#Max Cisneros

[lieutenant-amuel]

Okay so for the ask game, all of the guys from Gabe's patrol (you can include him too, for comparison XD) and who is the most likely to get lost in a forest and who's the most accident prone?

Thank you, Blue!!

So, we have five characters: Gabe (yes, I’ll include him, too XD), Max, Alberto, Samu, and Oscar.

The Most Likely To Get Lost In A Forest.

Alberto XD He’s not adapted to life in a forest. This habitat is alien to him, he’ll get lost even if his friends leave him alone just for a minute. And he won’t survive.

Samu. He’ll get lost because 1) he’s not good at reading maps 2) he’s dependent on others. But if he does get lost, he’ll 100% survive, because he has good hands-on, cooking, and medical skills, literally everything required for comfortable existence. He’s unlikely to find a way out of the forest, so he’ll just wait until someone rescues him.

Gabe. As long as he has a map, he’s cool. But. If something doesn’t go according to the plan, I believe it may catch him off guard and he will just wander around, cursing everything he sees, until he gets a hold of himself and finds a way out in no time because he knows how to navigate in the forest.

Max. He’s unlikely to get lost. He has everything under control, and even if something goes wrong, it’s no problem, because he’s both chill and skilled. It may happen only if he was thrown into the random edge of the forest left with no supplies. He’ll need time to think before acting.

Oscar. He needs no map, no supplies, he can live in the forest. If he’s in some unfamiliar location, he will lick stones, listen to the sound of the wind, touch trees, pretend he’s a deer, he will never get lost.

The Most Accident Prone.

Oscar. Low self-esteem plus clumsiness. But honestly, it depends on the situation. In his casual life, he’s pretty much a walking disaster, but when it comes to all those hikes, he’s the most grounded person of all.

Alberto. Also depends on the situation XD On a hike, he will be bitten by every mosquito, burnt by campfire, cut by a random stone, and this all will happen on the same day. Plus, he is confident, even overconfident, so it might lead to some unpleasant situations as well.

Gabe. Don’t kick me XD I mean, Gabe is a very grounded person, he will avoid any dangerous situations by all costs unless it hits him personally. In canon we see him agreeing on joining the olaball team despite being a horrible player, borrowing the sword despite it being forbidden, trusting Bronzino despite knowing nothing about him. He did all those things following his personal motives, and we all know that they all led to some very unpleasant consequences. So, he just creates those accidents himself.

Samu. To be honest, I just can’t imagine any accidents happening to him. He’s not clumsy, pretty much grounded, and chill. He’s not the least accident prone because he actually might get into trouble but only when somebody gets him into trouble. And also because we have Max.

Max. As I said, he’s healthy both physically and mentally.

Thanks again!

OC Game.

#Ask me anything #OC Game #My OCs #Maximiliano Enríquez #Alberto Franco #Samuel Cisneros #Oscar Téllez #You know I’m SO tempted to create some kind of an inner conflict for Max #Just ye he’s literally perfect he has everything under control he’s good at so many things he seems to know what he wants from his life #But what if he has some family conflict nobody else knows about? #Or/and he doesn’t realize how much he demands from himself and eventually has a breakdown? #But he can’t show it #Because everyone knows him as a perfect Maximiliano a patrol leader who always gives advice to the guys from his patrol #and seems so reasonable and as if he has the clearest picture of how his future looks like which makes him a true role model for everyone #But I really don’t know if there’s any point of delving into his character that much XD #Tag yourself #Me: 1) Alberto 2) Samuel

[allthebrazilianpolitics]

Massive dino from Brazil ate 'like a pelican,' controversial new study finds. Why is it causing an uproar?

The study reveals new information about the carnivorous dinosaur Irritator challengeri, but the research has been criticized because the fossils may have been illegally removed from Brazil.

A large predatory dinosaur related to Spinosaurus may have scooped up prey "like a pelican" by extending its lower jaw, European researchers propose in a new study. But the findings have upset some paleontologists who contest that the fossils were illegally taken from Brazil and should be returned to their country of origin.

The dinosaur at the center of the controversy is Irritator challengeri, a member of the family Spinosauridae — a group of bipedal, carnivorous dinosaurs with long, crocodilian-like snouts. The species, which grew to a max length of around 21 feet (6.5 meters), was first described in 1996 from 115 million-year-old fossils uncovered in the Araripe Basin of northeastern Brazil and later shipped to Germany, where they now reside in the Stuttgart Museum of Natural History in the state of Baden-Württemberg. 

In the new study, which was published in the journal Palaeontologia Electronica, researchers digitally reconstructed the skull from the I. challengeri specimen housed in Stuttgart and discovered that the species' lower jaw could spread out to the sides, widening the animal's pharynx, the area behind the nose and mouth. This is similar to how a pelican widens its lower beak to scoop up small fish, suggesting that I. challengeri likely fed in the same way, the researchers wrote in a statement.

The new analysis also revealed that, due to its eye placement, I. challengeri would have naturally inclined its snout at a 45-degree angle and been capable of rapid-yet-weak bites. When combined, these features suggest that the snout would have been well suited to quickly scooping prey out of shallow water, the researchers wrote.

I. challengeri's journey from Brazil to Germany is a contentious one. The fossils were unearthed by nonscientific commercial diggers and were sold to the Stuttgart Museum before 1990, when Brazil began restricting scientific exports to other countries. As a result, the study's researchers believed that the fossils legally belonged to the Baden-Württemberg state.

However, an older Brazilian law dating to 1942 states that Brazilian fossils are federal property and cannot be sold, meaning that the fossil was technically stolen by the commercial diggers who exported it, Juan Carlos Cisneros, a paleontologist at the Federal University of Piauí in Brazil who was not involved in the new study, told Live Science in an email. "And buying something stolen does not make you its owner," he said.

Continue reading.

#brazil #germany #politics #science #paleontology #dinosaurs #brazilian politics #german politics #mod nise da silveira #image description in alt

[book-ramblings]

2023 IN BOOKS - A LONG POST

What I read last year, divided into a few categories. I didn't in the end feel like writing down all 80-ish books, so this is a selection.

1 Poetry - I'm trying to get into poetry, but I'm not a 'natural' poetry reader.

Aftonland - Pär Lagerkvist

Bluets - Maggie Nelson

Sonnets - William Shakespeare

Night Sky with Exit Wounds - Ocean Vuong

If They Come for Us - Fatimah Asghar

Wild Embers - Nikita Gill

The Wild Iris - Louise Glück

Poems - Alfred, Lord Tennyson

Howl and Other Poems - Allen Ginsberg

Sonnets from the Portuguese - Elizabeth Barrett Browning

Blue Horses - Mary Oliver

Love Letters to the World - Meia Geddes

Aún - Pablo Neruda

from Songs of Innocence and Experience - William Blake

Loose Woman - Sandra Cisneros

Bestiary - Donika Kelly

Winter Recipes from the Collective - Louise Glück

Selected Poems - Percy Bysshe Shelley

2 Short Stories and Novellas

Skördad - Anna Jakobsson Lund

The October Country and Other Stories - Ray Bradbury

The Paper Menagerie and Other Stories - Ken Liu

Burning Girls and Other Stories - Veronica Schanoes

Galatea - Madeline Miller

Stories of Your Life and Others - Ted Chiang

3 For Work

Konsten att undervisa - Filippa Mannerheim

Poesi direkt - Daniel Boyacioglu

4 Comics and Graphic Novels

The Complete Maus - Art Spiegelman

Nimona - N D Stevenson

Sandman vol 5 - Neil Gaiman

5 Rereads

The Fellowship of the Ring - J R R Tolkien

The Two Towers - J R R Tolkien

The Return of the King - J R R Tolkien

The Rook - Daniel O'Malley

Stiletto - Daniel O'Malley

Blitz - Daniel O'Malley

Station Eleven - Emily St John Mandel

The Eyre Affair - Jasper Fforde

Royal Assassin - Robin Hobb

Assassin's Quest - Robin Hobb

How to Marry a Werewolf - Gail Carriger

6 Favourites

Toll the Hounds - Steven Erikson

Augustus - John Williams

Circe - Madeline Miller

This Is How You Lose the Time War - Amal El-Mohtar and Max Gladstone

The Crippled God - Steven Erikson

The Strange Case of the Alchemist's Daughter - Theodora Goss

Infomocracy - Malka Older

Kushiel's Dart - Jacqueline Carey

+ The Paper Menagerie, Stories of Your Life and most rereads...

