may not be ideally drawn in stall-7 if jockey Silvestre De Sousa decides to try and get an early lead. Withhold is another potential front-runner that is drawn even wider in stall eight, which is unlikely to do him or Morando any favours in the early stages.
Kipps has no chance on official ratings and this 93-rated handicapper is surely just making up the numbers, having already been beaten off a lower mark over a similar trip. Sextant is another runner that has plenty to find with the top-rated horses and, though he’s a course winner, he may have lost some speed after a couple of runs over hurdles.
Euchen Glen is useful at this trip, but he was disappointing on his seasonal debut. However, Chester should suit him, despite a poor run in the 2018 Chester Cup when he had a terrible draw.
Trueshan is an interesting horse for the season ahead, and the Ascot Gold Cup looks sure to be on his agenda after his win in the Qipco Long Distance Cup in October. But this may be a stepping-stone to that event and he must carry a 5lb penalty, which no winner this century has managed.
Japan is an obvious contender on ratings, as he’s the top-rated horse on a mark of 120 and runs for Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore. But the reason he doesn’t have a penalty is that he didn’t win last season, when he didn’t look anything like as good a horse and was as a 3-year-old. He may bounce back over this longer trip as a 5-year-old, but he’s a risky proposition at around 6/4 (2.50).
Sonnyboyliston is also a risky proposition, as the 4-year-old has yet to run over further than 10-furlongs. But it’s interesting that his shrewd trainer Johnny Murtagh steps up in trip for the first time at Chester, where his speed should be an asset around the tight turns. At around 12/1 (13.0), he looks worth an each-way bet.
Free Ormonde Stakes 2021 Tip
Sonnyboyliston (Each-Way)
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Daily Racing Tips – Warrnambool Cup Day Special
Warrnambool - Race 3 12:15pm AEST
No. 2 Ocular
Ocular is deserving of his status as a dominant favourite for this contest.
He chased home the talented Galenus at Cranbourne first-up and there is no horse of that quality in this field.
Barrier one is ideal and he should have every possible chance in the run.
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 3
Warrnambool - Race 7 2:30pm AEST
No. 2 Bit Of A Lad
Bit Of A Lad was gallant in defeat at Warrnambool earlier in the week and that should now have him at peak fitness for the Grand Annual.
I am confident that he is the best jumper in this field and I expect him to simply prove too tough over this testing staying trip.
Ciaron Maher and David Eustace have already had an outstanding Carnival and they are well-placed to score another big win.
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 7
Warrnambool - Race 8 3:15pm AEST
No. 6 Fighting Harada
Fighting Harada has been nothing short of outstanding since he made his return to the races and he is well-placed to continue his winning ways.
The scary thing for his rivals is that he continues to improve each time that he has been seen at the races and I like the fact that he has been freshened for this race.
On exposed form he does have a genuine edge over the rest of this field and he is deserving of his status as a clear favourite.
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 8
Warrnambool - Race 9 3:55pm AEST
No. 10 South Pacific
All the hype surrounds his stablemate Heart Of Puissance, but I think that South Pacific is the value runner in a very open edition of the Warrnambool Cup.
South Pacific has raced well without winning in his two race starts this campaign and he should now be at peak fitness.
Barrier five is perfect and I am confident that he will produce a better performance than his current odds of $15 suggest.
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 9
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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2021 Hollindale Stakes Day Preview
Race 1 - 11:25am AEST
Play Gold Coast Handicap (1800m)
Olympic Class is a lightly-raced gelding that still has plenty of upside.
There was a lot to like about the way that he returned to the races at the Sunshine Coast and he should take good improvement from this contest.
I really don’t think that this is the strongest race and there is no horse in this field with as much upside.
1 Unit Olympic Class
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 1
Race 2 - 12:04pm AEST
Bat Out Of Hell (900m)
Sugar Boom is obviously a much better mare than her last start effort at the Gold Coast suggests and she is well-placed to return to winning form.
The daughter of Spirit Of Boom has speed to burn and she was dominant when given an opportunity over this track and distance during the Magic Millions Carnival.
James McDonald in the saddle is a positive and I expect her to prove too speedy for the rest of this field.
