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World Cup 2018: Colombia v England

Colombia’s James Rodriguez, the 2014 World Cup Golden Boot winner, was pressured off injured towards Senegal

BBC protection

The way to observe:

Pay attention on BBC Radio 5 reside; textual content commentary on the BBC Sport web site; watch highlights on BBC One at 22:45 BST

TEAM NEWS

England’s Dele Alli is out there for choice once more after lacking the group matches towards Panama and Belgium.

Supervisor Gareth Southgate is about to recall the gamers he rested towards the Belgians, together with captain Harry Kane, who has 5 objectives up to now.

Colombia will monitor the health of star midfielder James Rodriguez, who was pressured off towards Senegal.

A scan of his proper calf has revealed swelling however no muscle tear, although it’s unclear if he can be match to start out.

Fellow midfielder Wilmar Barrios may very well be recalled to the beginning line-up, with Colombia probably fielding a extra conservative line-up than of their must-win sport towards Senegal.

OVERVIEW

No earlier winners left in England’s facet of the draw, just one nation ranked larger, a younger hungry crew seemingly unburdened by earlier failures, and a golden boot chasing striker…what may probably go flawed?

…Effectively, if historical past is something to go by, rather a lot. The Three Lions have infamously received simply two, sure two, knockout video games at a World Cup for the reason that heady days of Italia ’90 (v Denmark in 2002 and Ecuador 4 years later).

Except for the glory of 1966 they’ve additionally by no means crushed a top-tier crew within the knockout levels at a finals. Oh, and the dreaded spectre of penalties looms massive. No nation has misplaced extra shoot-outs at a World Cup than the three England have (degree with Italy and Spain) – they’ve misplaced a complete of six out of seven at main tournaments.

However what of opponents Colombia? They achieved their best-ever efficiency at a World Cup in 2014 by reaching the quarter-finals earlier than dropping to hosts Brazil. “We’re a greater crew than 4 years in the past,” says goalkeeper David Ospina. “We’re collectively, extra skilled and a stronger squad of gamers than we had been in Brazil. Our gamers play in the most effective golf equipment, the most effective leagues, and are used to enjoying in matches of this measurement, so nothing will frighten us.”

VIEW FROM BOTH CAMPS

Colombia coach Jose Pekerman: “We all know that any crew that reaches the final 16 is sweet, we’re speaking about the most effective 16 groups on the earth

“Clearly England can have a very good day or a foul day. England is a younger crew, has a variety of concord and you may inform they’ve a variety of religion in themselves.”

England supervisor Gareth Southgate: “I really feel like we have began to attach the crew with the general public once more.

“I really feel like we have created pleasure, like we have performed in a method that has actually proven an expression of what younger English gamers are able to, and I need us to proceed doing that.”

LAWRO’S PREDICTION

So, we’ll see what impact making so many modifications has on England, however I really assume they are going to be high-quality towards Colombia.

They’ve some good gamers, however I do not assume they may be capable of address England’s high-pressing sport.

Prediction: 0-2

Lawro’s full predictions

England’s Harry Kane leads the race for the Golden Boot

MATCH FACTS

Head-to-head

England are unbeaten towards Colombia in 5 earlier conferences. Michael Owen scored a hat-trick in the latest match, which England received 3-2 in New Jersey in 2005.

The Three Lions beat Colombia 2-Zero of their solely earlier World Cup encounter due to objectives from Darren Anderton and David Beckham within the group stage of the 1998 event.

Colombia

That is the third time Colombia have made the knock-out stage. The one earlier event they’ve gone previous the spherical of 16 was in Brazil 4 years in the past.

They’re unbeaten in eight video games versus European opposition since head coach Jose Pekerman took cost in 2012 (W6, D2).

Los Cafeteros have scored in every of their final eight World Cup video games – the final facet to cease them scoring within the event was England in 1998.

None of Colombia’s 21 matches on the World Cup have ended goalless. Solely the USA (33) and Austria (29) have performed extra video games within the competitors with out registering a 0-0.

Juan Quintero has been instantly concerned in three of Colombia’s 5 objectives at this World Cup, scoring of their first match and delivering an help within the second and third sport.

Towards Senegal, Colombia did not have a contact contained in the opposition penalty space till the 57th minute (from substitute Luis Muriel).

England

England have received two of their final eight World Cup knockout video games.

Their final knock-out victory within the World Cup got here towards South American opposition, after they beat Ecuador 1-Zero within the spherical of 16 in 2006.

England have solely failed to attain in certainly one of their 18 knockout video games on the World Cup – within the 0-Zero draw towards Portugal within the 2006 quarter-finals (received by Portugal on penalties).

Harry Kane has performed simply 153 minutes on the World Cup however he has already scored 5 objectives, second solely to Gary Lineker’s document of 10 for England.

If Kane finds the web towards Colombia, he’ll turn out to be the primary participant to attain in six consecutive appearances for the Three Lions since Tommy Lawton again in 1939.

This can be England’s 18th sport towards South American opposition on the World Cup. They’ve received eight of the earlier 17 (D3, L6).

England 7% probability of profitable World Cup?

Simon Gleave, head of research at Gracenote Sports activities:

Colombia started the World Cup with a 5% probability of profitable the ultimate on July 15. Defeat by Japan of their opening Group H match made qualification to the final 16 unsure although and Colombia’s probability of profitable the competitors dropped to 2%.

It solely bounced again to five% after Colombia’s place within the knockout part was assured.

Previous to an open trying World Cup, England got 4% probability of profitable the competitors. This rose to six% after the win towards Tunisia made an early qualification attainable and seven% as soon as England’s knockout spot was confirmed. Even with a 7% probability of profitable, England had been the marginal third favourites.

Earlier than the spherical of 16 began, the benefit of being within the backside half of the draw was solely small however Spain’s elimination has made it much more advantageous to have completed as runners-up in Group G.

England need to knock out their hardest potential opponent on this facet of the draw although after they play Colombia.

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