7 Other Noteworthy Reads

Giovanni's Room - James Baldwin

Falling Free - Lois McMaster Bujold

Shards of Honor - Lois McMaster Bujold

Barrayar - Lois McMaster Bujold

The Warrior's Apprentice - Lois McMaster Bujold

The Vor Game - Lois McMaster Bujold

Dust of Dreams - Steven Erikson

Women Talking - Miriam Toews

Legends and Lattes - Travis Baldree

Slaughterhouse 5 - Kurt Vonnegut

An Inheritance of Magic - Benedict Jacka

The Power Naomi Alderman

Ghost Wall - Sarah Moss

Ice - Anna Kavan

#books #read 2023

[twins2994]

Wallner's GS Helps Twins Beat Tigers!

Tigers 3 Twins 5 W-Floro (4-5) L-Cisnero (2-3) SV-Duran (22)

The Detroit Tigers have given the Twins a tough time this year with a (7-4) mark against them. The last series between the two teams started this evening at Target Field. The Tigers got the scoring started in the second inning as Kerry Carpenter drew a one-out walk. The next batter, Miguel Cabrera drilled a Bailey Ober fastball out to left for a two-run homer. Detroit had a two-run lead after two innings of play. Meanwhile, Alex Faedo finished off five shutout innings as he dominated the Twins lineup. The Twins rudely greeted Jose Cisnero in the sixth as Jorge Polanco led-off with a walk and Max Kepler single. Royce Lewis singled home a run and the Twins got within a run. Carlos Correa followed with a chopper for a single, which loaded the bases. The next batter, Matt Wallner smoked a Will Vest fastball out to right for a grand slam to put the Twins on top. Dylan Floro, Emilio Pagan, and Caleb Thielbar each threw one scoreless inning each. The Tigers would make some noise in the ninth as Spencer Torkelson drilled a Jhoan Duran curveball out to left for a solo homer. Duran retired the next two batters to end the game and the Twins picked up the win tonight at home.

-Final Thoughts- Bailey Ober had a solid start tonight. He went five innings and allowed two runs on four hits with three walks and six strikeouts. Dylan Floro had a scoreless sixth, Emilio Pagan had a 1-2-3 seventh, and Caleb Thielbar fanned one in the eighth. Jhoan Duran gave up a run in the ninth and struck out two. Duran needs to work on his curveball because it keeps getting hit hard. The Twins scattered seven hits tonight and went 3-for-6 with runners in scoring position. They left six men on base. Tomorrow, Reese Olson faces Kenta Maeda in the series finale at noon.

-Chris Kreibich-

#Twins #MnTwins

[art-now-germany]

- SOLD - Swamp Forest, Collection: S. Ribbe,, Wolfgang Schmidt

Swamp Forest - Sumpfwald Sincerely to: Andy Hall, Sheikha Al Mayassa bint Hamad bin Khalifa Al-Thani, Paul Allen, Edythe L. and Eli Broad, Rosa and Carlos de la Cruz, Patricia and Gustavo Phelps de Cisneros (Venezuela and Dominican Republic), Donald and Mera Rubell, Steven A. Cohen, Theo Danjuma, Maria Baibakova, Adrian Cheng, Ingvild Goetz (München), Victoria and David Beckham, Leonardo Dicaprio, Alan Lau, Camilla Barella, Ralph DeLuca, Arthur de Ganay, Ramin Salsali, Moises Cosio, Pedro Barbosa, Monique and Max Burger, Joaquin Diez-Cascon, Luciano Benetton, Roman Abramovich and Dasha Zhukova (Russia), Robbie Antonio (Philippines), Hélène and Bernard Arnault (France), Maria and Bill Bell (United States), Peter Benedek (United States), Debra and Leon Black (United States), Christian and Karen Boros (Germany), Irma and Norman Braman (United States), Peter Brant (United States), Basma Al Sulaiman, Marc Andreessen, Laura and John Arnold, Camilla Barella, Swizz Beatz, Claudia Beck, Andrew Gruft, Robert and Renée Belfer, Lawrence Benenson, Frieder Burda (Germany), Richard Chang (United States), Kim Chang-il (Korea), David Chau and Kelly Ying (China), Pierre T.M. Chen (Taiwan), Adrian Cheng (China), Kemal Has Cingillioglu (United Kingdom), Nicolas Berggruen, Jill and Jay Bernstein, Ernesto Bertarelli, James Brett, Jim Breyer, Christian Bührle, Valentino D. Carlotti, Edouard Carmignac, Trudy and Paul Cejas, Dimitris Daskalopoulos (Greece), Zöe and Joel Dictrow (United States), George Economou (Greece), Alan Faena (Argentina), Mark Falcone and Ellen Bruss (United States), Amy and Vernon Faulconer (United States), Howard and Patricia Farber (United States), Larry and Marilyn Fields (United States), Marie Chaix, Michael and Eva Chow, Frank Cohen, Michael and Eileen Cohen, Isabel and Agustín Coppel, Anthony D'Offay, Hélène and Michel David-Weill, Antoine de Galbert, Ralph DeLuca, Amanda and Glenn Fuhrman (United States), Danielle and David Ganek (United States), Ken Griffin (United States), Agnes Gund (United States), Steven and Kathy Guttman (United States), Andrew and Christine Hall (United States), Lin Han (China), Henk and Victoria de Heus-Zomer (Holland), Grant Hill (United States), Maja Hoffmann (Switzerland), Erika Hoffmann-Koenige (Germany), Tiqui Atencio Demirdjian, Beth Rudin DeWoody, Eric Diefenbach and JK Brown, David C. Driskell, Mandy and Cliff Einstein, Rebecca and Martin Eisenberg, Ginevra Elkann, Tim and Gina Fairfax, Dana Farouki, Michael and Susan Hort (United States), Guillaume Houzé (France), Wang Jianlin (China), Dakis Joannou (Greece), Alan Lau (China), Joseph Lau (China), Melva Bucksbaum and Raymond Learsy (United States), Agnes and Edward Lee (United Kingdom), Aaron and Barbara Levine (United States), Adam Lindemann (United States), Eugenio López (Mexico), Jho Low (China), Susan and Leonard Feinstein, Nicoletta Fiorucci, Josée and Marc Gensollen, Alan and Jenny Gibbs, Noam Gottesman, Florence and Daniel Guerlain, Paul Harris, Barbara and Axel Haubrok, Alan Howard, Fatima and Eskandar Maleki (United Kingdom), Martin Margulies (United States), Peter Marino (United States), Donald Marron (United States), David MartÍnez (United Kingdom and Mexico), Raymond J. McGuire (United States), Rodney M. Miller Sr. (United States), Simon and Catriona Mordant (Australia), Arif Naqvi (United Kingdom), Peter Norton (United States), Shi Jian, Elton John, Tomislav Kličko, Mo Koyfman, Jan Kulczyk, Svetlana Kuzmicheva-Uspenskaya, Pierre Lagrange, Eric and Liz Lefkofsky, Robert Lehrman, François Odermatt (Canada), Bernardo de Mello Paz (Brazil), José Olympio & Andréa Pereira (Brazil), Catherine Petitgas (United Kingdom), Victor Pinchuk (Ukraine), Alden and Janelle Pinnell (United States),Ron and Ann Pizzuti (United States), Michael Platt (Switzerland), Miuccia Prada and Patrizio Bertelli (Italy), Howard and Cindy Rachofsky (United States), Mitchell and Emily Rales (United States), Dan Loeb, George Lucas, Ninah and Michael Lynne, Lewis Manilow, Marissa Mayer, David Mirvish, Lakshmi Mittal, Valeria Napoleone, John Paulson, Amy and John Phelan, Ellen and Michael Ringier (Switzerland), David Roberts (United Kingdom), Hilary and Wilbur L. Ross Jr. (United States), Dmitry Rybolovlev (Russia), Lily Safra (Brazil),Tony Salamé (Lebanon), Patrizia Sandretto (Italy), Eric Schmidt (United States), Alison Pincus, Heather Podesta, Colette and Michel Poitevin, Thomas J. and Margot Pritzker, Bob Rennie, Craig Robins, Deedie and Rusty Rose, Stephen Ross, Alex Sainsbury, Alain Servais (Belgium), Carlos Slim (Mexico), Julia Stoschek (Germany), Budi Tek (Indonesia), Janine and J. Tomilson Hill III (United States), Trevor Traina (United States), Alice Walton (United States), Robert & Nicky Wilson (United Kingdom), Elaine Wynn (United States), Lu Xun (China), Muriel and Freddy Salem, Denise and Andrew Saul, Steven A. Schwarzman, Carole Server and Oliver Frankel, Ramin Salsali, David Shuman, Stefan Simchowitz, Elizabeth and Frederick Singer, Jay Smith and Laura Rapp, Jeffrey and Catherine Soros, Jerry Yang and Akiko Young (United States), Liu Yiqian and Wang Wei (China), Anita and Poju Zabludowicz (United Kingdom), Jochen Zeitz (South Africa), Qiao Zhibing (China), Jerry Speyer and Katherine G. Farley, Susana and Ricardo Steinbruch, Kai van Hasselt, Francesca von Habsburg, David Walsh, Artur Walther, Derek and Christen Wilson, Michael Wilson, Owen Wilson, Zhou Chong, Doris and Donald Fisher, Ronnie and Samuel Heyman, Marie-Josee and Henry R. Kravis, Evelyn and Leonard Lauder, Jo Carole and Ronald S. Laude, Francois Pinault (France), Udo Brandhost (Köln), Harald Falckenberg (Hamburg), Anna and Joseph Froehlich (Stuttgart), Hans Grothe (Bremen), UN Knecht (Stuttgart), Arendt Oetker (Köln), Inge Rodenstock (Grünwald), Ute and Rudolf Scharpff (Stuttgart), Reiner Speck (Köln), Eleonore and Michael Stoffel (Köln), Reinhold Würth (Niedernhall), Wilhelm and Gaby Schürmann, Ivo Wessel, Heiner and Celine Bastian, Friedrich Karl Flick, Monique and Jean-Paul Barbier-Mueller (Genf), Christa and Thomas Bechtler (Zürich), David Bowie (Lausanne), Ulla and Richard Dreyfus (Binningen und Gstaad), Georges Embiricos (Jouxtens and Gstaad), Friedrich Christian "Mick" Flick (Hergiswil and Gstaad), Esther Grether (Bottmingen), Donald Hess (Bolligen), Elsa and Theo Hotz (Meilen), Baroness Marion and Baron Philippe Lambert (Genf), Gabi and Werner Merzbacher (Zürich), Robert Miller (Gstaad), Philip Niarchos (St. Moritz), Jacqueline and Philippe Nordmann (Genf), Maja Oeri and Hans Bodenmann (Basel), George Ortiz (Vandoeuvres), Graf and Gräfin Giuseppe Panza di Biumo (Massagno), Ellen and Michael Ringier (Zürich), Andrew Loyd Webber, Steve Martin, Gerhard Lenz, Elisabeth and Rudolf Leopold.