2 Units Sugar Boom
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 2
Race 3 - 12:39pm AEST
Gold Coast Cup (2400m)
The Gold Coast Cup is packed full of winning chances and you can make a case for just about every horse in this field.
There aren’t many horses that bring strong form into this race and there are simply too many variables to bet with any confidence.
I am happy to let this race go through to the keeper.
No Bet
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 3
Race 4 - 1:14pm AEST
Listed Goldmarket (1200m)
Stampe wasn’t disgraced in the Victory Stakes last start and The Goldmarket is a genuine drop in class.
I like the fact that he is on the quick back-up and he generally does take good improvement into his second-up run.
Craig Williams in the saddle is a positive and I expect him to be in the finish in an open race.
1.5 Units Stampe
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 4
Race 5 - 1:49pm AEST
Group 3 Ken Russell Memorial Classic (1200m)
Ranch Hand showed plenty of ability during his maiden racing campaign and he is well-placed to make a winning return to the races in the Ken Russell Memorial Classic.
He showed plenty of speed to win on debut at Warwick Farm and he wasn’t disgraced behind his stablemate Shaquero in the Magic Millions Classic.
It would not surprise to see him go to another level this campaign and he should get a lovely run in transit with James McDonald in the saddle.
2 Units Ranch Hand
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 5
Race 6 - 2:24pm AEST
Gold Coast Bracelet (1800m)
I am keen to take on the form coming out of the Princess Stakes and Nothinsweetaboutme represents outstanding value at her current price.
She started her racing career with two wins from as many starts and she wasn’t disgraced in what was a strong edition of the Kemble Grange Classic.
William Pike will be able to settle her right on the speed and she will give her rivals something to catch.
1 Units Nothinsweetaboutme
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 6
Race 7 - 3:04pm AEST
Group 3 Gold Coast Guineas (1200m)
Marboosha will go into the Gold Coast Guineas as a deserving favourite, but I’m not sure that there is as much between her and Amish Boy as the current market suggests.
It has been a while between wins for Amish Boy, but he has been excellent this campaign.
He finished in the placings of the Magic Millions Guineas, Autumn Stakes and Newmarket Handicap before he wasn’t beaten far in a strong edition of the Arrowfield Stakes.
This is a genuine drop in quality and the wide barrier draw could prove to be an advantage at this stage of the afternoon.
1 Unit Amish Boy
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 7
Race 8 - 3:44pm AEST
Group 2 Hollindale Stakes (1800m)
This is an outstanding edition of the Hollindale Stakes and you can make a case for just about every horse in this field.
She isn’t the most consistent horse in the world, but Nettoyer is capable of a producing a high-rating effort on her day and she stands out at her current quote of $20.
Nettoyer beat Probabeel to win the Queen Of The Turf Stakes last start and a repeat of that effort would have her right in the mix here.
The give out of the track suits and you can expect to see her storming home in the concluding stages.
1 Unit Nettoyer
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 8
Race 9 - 4:24pm AEST
Listed Silk Stocking (1400m)
Wonderful Riri has developed into a very consistent mare and she finds herself in a very winnable edition of the Silk Stocking.
There is no doubt that she has gone to another level this campaign and she showed a lovely turn-of-foot to get the job done at Doomben last start.
The barrier draw is ideal and she should have every possible chance in the run.
2 Units Wonderful Riri
Bet Now: Gold Coast Race 9
All times are local times.
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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2021 Warnnambool Cup Day Preview
How good is the Bool?
The final day of the Warrnambool carnival is here in what has been another excellent few days of racing.
Our full 2021 Warrnambool Cup Day Preview can be found below.
Race 1 - 11:15am
Novice Hurdle (3200m)
The Patrick Payne trained Eckhart has been working through his races well so far this prep and finally gets out to a more suitable trip.
The seven year old gelding has had one start over 3200m for the one win and he likes the cut out of the ground which he should get in this race.
1 Unit Eckhart
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 1
Race 2 - 11:45am
2YO Handicap (1200m)
The second race of the day on Warrnambool Cup day is a tricky little race with not a lot of exposed form to rely on.
Under The Dunes is one of only two horses in the race to have won a race but he is simply too short for mine.
Happy to watch this race.
No Bet
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 2
Race 3 - 12:15pm
Benchmark 78 Handicap (1100m)
Ocular has been a very consistent horse throughout his short racing career having won three times and placed a further five from 13 career starts.
He returned a nice second at Cranbourne first up from a spell in a benchmark 70 where he was beaten three quarters of a length and he drops 4kgs for that effort.
The step up to 1100m will suit and barrier one is also a benefit.
5 Units Ocular
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 3
Race 4 - 11:45pm
Benchmark 78 Handicap (1400m)
I Am Eloquent has been tasked with the top weight in this race but he brings some solid form in some high quality races.
He resumed with a seventh at Group 3 level at Rosehill two starts back when finishing 3.3 lengths behind Seasons over 1200m and then got to within 0.7 lengths of Thousand Wishes at Caulfield last start over 1400m.
This is far easier assignment for the son of I Am Invincible and the young apprentice will claim three kgs for some weight relief from barrier six.
3 Units I Am Eloquent
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 4
Race 5 - 1:15pm
Benchmark 64 Handicap (2000m)
The Maher and Eustace team produce Poppy Joan for the fifth event of the day and the four year old mare has shown some ability during her short racing career to date.
She has filled all three placings from her three starts which includes an impressive win by 1.25 lengths on the heavy track at Terang two back.
John Allen has sat on her in all three starts and retains the ride from barrier 14 and the blinkers go on for the first time!
 2 Units Poppy Joan
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 5
Race 6 - 1:50pm
Benchmark 70 Handicap (1700m)
I have a bit of an opinion of the Maher and Eustace trained Tooradin who now has three wins from nine starts after his first up win at Pakenham.
The son of Americain will take plenty of improvement out of that first up win and the step up to 1700m looks ideal for this race.
2 Units Tooradin
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 6
Race 7 - 2:30pm
Grand Annual Steeplechase (5550m)
Bit Of Lad finished his last campaign with back to back wins at this track by a combined 14 lengths proving he his talent.
He found one better when resuming two days ago on the first day of the carnival but he would have lost few admirers and the step up in distance should not be a problem for the Grand Annual Steeplechase.
2 Units Bit Of A Lad
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 7
Race 8 - 3:15pm
Kia Handicap (1400m)
Fighting Harada has been unbeaten this time in with three impressive wins on the trot to kick start this campaign.
Wins at Pakenham, Sandown and Bendigo so far this prep, he has been given five weeks in between runs heading into this assignment.
Dean Yendall will have plenty of options from barrier five and he clearly looks the one to beat.
3 Units Fighting Harada
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 8
Race 9 - 3:55pm
Listed Warrnambool Cup (2350m)
“How Good Is The Bool?”
The feature race of the three day carnival at Warrnambool is finally here and another cracking field of staying horses will line up in 2021.
2020 Geelong Cup runner up Le Don De Vie has been steadily progressing so far this prep despite missing the places in both his runs so far.
The step up to a more suitable distance will suit as will the booking of Mark Zahra.
Declares War put together three wins on the trot including the Wangaratta Cup before an ordinary performance in the Albury Gold Cup left punters pondering.
He returned to a semblance of his best form last start behind Mahamedeis at Caulfield last start and he represents good value at the double figure odds.
1 Unit Le Don De Vie
1/2 Unit E/W Declares War
Bet Now: Warrnambool 9
Race 10 - 4:30pm
Benchmark 64 Handicap (1300m)
Mick Price’s talented four year old Over The Sky can finish our day (and carnival) on a good note.
He has managed two wins from his five career starts and both times he has started favourite, he has won.
He has a tricky gate to overcome but with some luck he will be winning.
2 Units Over The Sky
Bet Now: Warrnambool 10
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Daily Harness Tips – Thursday 6th May
Penrith - Race 2 6:47pm AEST
No. 1 Enemy Lines
Enemy Lines has won just eight times in his 121 start career but the seven year old is arguably racing in career best form of late.
He has won his last three in a row with the last two coming at this track and he will again get all the favours that come with drawing the pegs.
Bet Now: Penrith Race 2
Penrith - Race 3 7:15pm AEST
No. 5 Shadow Minister
Shadow Minister has resumed from a spell with two wins from two starts.