https://www.saatchiart.com/art/Drawing-SOLD-Swamp-Forest-Collection-S-Ribbe/694205/2784259/view

#conceptual #abstract #fineart #WolfgangSchmidt #realism #expressionism

[qvid-pro-qvo]

i'm procrastinating on outlining so - 🌸cast your mutuals as your favorite books? (or like just books in general)

anonymous said: 🌸 as your favorite books?

🌸 - cast your mutuals as your favorite books!

all the light we cannot see by anthony doerr - @winterscaptain

to kill a mockingbird by harper lee - @hurricanejjareau

world war z: an oral history of the zombie war by max brooks - @duchesschameleon

invisible man by ralph ellison - @writefasttalkevenfaster

the hostile hospital (series of unfortunate events) by lemony snicket - @teamhappyme

the importance of being earnest: a trivial comedy for serious people by oscar wilde - @hotchseyebrows

the house on mango street by sandra cisneros - @ssaic-jareau, @spencehotchner

#qvo’s springtime sleepover! #book recs #ask the status qvo #sabina :) #moots :)

[we-vuvalini]

furiosa, mad max: fury road + literaryheroine five things my mother never taught me, antonin artaud the spurt of blood, sandra cisneros “moon in hydra”, mother mother little pistol, gloria e. anzaldúa “bridge on my back”

#mad max #furiosa #mmfr #mad max: fury road #mad max fury road #furiosa mmfr #i've always wanted to do one of these so... makes sense i'd do it for furiosa #vuvalini #words

[theliberaltony]

via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

In 2018, Democrats took back the House thanks to a blue wave that ran right through America’s suburbs. Now the question is, can they hold onto that majority?

The answer is probably yes, as Democrats are clear favorites, according to the final version of FiveThirtyEight’s House forecast, which gives them a 97 in 100 chance of winning control of the House.1

Overall, the House contest appears to have significantly less drama than either the race for the presidency or the Senate, both of which are far more competitive. Democrats currently control 233 seats to the GOP’s 201 seats,2 with retiring Libertarian Rep. Justin Amash the lone third-party member in the chamber. So to win back the House, Republicans need a net gain of 17 seats to achieve a majority of 218, which is one reason why their odds of taking back the chamber are so low (3 in 100). That’s a lot of House seats in a presidential cycle, as a party has only gained that many twice in the past 10 presidential elections.

But perhaps the even bigger reason why Democrats are favored to keep control of the House — as well as maybe win the White House and even the Senate — is that the electoral environment looks quite good for their party. If we look at the polling average from our congressional generic ballot tracker, which includes all polls that ask respondents whether they plan to vote for the Democrat or Republican in their local congressional race, Democrats lead by 7.3 percentage points. That margin speaks to a strong national environment for Democrats and isn’t that far off from the 8.7-point edge Democrats had heading into the 2018 midterm elections. And as the chart below shows, this lead hasn’t fluctuated much over the past year.

What this has meant practically is that the overall electoral environment has boosted the chances of House Democrats, but most notably it’s given a leg up to those who captured Republican seats in 2018 and are now seeking reelection. Of the 41 Democrats who flipped seats in 2018 — not counting one who resigned and another who switched parties — 30 have at least a 3 in 4 shot of holding onto their seat. This despite the fact that President Trump carried 20 of those 41 seats when he won in 2016. These conditions, along with strong Democratic fundraising and mediocre Republican candidate recruitment in many key races, have left a pretty short list of Democratic incumbents who are in serious danger of defeat, as the table below shows.