His first up win could not have been much more impressive when he scored by almost 10 metres at Newcastle and he ran a pretty slick time when narrowly winning at Menangle last start.
This is an easier task than that and he looks well placed to make it three from three.
Bet Now: Penrith Race 3
Penrith - Race 4 7:45pm AEST
No. 2 Schouten Island
Schouten Island is another that has put together multiple wins in a row having won his last two by a combined 10+ metres.
The seven year old gelding is certainly one to mix his form so watch betting in the race but he is capable of a high rating performance on his night.
Bet Now: Penrith Race 4
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Daily Greyhound Tips – Thursday 6th May
Sandown Park - Race 1 6:12pm AEST
No. 7 Tiger Isla
Tiger Isla has won her last two in a row by a combined 16 lengths at Sale and Warragul and earned her spot in a city race.
The daughter of Barcia Bale will need to prove herself stepping up in both grade and distance but she looks a talented young race bitch.
Bet Now: Sandown Park Race 1
Sandown Park - Race 4 7:13pm AEST
No. 8 King Of Calypso
King Of Calypso ran a very quick 29.28 at this track and distance last start when scoring by 5.5 lengths.
That is the fastest time of any dog in this race at the T/D and he has the added benefit of the outside gate in this event.
Bet Now: Sandown Park Race 4
Sandown Park - Race 5 7:37pm AEST
No. 5 Highly Explosive
Highly Explosive has won her last two in a row including her last start over 515m at Sandown Park when beating home the smart Devel Sixteen by over 2.5 lengths.
The daughter of Barcia Bale has now won six of her 12 career race starts and she again looks well placed in this event.
Bet Now: Sandown Park Race 5
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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2021 South Australian Derby Preview
The 2021 Adelaide Racing Carnival continues at Morphettville on Saturday with a capacity field of three-year-olds lining up in the Group 1 South Australian Derby (2500m). 
Favourites have typically dominated this race over the last decade with Danny O’Brien’s Irish raider Russian Camelot first past the judge last year as a $2.90 chance. 
This year, Australian Derby winner Explosive Jack has been installed at short odds in Ladbrokes betting, while there’s also plenty to like about the Lindsay Park-trained Personal coming off last week’s narrow runner-up to Media Award in the Australasian Oaks. 
For our thoughts on all 16 runners, be sure to read our entire 2021 South Australian Derby Preview here!
Explosive Jack 
Ciaron Maher and David Eustace’s lightly-raced colt Explosive Jack will venture to South Australia for the first time on Saturday in search of back-to-back Group 1’s.
The New Zealand import has been installed as the short-priced favourite after nabbing Young Werther right on the line to win the Australian Derby three weeks ago as a 16-1 shot, and does appear suited to the wide gate after making up enormous ground last time out from a five-wide position. 
The three-year-old has win twice previously on soft tracks, so he should appreciate any rain about. 
Bet Now: Explosive Jack
Royal Mile 
Royal Mile has found in the money in all eight of his starts so far as he continues to progress through the grades in style. 
The three-year-old son of Danerich won his first race at Saturday grade three back over the mile at Morphettville and has since gone on to add two more victories to his resume by impressive margins in the Port Adelaide Guineas and the Group 3 Chairman’s Stakes. 
He was a slight query stepping up beyond 2000m last time out on the Parks track, but he quickly proved his doubters wrong by leading all the way to win by more than a length. 
Jacob Opperman has plenty to work with from the inside draw and there is no doubt the pair will look to make their own luck again on speed. 
Bet Now: Royal Mile
Liqueuro
Liqueuro gets his chance at a hat-trick on Saturday coming off two impressive wins in the St Leger Trial at Bendigo and the Listed Galilee Final at Caulfield. 
The gelding by Fiorente actually beat home Explosive Jack two runs back with a bursting run in the late stages, while his performance last time out to lead all-the-way was equally impressive. 
This is his toughest assignment to date, but the 2500m looks no problem for him based one recent efforts, and the added chance of rain will only strengthen his claims. 