Most House Democrats in competitive races have good odds

Democratic House incumbents who are seeking reelection and have less than a 95 percent chance of winning, according to the final numbers from the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s forecast

District Incumbent Flipped GOP seat in 2018 Chance of winning Rating MN-07 Collin Peterson 19% Likely R OK-05 Kendra Horn ✓ 51 Toss-up NM-02 Xochitl Torres Small ✓ 55 Toss-up UT-04 Ben McAdams ✓ 56 Toss-up CA-21 TJ Cox ✓ 58 Toss-up NY-11 Max Rose ✓ 58 Toss-up SC-01 Joe Cunningham ✓ 64 Lean D CA-48 Harley Rouda ✓ 68 Lean D NV-04 Steven Horsford 72 Lean D NY-22 Anthony Brindisi ✓ 73 Lean D CA-39 Gil Cisneros ✓ 74 Lean D GA-06 Lucy McBath ✓ 74 Lean D TX-07 Lizzie Pannill Fletcher ✓ 75 Lean D NJ-07 Tom Malinowki ✓ 76 Likely D OR-04 Peter DeFazio 78 Likely D VA-07 Abigail Spanberger ✓ 79 Likely D FL-27 Donna Shalala ✓ 81 Likely D FL-26 Debbie Mucarsel-Powell ✓ 82 Likely D NV-03 Susie Lee 83 Likely D NH-01 Chris Pappas 84 Likely D TX-32 Colin Allred ✓ 84 Likely D WI-03 Ron Kind 84 Likely D IA-03 Cindy Axne ✓ 84 Likely D IL-06 Sean Casten ✓ 87 Likely D VA-02 Elaine Luria ✓ 87 Likely D IL-14 Lauren Underwood ✓ 87 Likely D IA-01 Abby Finkenauer ✓ 87 Likely D AZ-01 Tom O’Halleran 88 Likely D PA-17 Conor Lamb ✓ 89 Likely D CA-10 Josh Harder ✓ 92 Likely D PA-08 Matt Cartwright 92 Likely D MI-11 Haley Stevens ✓ 93 Likely D NJ-03 Andy Kim ✓ 93 Likely D MN-02 Angie Craig ✓ 93 Likely D CA-45 Katie Porter ✓ 94 Likely D NC-01 G.K. Butterfield 94 Likely D MI-08 Elissa Slotkin ✓ 94 Likely D NY-19 Antonio Delgado ✓ 94 Likely D

In other words, these seemingly more competitive seats are, for the most part, not necessarily that close, which limits the GOP’s path back to a majority. Nevertheless, a handful of Democratic incumbents are in jeopardy of losing. In fact, the most vulnerable incumbent from either party is Democratic Rep. Collin Peterson of Minnesota, who has about a 1 in 5 chance of winning reelection in a seat that Trump won by 31 points four years ago, according to Daily Kos Elections. Beyond Peterson, five other Democrats fall into the “toss-up” range in our forecast: Reps. Kendra Horn of Oklahoma, TJ Cox of California, Max Rose of New York, Xochitl Torres Small of New Mexico and Ben McAdams of Utah. Of that quintet, Cox is the outlier because he’s the only one running in a seat that is pretty Democratic-leaning at the presidential level — Trump lost it by 16 points in 2016 — whereas the others all hold seats Trump won by at least 7 points. But Cox’s seat is probably one of the better candidate recruitment situations for the GOP, as ex-Rep. David Valadao, who Cox defeated by less than 1 point in 2018, is back for a rematch.

Aside from the strength of their incumbents, Democrats have also benefited from the sheer number of Republican retirements this year. Not to mention, some GOP primary challenges that resulted in some incumbents losing renomination. Although the incumbency advantage is not nearly as strong as it once was, open seats tend to be harder for the incumbent party to retain, and the disproportionate number of Republican exits from the House has left some vulnerable turf for them to defend. As the table below shows, this means Republicans are defending almost all of the 17 open seats where neither party is a safe bet.

Republicans are defending more competitive open seats

Democratic chances of victory in open House seats where the incumbent party has less than a 95 percent chance of winning, according to the final numbers from the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s forecast

District Incumbent Party Dem. chances Rating NC-02 R 100% Safe D NC-06 R 100 Safe D IA-02 D 88 Likely D TX-23 R 74 Lean D NY-02 R 57 Toss-up IN-05 R 50 Toss-up VA-05 R 49 Toss-up TX-24 R 48 Toss-up MI-03 L 44 Toss-up GA-07 R 43 Toss-up CO-03 R 39 Lean R TX-22 R 32 Lean R NC-11 R 27 Lean R MT-AL R 23 Likely R FL-15 R 19 Likely R KS-02 R 9 Likely R CA-50 R 5 Likely R

While Democrats are only outright favorites in three GOP-held seats, that trio account for half of the six seats that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016 that Republicans still control (GOP incumbents are running in the other three). Two are near-certain Democratic pickups thanks to North Carolina’s court-ordered redistricting, which made those seats much more Democratic-leaning and precipitated the retirements of two Republican incumbents. And Republican Rep. Will Hurd’s retirement in Texas’s 23rd Congressional District, which Trump lost by 3 points in 2016, has given Democratic nominee Gina Ortiz Jones a clear edge there. Additionally, Democrats are roughly even bets to win a number of other open Republican-held districts, including suburban seats like Indiana’s 5th Congressional District around Indianapolis and New York’s 2nd Congressional District on Long Island, both left open by retirements. They also have a shot at winning GOP-controlled seats where the incumbent lost renomination, such as Virginia’s 5th Congressional District and Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District. What’s more, only one Democratic-held open seat — Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District — is at all in play, and the Democrats have nearly a 9 in 10 chance of keeping it.

Lastly, Democrats are also in an enviable position because they stand to defeat some Republican incumbents in competitive contests, too. Whereas only 13 Democratic incumbents seeking reelection have less than a 3 in 4 chance of winning reelection, slightly more Republicans — 14 — are in the same position. Still, the one silver lining for Republicans is that none of their incumbents is a clear underdog, as the table below shows. So most of these races might be a bit of a reach for Democrats hoping to pad their margins.

House Republicans whose seats aren’t “safe”

Republican House incumbents who are seeking reelection and have less than a 95 percent chance of winning, according to the final numbers from the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s forecast

District Incumbent Chance of winning Rating CA-25 Mike Garcia 45% Toss-up NJ-02 Jeff Van Drew 50 Toss-up PA-10 Scott Perry 52 Toss-up AZ-06 David Schweikert 57 Toss-up OH-01 Steve Chabot 58 Toss-up MN-01 Jim Hagedorn 60 Lean R NE-02 Don Bacon 60 Lean R IL-13 Rodney Davis 63 Lean R NY-24 John Katko 64 Lean R NC-08 Richard Hudson 66 Lean R AR-02 French Hill 66 Lean R MO-02 Ann Wagner 69 Lean R TX-21 Chip Roy 71 Lean R MI-06 Fred Upton 71 Lean R AK-AL Don Young 79 Likely R WA-03 Jaime Herrera Beutler 82 Likely R PA-01 Brian Fitzpatrick 84 Likely R KY-06 Andy Barr 85 Likely R NY-01 Lee Zeldin 86 Likely R TX-25 Roger Williams 89 Likely R NC-09 Dan Bishop 90 Likely R MI-07 Tim Walberg 90 Likely R FL-16 Vern Buchanan 90 Likely R TX-03 Van Tayor 90 Likely R OH-10 Mike Turner 91 Likely R TX-10 Michael McCaul 92 Likely R TX-06 Ron Wright 92 Likely R FL-18 Brian Mast 93 Likely R VA-01 Rob Wittman 93 Likely R CA-42 Ken Calvert 93 Likely R TX-31 John Carter 94 Likely R OH-12 Troy Balderson 94 Likely R MN-08 Pete Stauber 95 Likely R

GOP Rep. Mike Garcia, who won a special election earlier this year to fill a vacancy in California’s 25th Congressional District, heads into the election as the most at-risk Republican incumbent. But along with Garcia are four others in toss-up contests: Reps. Jeff Van Drew of New Jersey, Scott Perry of Pennsylvania, David Schweikert of Arizona and Don Bacon of Nebraska. Van Drew won as a Democrat in 2018 but switched parties after voting against impeaching Trump, probably thinking he’d have an easier time as a Republican in a district that backed Trump by about 5 points in 2016, but the race is super close and he’s been outraised by Democrat Amy Kennedy — yes, part of that Kennedy family. Bacon, meanwhile, is defending a seat that could also matter a great deal in the presidential race because Nebraska apportions one electoral vote to each of its congressional districts, and its 2nd Congressional District is somewhat more likely to vote for Biden than Trump.

Bottom line: Democrats have benefited from an overall Democratic-leaning national environment, in addition to a number of strong Democratic incumbents, a sizable number of competitive Republican-held open seats and some vulnerable GOP officeholders. There’s no fuzziness here in what our forecast says: Democrats are in a very strong position to maintain control of the House. We’ll see how it plays out once the votes are counted, but a Democratic hold would be one of the more unsurprising outcomes in this election.

#IFTTT #Politics – FiveThirtyEight #politics #538 #Geoffrey Skelley

[lovlettres-moved]

do u have any book recs?

if you follow me on goodreads you'd know these are all on my 'read list' but here u go

salt and saffron - kamila shamsie

home fire - kamila shamsie

dozakhnama - rabisankar bal

wuthering heights - emily bronte

sister outsider - audre lorde

a thousand splendid suns - khaled hosseini

letters to milena - franz kafka

poems by faiz - faiz ahmed faiz

the house on mango street - sandra cisneros

house of light - mary oliver

beloved - toni morrison

no longer human - osamu dazai

the full haikyuu manga series - furudate

this is how you lose the time war - amal el-mohtar and max gladstone

no. 6 manga and light novels

the memory police - yoko okgawa

the architect's apprentice - elif shafak

signs preceding the end of the world - yuri herrera

disappearing earth - julia phillips

hollow land - eyal weizman

#most of the books I read are either recced by friends or are from my to read tag tbh #asks #the last one i haven't finished but read around 5 chapters and it's rlly good I recommend it to everyone #it's non fiction tho

[go-redgirl]

Rep. Tom Emmer: Every House Seat Flipped by GOP Was Minority, Woman, or Veteran

Rep. Tom Emmer (R-MN), chairman of the National Republican Congressinoal Committee, noted all House seats flipped by Republicans defeating Democrat incumbents were won by minority, women, and military veteran candidates, offering his remarks on SiriusXM’s Breitbart News Sunday with host Joel Pollak.

“Every one of the seats we flipped so far has been a minority candidate, veteran and/or a female candidate,” Emmer said. “Pretty impressive.”

“Every one of the seats we flipped so far has been a minority candidate, veteran and/or a female candidate,” Emmer said. “Pretty impressive.”

Democrats will have “the smallest majority” in the House of Representatives “since World War Two,” remarked Emmer.

Emmer observed the Democrat Party’s leftward shift over time.

“The idea that there’s a moderate left in the Democrat Party is laughable,” Emmer stated. “There are only ultra-liberals and socialists. [Nancy Pelosi’s] got her hands full with both in the next two years if it’s that close a majority.”

The Associated Press has thus far called 422 of the 435 House seats up for election, with Democrats winning 219 to Republicans’ 203.

Pollak assessed the growing influence of the Squad — Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), Ilhan Omar (D-MN), Ayanna Presley (D-MA), Rashida Tlaib (D-MI) — given the Democrats’ narrowed House majority.

Pollak stated, “Nancy Pelosi will only hold the majority by virtue of the Squad, that is to say AOC plus three, and I guess they’re getting a couple of new radicals to join them. So they’ll be about five or six members on the Democratic side who are basically Democratic socialist radicals, and they are the kingmakers in the House, at least as far as Democrats are concerned, right? They can basically tell Nancy Pelosi, ‘Hey, if you want to come back as Speaker, if you want that gavel again, you have to do what we say.'”

Emmer replied, “They actually have already been doing that. I think for the last two years, Nancy Pelosi was basically the Speaker in name only. The agenda has been run by [the Squad].”

More aggressive and transparent leftism from the Democrat Party is a boon for Republicans’ political fortunes, estimated Emmer.

Emmer remarked, “We’re going to keep reminding voters how dangerous these Democrats’ socialist agenda is.” Democrats’ “defund the police” messaging “is going to kill them” politically, he added.

Below is a list of 2020 races in which Republicans defeated Democrat incumbents.

Republican Young Kim, a Navy veteran, defeated Rep. Gil Cisneros (D-CA) in California’s 39th congressional district.

Republican Michelle Steel unseated Rep. Harley Rouda (D-CA) in California’s 48th Congressional District.

Carlos Gimenez (R), mayor of Miami-Dade, defeated Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D-FL) in Florida’s 26th Congressional District.

Republican Maria Elvira Salazar flipped Florida’s 27th Congressional District by defeating Rep. Donna Shalala (D-FL).

Republican Ashley Hinson unseated Rep. Abby Finkenauer (D-IA) in Iowa’s 1st Congressional Sistrict.

Republican Michelle Fischbach, the former Minnesota lieutenant governor, wonMinnesota’s 7th Congressional District after beating Rep. Collin Peterson (D-MN).

Republican Yvette Herrell defeated Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (D-NM) in the race for New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District.

Rep. Max Rose (D-NY) conceded to Republican competitor Nicole Malliotakis in the race for New York’s 11th Congressional District.

Rep. Kendra Horn (D-OK) was ousted by Republican Oklahoma State Sen. Stephanie Bice in the race for Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District.

Republican Nancy Mace ousted Rep. Joe Cunningham (D-SC) in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District.

Despite ubiquitous news media projections and polls predicting a growing Democrat majority in the House, Republicans narrowed the Democrats’ majority. Emmer helped craft a Republican political strategy highlighting Democrats’ increasingly left-wing political orientation, including undermining of law enforcement, pushing of the Green New Deal to combat “climate change,” and rejection of American sovereignty through “open borders” policies.

[intimatum]

intertextuality

desire / eating disorder / hunger: «to be the girl who lunges at people−wants to eat them» (letissier) / «a way to take all hungers and boil them down to their essence–one appetite to manage–just one» (knapp)

trauma / trauma theory / visceralities of trauma

writers

ada limón, adrienne rich, agnès varda, alana massey, alejandra pizarnik, alice notley, ana božičević, anaïs nin, andrea dworkin, andrew solomon, angela carter, angélica freitas, angélica liddell, ann cvetkovich, anna akhmatova, anna gien, anne boyer, anne carson, anne sexton, anne waldman, antonella anedda, aracelis girmay, ariana reines, audre lorde, aurora linnea

barbara ehrenreich, bell hooks, bessel van der kolk

carmen maria machado, caroline knapp, carrie lorig, cat marnell, catharine mackinnon, catherynne m. valente, cathy caruth, césar vallejo, chris kraus, christa wolf, clarice lispector, claudia rankine, czesław miłosz

daniel borzutzky, daphne du maurier, daphne gottlieb, david foster wallace, david wojnarowicz, dawn lundy martin, deirdre english, denise levertov, detlev claussen, dodie bellamy, don paterson, donna tartt, dora gabe, dorothea lasky, durs grünbein