Bet Now: Liqueuro
Let’s Karaka Deel 
Let’s Karaka Deel is looking to break a run of recent placings that includes a narrow runner-up to Dom To Shoot in the Mornington Guineas and a clear second to Royal Mile in the Port Adelaide Guineas. 
Unlike most others in the field, the colt by Dundeel is one of the few with a run on the board over this trip after finishing only two lengths fifth to Johnny Get Angry in the Victoria Derby last year at Flemington. 
Ben Allen does have some work to do from the awkward alley, but his recent form stacks up well. 
Bet Now: Let's Karaka Deel
Azaly
Azaly struggled to make up ground last time out in the Group 3 Chairman’s Stakes on the Parks track. 
That was his first look at Group level and he’ll only find this tougher. 
Bet Now: Azaly
Deepstrike
Bit of a query on Deepstrike after he failed to fire in the Chairman’s in his first start beyond 1800m. 
He won his previous two starts at Pakenham and Sandown in much easier company, but whether he handles the extra trip on Saturday in an even tougher race remains to be seen. 
Bet Now: Deepstrike
Miletus
Miletus finished off fairly for seventh in the Chairman’s following a comfortable win at Sale in a Benchmark 64 the start prior. 
Despite his struggles last time out, he does look a talented stayer in the making after also winning at Sale over 2226m last December. 
Barrier 5 should see him settle behind the speed and he could be worth a look in exotics with Jamie Mott back on board. 
Bet Now: Miletus
Montepulciano
Montepulciano was the surprise place-getter in the Chairman’s when second to Royal Mile after finishing off strongly from midfield. 
The son of All Too Hard has been racing well without winning this campaign and was also competitive two back in the Port Adelaide Guineas for fifth. 
Like most, he’s a query up to 2500m, but he could be a little over the odds based on recent efforts. 
Bet Now: Montepulciano
Nobel Heights 
Nobel Heights won well first-up at Sandown over the mile and showed plenty of improvement in his first start at Group level last time out for fifth in the Chairman’s. 
The way he finished off from well-back in that race was impressive to say the least, so there’s no question he’ll see out the 2500m.
Unlike his last two starts, he’s drawn much more kindly in barrier 4 and must be included in your numbers. 
Bet Now: Nobel Heights
Abreed
Agreed won well on debut at Geelong last November but has mixed his form since returning to work. 
He ran last in the Mornington Guineas over the mile three runs back and was never a factor last time out in the Chairman’s. 
Would need to improve drastically to be any real factor. 
Bet Now: Abreed
Solar Apex
Solar Apex has been a consistent customer this time in work, albeit against much easier company. 
The son of Deep Impact has found the placings in his last three starts at Kensington, Newcastle and Canterbury since resuming and tends to do some of his best work with a few runs under his belt. 
The Chris Waller-trained galloper is facing black-type company for the first time on Saturday and should be better for it. 
Bet Now: Solar Apex
Suppression 
Suppression journeys to Morphettville for the first time coming off a last start second at Bendigo over 2400m.
This looks tougher though and the wide gate only complicates matters. 
Bet Now: Suppression
Token Spirit 
Token Spirit showed some improvement in his last start when 1.5L second to Heroic Fighter at Pakenham over 2200m. 
He did win his maiden at Ballina beyond 2000m during the spring before going on run a very bold sixth in the Victoria Derby over this same trip. 
He’s fitter now for three runs back and could be a sneaky knockout chance at odds. 
Bet Now: Token Spirit
Ichibansan
Ichibansan has been around the mark of late running fourth in the Port Adelaide Guineas before achieving a similar result last time out in the Chairman’s. 
So far, he’s 0-9 on his home track though and is tough to recommend from an awkward gate. 
Bet Now: Ichibansan
Personal 
Personal returns on the quick backup after being pipped right on the line by $61 pop Media Award in last week’s Australasian Oaks. 
The filly by Fastnet Rock won the Group 1 VRC Oaks over this same trip at Flemington during the spring however, so the rise to 2500m should suit her at this stage of her campaign. 
Another wide gate does make life tricky for Damien Oliver again, but she does have most of these covered on class alone.
Bet Now: Personal
Shebringzit
Shebringzit was one of the surprise place-getters in the Chairman’s after making up big ground coming out of the turn to run third behind Royal Mile and Montepulciano.