édouard levé, eike geisel, eileen myles, elaine kahn, elena ferrante, elisabeth rank, elyn r. saks, emily dickinson, erica jong, esther perel, etty hillesum, eve kosofsky sedgwick

fanny howe, félix guattari, fernando pessoa, fiona duncan, frank bidart, franz kafka

gabriele schwab, gail dines, georg büchner, georges bataille, gertrude stein, gilles deleuze, gillian flynn, gretchen felker-martin

hannah arendt, hannah black, heather christle, heather o'neill, heiner müller, hélène cixous, héloïse letissier, henryk m. broder, herbert hindringer, herbert marcuse

ingeborg bachmann, iris murdoch

jacques derrida, jacques lacan, jade sharma, jamaica kincaid, jean améry, jean baudrillard, jean rhys, jeanann verlee, jeanette winterson, jenny slatman, jenny zhang, jerold j. kreisman, jess zimmerman, jia tolentino, joachim bruhn, joan didion, joanna russ, joanna walsh, johanna hedva, john berger, jörg fauser, joy harjo, joyce carol oates, judith butler, judith herman, julia kristeva, june jordan, junot díaz

karen barad, kate zambreno, katherine mansfield, kathrin weßling, kathy acker, katy waldman, kay redfield jamison, kim addonizio

lacy m. johnson, larissa pham, lauren berlant, le comité invisible, leslie jamison, lidia yuknavitch, linda gregg, lisa diedrich, louise glück, luce irigaray, lynn melnick

maggie nelson, margaret atwood, marguerite duras, marie howe, marina tsvetaeva, mark fisher, martha gellhorn, mary karr, mary oliver, mary ruefle, marya hornbacher, max horkheimer, melissa broder, michael ondaatje, michel foucault, miranda july, miya tokumitsu, monique wittig, muriel rukeyser

naomi wolf, natalie eilbert, natasha lennard, nelly arcan

ocean vuong, olivia laing, ottessa moshfegh

paisley rekdal, patricia lockwood, paul b. preciado, paul celan, peggy phelan

rachel aviv, rainald goetz, rainer maria rilke, rebecca solnit, richard moskovitz, richard siken, robert jensen, roland barthes, ronald d. laing

sady doyle, sally rooney, salma deera, samuel beckett, samuel salzborn, sandra cisneros, sara ahmed, sara sutterlin, sarah kane, sarah manguso, scherezade siobhan, sean bonney, sheila jeffreys, shoshana felman, shulamith firestone, sibylle berg, silvia federici, simone de beauvoir, simone weil, siri hustvedt, solmaz sharif, sophinette becker, soraya chemaly, stephan grigat, susan bordo, susan sontag, suzanne scanlon, sylvia plath

theodor w. adorno, thomas brasch, tiqqun, toni morrison

ursula k. le guin

valerie solanas, virginia l. blum, virginia woolf, virginie despentes

walter benjamin, wisława szymborska, wolfgang herrndorf, wolfgang pohrt

zadie smith, zan romanoff, zoë lianne, zora neale hurston

#tags

[batboyblog]

Yes there are no perfect candidate. But this is triage when in comes to electing anybody against the republicans. The best candidate is the one that can beat the republican regardless of their race, gender, religion, or sexual orientation. Yes this country has a deep history of excluding women and minorities from the levers of power but the expanding creep of right wing authoritarianism is the top threat and has to be stopped first. Especially bc it will cause more harm to women and minorities.

This is pretty much always the case made people on the left, but embedded in it is the assumption that “the best candidate” is straight, white and male. 

so lets look at one test case: 

Kansas 3rd Congressional District, a R+4 district, in a red state. In 2018 Sharice Davids. Davids is a Native American, and a lesbian. NOW Bernie Sanders, AOC, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution,  Cenk Uygur, Cornel West, etc endorsed a straight white man named Brent Welder, a figure so impressive he doesn’t have a wikipedia article and is now best known for yelling at a teenage girl  

The case that Welder’s supports made, including AOC and Bernie in person during rallies, was that only he was electable in this red district in a red state. Now what they said they meant was that Welder’s progressive Bernieite ideas were going to speak to the people or something. But implied in there was that Davids race and/or her sexuality would be unpalatable to voters that a white straight man would be able to win where she would not. 

Davids went on to beat Welder in the primary, and beat the incumbent Republican by 10 points. 

Democrats flipped 40ish seats red to blue in 2018

Josh Harder

TJ Cox

Katie Hill

Katie Porter

Harley Rouda

Jason Crow

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

Lucy McBath

Sean Casten

Lauren Underwood

Abby Finkenauer

Cindy Axne

Sharice Davids

Jared Golden

Elissa Slotkin

Angie Craig

Dean Phillips

Andy Kim

Tom Malinowski

Max Rose

Antonio Delgado

Anthony Brindisi

Kendra Horn

Conor Lamb

Lizzie Pannill Fletcher

Colin Allred

Ben McAdams

Elaine Luria

Abigail Spanberger

Jennifer Wexton

Ann Kirkpatrick

Gil Cisneros

Mike Levin

Donna Shalala

Haley Stevens

Mikie Sherrill

Xochitl Torres Small

Mary Gay Scanlon

Chrissy Houlahan

Susan Wild

Joe Cunningham

Kim Schrier

bold are people of color and italics are LGBT people, 25 of them are women. 2018 wasn’t as good for us in the Senate, where we picked up just 2 seats (and lost more) but the two seats we did pick up? Arizona and Nevada? two women Senators, Jacky Rosen of NV is the first President of a Jewish congregation to serve in congress (we’ve never had a Rabbi in Congress) and Kyrsten Sinema of AZ is the first openly bisexual member of both the House and Senate. Maine, Michigan, New Mexico, and Kansas replaced Republican governors with women Democrats, Colorado elected the first openly gay man to statewide office in the US. 

One last thing, and I think about this a lot. I once listened to a speech by Madeleine Kunin, she’s the first (and only) woman governor of Vermont. She said having male allies in office was good, necessary, she liked her male co-workers, but it was important to elect women to office “because they (men) never know the feeling when you hear footsteps behind you at night while you’re fishing for your keys in the parking garage” And thats the truth, you can understand the fears and worries of women, minorities, LGBT people, but if you’re not one of them you’ll never feel those fears and they won’t spring to your mind first and right away, so a table full of well meaning, progressive, woke straight white men will never be able to fully address the needs of women, non-white people, and LGBT people, they can never be truly progressive without everyone at the table. 

#politics #LGBT #representation matters #Congress

[twins2994]

Tigers Take Care Of Twins.

Twins 5 Tigers 9 W-Holton (1-2) L-Ober (6-6) SV-Cisnero (2)

The Minnesota Twins hot offense was shutout last night by Eduardo Rodriguez and the Tigers bullpen. The team looked to get back on track tonight in Detroit. The Tigers were ready from the start as Riley Greene drew a one-out walk and Matt Vierling singled to right. Kerry Carpenter plated a pair with a base hit to right. The ball got past Max Kepler and the Tigers had a two-run lead after an inning of play. The Twins answered in the second as Carlos Correa belted an Alex Faedo fastball out to left-center for a solo homer. Later in the inning, Ryan Jeffers doubled and Joey Gallo crushed an Alex Faedo fastball out to right for a two-run homer. This put the Twins up by a run and the Tigers responded in the bottom of the second. Zach McKinstry started it with a one-out double to left and Eric Haase singled. Riley Greene tied the game with a single to center and Matt Vierling dumped a single to left. Two runs scored and Detroit regained the lead. The Tigers added to their lead in the fifth as Spencer Torkelson hammered a Bailey Ober slider out to right for a solo homer. The Twins inched closer in the sixth as Matt Wallner was hit in the foot by a pitch. Willi Castro doubled him home to get the Twins within a run. The Tigers got that run back as Spencer Torkelson walloped a Jordan Balazovic curveball out to left-center for a solo home run. Miguel Cabrera and Zach McKinstry followed with singles. Eric Haase lined a run-scoring single to left to extend the Tigers lead to three. The Tigers added two more in the eighth and Trey Wingenter slowly loaded up the bases in the ninth. Max Kepler delivered a run-scoring single to left as the game continued. Carlos Correa struck out to end the game and the Tigers picked up another win tonight.

-Final Thoughts- Bailey Ober got knocked around today and it showed. He gave up four runs on eleven hits with nine strkeouts. Emilio Pagan had a scoreless sixth and Jordan Balazovic gave up three runs on six hits with a strikeout over two innings. The Twins scattered seven hits tonight. The Twins hit 2-for-7 with runners in scoring position and left eight men on base. Tomorrow, Kenta Maeda faces Reese Olson in the series finale on a Thursday matinee.

-Chris Kreibich-

#Twins #MnTwins

[phroyd]

Republicans will be targeting 55 House Democrats in 2020, the majority of whom are new members, the National Republican Congressional Committee announced Thursday.

The lengthy target list, shared first with Roll Call, includes all 31 Democrats in districts President Donald Trump carried in 2016. The list also includes 20 districts that Hillary Clinton won in 2016 that were previously represented by Republicans.

“Freedom or socialism — that’s the choice in 2020,” NRCC Chairman Tom Emmer of Minnesota said in a statement.

Emmer said the committee is working to recruit “strong, accomplished Republican candidates who will deliver our message of individual freedom and hold these targeted members accountable for the radical policies being pushed by the socialist Democrats in their party.”

The list is largely composed of freshman members who flipped GOP-held seats in 2018.

But targets also include nine veteran Democrats mostly in Trump districts, including Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairwoman Cheri Bustos of Illinois.

The NRCC noted that the target list included a House seat it views as “trending toward President Trump,” a reference to Oregon Rep. Peter A. DeFazio. Clinton won his 4th District by one-tenth of a point in 2016, after former President Barack Obama had carried it by wider margins in 2008 and 2012.

Below is the list of GOP targets:

AZ-01 – Tom O’Halleran

AZ-02 – Ann Kirkpatrick

CA-10 – Josh Harder

CA-21 – TJ Cox

CA-25 – Katie Hill

CA-39 – Gil Cisneros

CA-45 – Katie Porter

CA-48 – Harley Rouda

CA-49 – Mike Levin

CO-06 – Jason Crow

FL-07 – Stephanie Murphy

FL-13 – Charlie Crist

FL-26 – Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

FL-27 — Donna E. Shalala

GA-06 – Lucy McBath

IA-01 – Abby Finkenauer

IA-02 – Dave Loebsack

IA-03 – Cindy Axne

IL-06 – Sean Casten

IL-14 – Lauren Underwood

IL-17 – Cheri Bustos

KS-03 – Sharice Davids

ME-02 – Jared Golden

MI-08 – Elissa Slotkin

MI-11 – Haley Stevens

MN-02 – Angie Craig

MN-03 – Dean Phillips

MN-07 — Colin Peterson

NH-01 – Chris Pappas

NJ-02 – Jeff Van Drew

NJ-03 – Andy Kim

NJ-05 – Josh Gottheimer

NJ-07 – Tom Malinowski

NJ-11 – Mikie Sherrill

NV-03 – Susie Lee

NV-04 – Steven Horsford

NY-11 – Max Rose

NY-18 – Sean Patrick Maloney

NY-19 – Antonio Delgado

NY-22 – Anthony Brindisi

NM-02 – Xochitl Torres Small

OK-05 – Kendra Horn

OR-04 – Peter DeFazio

PA-07 – Susan Wild

PA-08 – Matt Cartwright

PA-17 – Conor Lamb

SC-01 – Joe Cunningham

TX-07 – Lizzie Fletcher

TX-32 – Colin Allred

UT-04 – Ben McAdams

VA-02 – Elaine Luria

VA-07 – Abigail Spanberger

VA-10 – Jennifer Wexton

WA-08 – Kim Schrier

WI-03 – Ron Kind

Phroyd

#republicans #election 2020

[art-now-germany]