She has been up for a while, so whether she has enough left in reserve to see out an extra 500m remains the query. 
Bet Now: Shebringzit
The post 2021 South Australian Derby Preview appeared first on Ladbrokes Blog.
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Free Chester Races Boodles May Festival Day One Tips
13-45 Lily Agnes Stakes 2021
The Lily Agnes Stakes is the first race on the first day of the Boodles May Festival at Chester Racecourse. It is limited to 2-year-olds and takes place over 5 furlongs.
Lily Agnes Stakes 10-Year-Trends 2021
Eight of the last ten winners of the Lily Agnes Stakes have been drawn in either stalls two, three, four, or five. Despite Chester’s typical bias towards low-drawn runners, none of the winners in the last decade have been drawn in stall one.
All ten winners had run once or twice, and between nine and 39 days earlier, while seven winners had won their previous race. Eight winners were returned at odds of 9/2 (5.50) or less. Tom Dascombe (two) and David O’Meara (one) are the only trainers with runners this year to have won the race in the last ten years.
Who Will Win The Lily Agnes Stakes 2021?
Mojomaker looks the least likely winner, as he makes his racecourse debut from stall seven. Fair and Square is also drawn wider than ideal in stall six and has yet to win a race. Navello has won twice but has raced three times and is drawn in stall one.
The other four runners all comply with the main statistics. Devious Angel is trained by Tom Dascombe, but his win came on the slow all-weather surface at Southwell after an average first-time-out performance on turf.
The remaining trio all travelled strongly before winning last time, but Beauzon (trained by David O’Meara) was winning on his second start. Plenty of previous winners of the Lily Agnes have similar profiles, but the other two may have more improvement to come after winning their only starts so far.
Lucy Lulu won at Doncaster on debut, but it could be significant that she just pipped a Richard Hannon-trained runner that day when receiving 10lb. Armor also hails from the Richard Hannon stable and, as Hannon has that form-line to use as a guide, it’s interesting that he sends this well-bred colt into battle, as he only concedes 5lb to the filly. Ryan Moore was also a positive booking on debut and maintains the partnership.
Free Lily Agnes Stakes 2021 Tip
Armor
14.15 Cheshire Oaks 2021
The Cheshire Oaks is limited to 3-year-old fillies, and it is run over a 1 mile 3 furlongs and 75 yards, making it an important trial for the Epsom Oaks.
Cheshire Oaks 10-Year-Trends 2021
The last ten editions of the Cheshire Oaks have all featured seven or more runners. Four winners have been drawn in stalls one, two, or three, but six winners have come from stalls six, seven, and eight.
Experience varies between one run and six runs, though no winner had won more than twice before winning the Cheshire Oaks. All ten winners had run between six and 28 days before winning.
Aidan O’Brien (four winners) and John Gosden (three winners) have excellent records in the race, while Roger Varian and Mark Johnston have also won the race in the last ten years. Ryan Moore has also ridden four of the last nine winners. Seven winners were returned at 3/1 (4.00) or less, but there have also been winners at 9/1 (10.00), 16/1 (17.00), and 50/1 (51.00).
Who Will Win The Cheshire Oaks 2021?
Seven runners are set to go to post for the 2021 Cheshire Oaks and Ahandfulofsummers, Darlectable You, and La Jaconde are all trying to win the race as maidens.
The early market-leader Zeyaadah represents Roger Varian, but she’s already won all three of her starts and is yet to race so far this season. The Mark Johnston-trained Dubai Fountain has achieved the highest rating, but also makes her seasonal debut, as does the Ryan Moore-ridden Nicest for Aidan O’Brien’s son Donnacha.
As all six of the other runners don’t comply with at least one of the major statistics, it’s worth taking a chance on the not obviously fancied Quenelle D’or. Hugo Palmer’s daughter of Golden Horn made all to win over a similar trip at Kempton 26 days ago and looks nicely drawn to adopt those tactics again from stall one.
Free Cheshire Oaks 2021 Tip
Quenelle D’Or
15.15 – Chester Vase Stakes 2021
The Chester Vase Stakes takes place over 1 mile 4 furlongs and 63 yards, and it is a recognised trial for the Epsom Derby.
Chester Vase Stakes 10-Year-Trends 2021
Nine of the last ten winners of the Chester Vase Stakes have been drawn in stall one to five. All ten winners had won at least once before their success in the race, with eight having run no more than three times. Three winners were making their seasonal debut, but the last five had all had a prep run.
Aidan O’Brien has saddled seven of the last ten editions, with Ryan Moore riding six of those winners. All ten winners in the last decade were returned at 8/1 (9.00) or less, with seven winners returned at odds of 7/2 (4.50) or lower.
Who Will Win The Chester Vase Stakes 2021?
Five of the eight runners due to line up in the Chester Vase Stakes 2021 are trained in England, but Richard Hannon, John Gosden, Roger Charlton, Charlie Appleby, or Andrew Balding haven’t recorded a win between them in this race this century.
Despite their trainers’ poor records in the race, Wirko, Youth Spirit, Pleasant Man, Law Of The Sea, and Fancy Man are all promising types that could improve markedly for stepping up to middle distances. The home contingent will also be more hopeful after Aidan O’Brien’s colts all underperformed in the 2,000 Guineas last week.
However, if you’re following the trends for the Chester Vase Stakes, it’s impossible to look beyond Sir Lamoral who represents the formidable combination of Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore.
Free Chester Vase Stakes 2021 Tip
The post Free Chester Races Boodles May Festival Day One Tips appeared first on Betting Gods.
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Daily Racing Tips – Wangoom Handicap Day Special
Warrnambool - Race 2 11:50am AEST
No. 6 Sly Corner
Sly Corner has an excellent chance to claim a maiden race win at Warrnambool this afternoon.
He has generally been racing in stronger maidens than this one and he has improved every time that he has been seen at the races.
Barrier 11 means that he will get a fair way back in the run, but he will be storming home in the concluding stages.
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 2
Warrnambool - Race 6 2:05pm AEST
No. 6 Saunter Boy
Saunter Boy is deserving of his status as a clear favourite in Galleywood Hurdle betting.
There is no doubt that he is the class horse in this field and he showed his jumping credentials with a comfortable win at Pakenham last start.
He still needs to improve his jumping skills, but I think that he will be able to get home in this contest purely on class alone.
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 6
Warrnambool - Race 8 3:20pm AEST
No. 4 Great Again
The Wangoom Handicap is always an interesting betting race and this year’s edition is no exception.
There is no doubt that Lindsey Smith has set Great Again for a first-up tilt at this contest and he is well-placed to make a winning return to the races.
He has an excellent first-up record and he generally produces his best form over 1200 metres.
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 8
Warrnambool - Race 10 4:30pm AEST
No. 5 Nikau Spur
Nikau Spur is deserving of his status as a dominant favourite in the final race of the day.
He returned to the races with a dominant victory at Pakenham and the scary things for his rivals is that he still has the upside to improve.
The Proisir gelding will settle in the second half of the field, but he will be storming home late.
Bet Now: Warrnambool Race 10
The post Daily Racing Tips – Wangoom Handicap Day Special appeared first on Ladbrokes Blog.
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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Daily Harness Tips – Wednesday 5th May
Redcliffe - Race 3 6:16pm AEST
No. 3 Hot Embers
Hot Embers has been racing very consistently throughout this prep so far and five straight top 4 finishes culminated in a win at this track and distance last time out.
He again gets a good draw in this race and this assignment does not look much tougher than his last.
Bet Now: Redcliffe Race 3
Redcliffe - Race 4 6:47pm AEST
No. 5 Rocks Or Diamonds
Rocks Or Diamonds has placed in all three of his starts so far this prep which includes a win at Albion Park in a pretty slick time.
He will appreciate the step down in grade for this race and if he can replicate his recent form. he will be very tough to beat.
Bet Now: Redcliffe Race 4
Redcliffe - Race 6 7:50pm AEST
No. 6 Jasper
Jasper resumed with a nice third at Albion Park over the short course before narrowly winning in a pretty hot little race at her next start at the same track and distance.
She is a talented filly and this race is a step down from that grade and with even luck she will be winning again.