Quiff,, Wolfgang Schmidt

Sincerely to: Andy Hall, Sheikha Al Mayassa bint Hamad bin Khalifa Al-Thani, Paul Allen, Edythe L. and Eli Broad, Rosa and Carlos de la Cruz, Patricia and Gustavo Phelps de Cisneros (Venezuela and Dominican Republic), Donald and Mera Rubell, Steven A. Cohen, Theo Danjuma, Maria Baibakova, Adrian Cheng, Ingvild Goetz (München), Victoria and David Beckham, Leonardo Dicaprio, Alan Lau, Camilla Barella, Ralph DeLuca, Arthur de Ganay, Ramin Salsali, Moises Cosio, Pedro Barbosa, Monique and Max Burger, Joaquin Diez-Cascon, Luciano Benetton, Roman Abramovich and Dasha Zhukova (Russia), Robbie Antonio (Philippines), Hélène and Bernard Arnault (France), Maria and Bill Bell (United States), Peter Benedek (United States), Debra and Leon Black (United States), Christian and Karen Boros (Germany), Irma and Norman Braman (United States), Peter Brant (United States), Basma Al Sulaiman, Marc Andreessen, Laura and John Arnold, Camilla Barella, Swizz Beatz, Claudia Beck, Andrew Gruft, Robert and Renée Belfer, Lawrence Benenson, Frieder Burda (Germany), Richard Chang (United States), Kim Chang-il (Korea), David Chau and Kelly Ying (China), Pierre T.M. Chen (Taiwan), Adrian Cheng (China), Kemal Has Cingillioglu (United Kingdom), Nicolas Berggruen, Jill and Jay Bernstein, Ernesto Bertarelli, James Brett, Jim Breyer, Christian Bührle, Valentino D. Carlotti, Edouard Carmignac, Trudy and Paul Cejas, Dimitris Daskalopoulos (Greece), Zöe and Joel Dictrow (United States), George Economou (Greece), Alan Faena (Argentina), Mark Falcone and Ellen Bruss (United States), Amy and Vernon Faulconer (United States), Howard and Patricia Farber (United States), Larry and Marilyn Fields (United States), Marie Chaix, Michael and Eva Chow, Frank Cohen, Michael and Eileen Cohen, Isabel and Agustín Coppel, Anthony D'Offay, Hélène and Michel David-Weill, Antoine de Galbert, Ralph DeLuca, Amanda and Glenn Fuhrman (United States), Danielle and David Ganek (United States), Ken Griffin (United States), Agnes Gund (United States), Steven and Kathy Guttman (United States), Andrew and Christine Hall (United States), Lin Han (China), Henk and Victoria de Heus-Zomer (Holland), Grant Hill (United States), Maja Hoffmann (Switzerland), Erika Hoffmann-Koenige (Germany), Tiqui Atencio Demirdjian, Beth Rudin DeWoody, Eric Diefenbach and JK Brown, David C. Driskell, Mandy and Cliff Einstein, Rebecca and Martin Eisenberg, Ginevra Elkann, Tim and Gina Fairfax, Dana Farouki, Michael and Susan Hort (United States), Guillaume Houzé (France), Wang Jianlin (China), Dakis Joannou (Greece), Alan Lau (China), Joseph Lau (China), Melva Bucksbaum and Raymond Learsy (United States), Agnes and Edward Lee (United Kingdom), Aaron and Barbara Levine (United States), Adam Lindemann (United States), Eugenio López (Mexico), Jho Low (China), Susan and Leonard Feinstein, Nicoletta Fiorucci, Josée and Marc Gensollen, Alan and Jenny Gibbs, Noam Gottesman, Florence and Daniel Guerlain, Paul Harris, Barbara and Axel Haubrok, Alan Howard, Fatima and Eskandar Maleki (United Kingdom), Martin Margulies (United States), Peter Marino (United States), Donald Marron (United States), David MartÍnez (United Kingdom and Mexico), Raymond J. McGuire (United States), Rodney M. Miller Sr. (United States), Simon and Catriona Mordant (Australia), Arif Naqvi (United Kingdom), Peter Norton (United States), Shi Jian, Elton John, Tomislav Kličko, Mo Koyfman, Jan Kulczyk, Svetlana Kuzmicheva-Uspenskaya, Pierre Lagrange, Eric and Liz Lefkofsky, Robert Lehrman, François Odermatt (Canada), Bernardo de Mello Paz (Brazil), José Olympio & Andréa Pereira (Brazil), Catherine Petitgas (United Kingdom), Victor Pinchuk (Ukraine), Alden and Janelle Pinnell (United States),Ron and Ann Pizzuti (United States), Michael Platt (Switzerland), Miuccia Prada and Patrizio Bertelli (Italy), Howard and Cindy Rachofsky (United States), Mitchell and Emily Rales (United States), Dan Loeb, George Lucas, Ninah and Michael Lynne, Lewis Manilow, Marissa Mayer, David Mirvish, Lakshmi Mittal, Valeria Napoleone, John Paulson, Amy and John Phelan, Ellen and Michael Ringier (Switzerland), David Roberts (United Kingdom), Hilary and Wilbur L. Ross Jr. (United States), Dmitry Rybolovlev (Russia), Lily Safra (Brazil),Tony Salamé (Lebanon), Patrizia Sandretto (Italy), Eric Schmidt (United States), Alison Pincus, Heather Podesta, Colette and Michel Poitevin, Thomas J. and Margot Pritzker, Bob Rennie, Craig Robins, Deedie and Rusty Rose, Stephen Ross, Alex Sainsbury, Alain Servais (Belgium), Carlos Slim (Mexico), Julia Stoschek (Germany), Budi Tek (Indonesia), Janine and J. Tomilson Hill III (United States), Trevor Traina (United States), Alice Walton (United States), Robert & Nicky Wilson (United Kingdom), Elaine Wynn (United States), Lu Xun (China), Muriel and Freddy Salem, Denise and Andrew Saul, Steven A. Schwarzman, Carole Server and Oliver Frankel, Ramin Salsali, David Shuman, Stefan Simchowitz, Elizabeth and Frederick Singer, Jay Smith and Laura Rapp, Jeffrey and Catherine Soros, Jerry Yang and Akiko Young (United States), Liu Yiqian and Wang Wei (China), Anita and Poju Zabludowicz (United Kingdom), Jochen Zeitz (South Africa), Qiao Zhibing (China), Jerry Speyer and Katherine G. Farley, Susana and Ricardo Steinbruch, Kai van Hasselt, Francesca von Habsburg, David Walsh, Artur Walther, Derek and Christen Wilson, Michael Wilson, Owen Wilson, Zhou Chong, Doris and Donald Fisher, Ronnie and Samuel Heyman, Marie-Josee and Henry R. Kravis, Evelyn and Leonard Lauder, Jo Carole and Ronald S. Laude, Francois Pinault (France), Udo Brandhost (Köln), Harald Falckenberg (Hamburg), Anna and Joseph Froehlich (Stuttgart), Hans Grothe (Bremen), UN Knecht (Stuttgart), Arendt Oetker (Köln), Inge Rodenstock (Grünwald), Ute and Rudolf Scharpff (Stuttgart), Reiner Speck (Köln), Eleonore and Michael Stoffel (Köln), Reinhold Würth (Niedernhall), Wilhelm and Gaby Schürmann, Ivo Wessel, Heiner and Celine Bastian, Friedrich Karl Flick, Monique and Jean-Paul Barbier-Mueller (Genf), Christa and Thomas Bechtler (Zürich), David Bowie (Lausanne), Ulla and Richard Dreyfus (Binningen und Gstaad), Georges Embiricos (Jouxtens and Gstaad), Friedrich Christian "Mick" Flick (Hergiswil and Gstaad), Esther Grether (Bottmingen), Donald Hess (Bolligen), Elsa and Theo Hotz (Meilen), Baroness Marion and Baron Philippe Lambert (Genf), Gabi and Werner Merzbacher (Zürich), Robert Miller (Gstaad), Philip Niarchos (St. Moritz), Jacqueline and Philippe Nordmann (Genf), Maja Oeri and Hans Bodenmann (Basel), George Ortiz (Vandoeuvres), Graf and Gräfin Giuseppe Panza di Biumo (Massagno), Ellen and Michael Ringier (Zürich), Andrew Loyd Webber, Steve Martin, Gerhard Lenz, Elisabeth and Rudolf Leopold.

https://www.saatchiart.com/art/Painting-Quiff/694205/3616535/view

#portraiture #abstract #fineart #popart #modern #WolfgangSchmidt

[paca-artistinresidence]

El Premio Eugenio Mendoza 2019

Las obras y proyectos seleccionados por los curadores reflejan, contienen y traducen las preocupaciones discursivas y narrativas de sus creadores, y en esta ocasión la reflexión apunta a los inconvenientes que atraviesa la Venezuela actual: la migración, la diáspora, la movilidad y sus consecuencias ontológicas, políticas e históricas; el vacío de información; el deterioro y la ruina; el hambre y la necesidad; el sometimiento y sus implicaciones físicas, corporales y psicológicas; la indolencia oficial frente a la violencia —temas que ocupan a nuestros creadores más nóveles y que se encontrarán en los espacios de la Fundación Sala Mendoza.

  https://www.fundacionsalamendoza.com/premio

Para esta edición, el Premio se ha regido, una vez más, bajo la modalidad de convocatoria abierta, permitiendo participar a artistas venezolanos, residentes o no en el país, y a extranjeros residentes menores de 40 años. Se recibieron casi cien postulaciones de proyectos que fueron evaluados por seis curadores, venezolanos y extranjeros. Cada uno de ellos seleccionó a dos finalistas, justificando su elección a través de un texto curatorial: 

David Ayala-Alfonso,artista, curador e investigador colombiano residenciado entre Bogotá y Londres, se decantó por la propuesta de Emily Jolie y Néstor García;Jesús Alcaide,crítico de arte y comisario independiente español residenciado en España, por Alejandro Miguel Torrealba y Cristian Guardia; María Carlota Pérez-Appelbaum, curadora y asesora de arte venezolana residenciada en Nueva York, por Manuel Eduardo González y Valentina Alvarado Matos; Patricia Hambrona,curadora independiente española residenciada en Canadá, por Dianora Pérez y Rafael Arteaga; Rigel García, investigadora-curadora venezolana del Museo de Bellas Artes de Caracas, por María Niño y MAx Provenzano; Yuri Liscano, creador visual e investigador venezolano, Gerente General de la Sala TAC, por Malu Valerio y Saúl Rivas.

El jurado de premiación, lo conforman Álvaro Sotillo, diseñador gráfico venezolano; Dulce Gómez, artista plástico venezolana; Geaninne Gutiérrez-Guimarães, curadora del Museo y Fundación Solomon R. Guggenheim en Nueva York, y Rafael Romero, Director Emérito de la Colección Patricia Phelps de Cisneros. Este prestigioso grupo será el encargado de determinar cuál de los artistas finalistas resultará ganador del Premio, quien disfrutará de una residencia artística de tres meses en Lugar a dudas, centro de arte contemporáneo ubicado en Cali, Colombia, y una exposición individual en la Sala Principal de la Sala Mendoza en el año 2020. Además del ganador de esta edición #15, este año contamos con distintas menciones especiales gracias al apoyo de nuestros patrocinantes y amigos: La Embajada de España en Venezuela ofrece la mención Artista Emergente de la Embajada de España, galardón otorgado a Dianora Pérez que contempla una residencia de tres semanas en PACA, un artist-run space ubicado en Gijón, España,además de una muestra de proyecto en la Sala Mendoza el próximo año.