Bet Now: Redcliffe Race 6
The post Daily Harness Tips – Wednesday 5th May appeared first on Ladbrokes Blog.
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bettingpunter · 3 years
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5 Lessons Learned – NRL Round 8
We have reached the one third marker of the 2021 NRL season with every club eight games into their campaign.
The Premiership is still wide open with the Panthers leading the way however there are half a dozen clubs still very much in the mix.
It was an eventful Round 8 full of upsets, comebacks and most importantly, points and we have our five big takeaways right here.
1 – Road Teams Held the Line
It was a good week to hit the road with six of the eight away teams covering the line.
Only the Broncos and Storm held their ground at home in the handicap market although head-to-head it was a slightly more even split with four wins apiece.
Souths have the best record as the away side through eight rounds with four wins and four covers from five games.
SEVEN STRAIGHT!#NRLRaidersSouths pic.twitter.com/4087p9XTd4
— NRL (@NRL) April 29, 2021
This weekend they are at home against a side that has surprisingly struggled away from home thus far with the Storm recording a 1-2 head-to-head record as the visiting team.
Bet Now: Souths v Storm
2 – There’s Some Fight Left in the Broncos
Brisbane’s season might not have gone to plan so far but you have to be impressed with the resiliency they showed on Friday night.
It would have been very easy to roll over when down 22-0 after a quarter of an hour but they took the early punches and fought back to claim their second win of the season.
FULL TIME | COMEBACK COMPLETE! How good was that!?
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#NRLBroncosTitans pic.twitter.com/eSrC5bUQTX
— Brisbane Broncos (@brisbanebroncos) April 30, 2021
What. A. Night.
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Some of the best
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from our Macca's Local Derby win! pic.twitter.com/VS7eo817l4
— Brisbane Broncos (@brisbanebroncos) May 1, 2021
Perhaps is has something to do with the still loyal fans packing out Suncorp Stadium but the Broncos have been a decent bet at home so far this season.
They have covered the line on all four occasions and with three of those games coming on a Thursday or Friday night, it’s a worthwhile trend to follow when they return “home” for Magic Round in a couple of weeks.
Bet Now: Cowboys v Broncos
3 – The Punters Love Souths (Or Hate The Raiders)
How you see this really depends on your point of view.
The line for the Raiders-Souths game on Thursday night opened at Souths -3.5 and the bettors were more than happy to take on Ricky Stuart’s side.
By kickoff the line had reached 8.5 points in favour of the visitors and that faith was justified as they ran out 34-20 winners.
Souths have flicked the switch
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#NRLRaidersSouths #TelstraPremiership pic.twitter.com/2vw02wXkGs
— NRL (@NRL) April 29, 2021
Canberra has been installed as an early favourite over the Knights this Saturday but it will be a good test of where the punters’ confidence lies if they take on the home side here.
Bet Now: Raiders v Knights
4 – The Roosters Have Hit The Critical Mass
At some point you just have to cut bait and it may time to do that with the Roosters.
It’s not an indictment on their squad, coaching or anything else, but it’s pretty clear that they are in the middle of a season from hell when it comes to injuries.
They have just suffered too many losses to give me any confidence that they can sustain a title challenge come September.
You know they will still be good enough to be in most games though.
The try that has it ALL!
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#TelstraPremiership Moment of the Match #NRLKnightsRoosters pic.twitter.com/P1EnTcs5WG
— NRL (@NRL) May 1, 2021
When it comes to the 2022 futures market, I’ll be ready to jump on them having a bounce back year.
Bet Now: Eels v Roosters
5 – Keep Backing the Overs
It has been something that has been a popular lesson all season in the NRL, but the points totals in these games continue to beat the pregame numbers.
Six of the eight games went over their closing value with the two Sunday games the only ones to go under.
Seven games had 40 or more points with the Warriors and Cowboys producing 44 but still going under the closing total of 45.5.
Overall this week the games averaged 46 points with the average total being 43, so while the deficit still favours overs, it’s the trend to follow.
The Titans are one of three teams to have six overs to date and could be primed for a bounce back after falling to the Broncos last week.
Bet Now: Tigers v Titans
The post 5 Lessons Learned – NRL Round 8 appeared first on Ladbrokes Blog.
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