#Confirmation Bias

[creature-wizard]

What's so bad about angel numbers?

So the main problem with angel numbers that I see, is that they make people feel really certain about things that have nothing to do with reality.

For example, you might have this spiritual kinda person who meets this New Ager who's deep into QAnon-type conspiracy theories, and while they're chatting the first person sees that the clock says 11:11 and thinks that she must be on the right path. So she feels really, really sure of herself when she comes out of this conversation convinced that Donald Trump is saving children from satanic blood-drinking pedophiles.

The same kind of thing can happen with any kind of synchronicity, of course. (Or seeming synchronicity, at least. The frequency illusion is a hell of a thing.) Confirmation bias pulls people deeper and deeper into worldviews and beliefs completely unhinged from reality.

And like, I've experienced synchronicities myself, some of which seem way too wild to be coincidental, so I know how compelling these experiences can be. But at the same time, I know that these synchronicities had nothing to do with any sort of grand spiritual journey toward the truth, because they were basically always about whatever random shit I was fixating on at the time. This whole idea that synchronicities must be some grand cosmic sign is extremely dangerous.

#answered #angel numbers #frequency illusion #confirmation bias #synchronicity #synchronicities

[religion-is-a-mental-illness]

"If you do or do not believe in god and do or do not repost this something will or will not happen."

I couldn't believe it! It worked for me!

#confirmation bias #unfalsifiable #unfalsifiability #horoscopes #prayer #horoscope #prayers #pray #praying #religion is a mental illness

[mrbopst]

#scarfolk council #Confirmation Bias

[mafaldaknows]

Twitter: Stopworkplacebullies

#twitter #stopworkplacebullies #lies are like that #people too #confirmation bias #do your own research #don’t believe the hype

[intersectionalpraxis]

And one more thing since I saw your post about how the boycott on Starbucks is working. They're trying to clean up their image

twitter.com/broseph_stalin/status/1737776697485746471?t=YruuqHFqiKmOq4wr923e1Q&s=19

As if a commercial is going to make anyone forget they serve blood coffee.

I'm honestly not surprised. This is a sign of desperation and it's absolutely appalling. Although this varies contextually, we see this in retail companies across the industries with their 'promised efforts' to 'hire more diversely' without tackling their prejudiced store management and staff and having genuine conversations/actual workshops to address the importance of inclusivity/to unlearn their bigotry and confirmation biases because many Black, Brown, Indigenous, and many more folks have been historically and currently are marginalized and disadvantaged by governments and structures when it comes to work opportunities and career advancements in multiple fields because of racist and xenophobic systems (and the many interconnections of their lived experiences as well).

These companies just want to 'appear' better without making real systemic changes -and it's beyond disturbing.

I worked at a previous company for 3 years, and I didn't sign any NDA's, so sometimes I feel like being more public about what I and many people personally went through -but a majority of their store managers were white women (mostly under 35) and I kid you not -blond as well (there were like 3 women in total from East Asian, and Southeast Asian decents of the 100 or so they had). When later management came at the CEO level (before I left), they had workshops for 'hiring' and a majority of the store managers in my district at the time openly admitted to not calling back names they could 'not pronounce' (among many other aspects). I have a handful of stories that still disgust me to this day, but it happens everywhere and it's disgusting.

So yes, Starbucks is no different (and many thanks for sending this to me, so that other folks can see how nefarious and shameless they continue to be). I always say the companies that appear to be the most friendly/lovely/and family-like are usually the most toxic and riddled with micro-management and prejudices. Yes, there are exceptions, but I have heard so many people (Baristas, specifically -not those in upper management because they have good benefits and hours -will leave because it's too much for them, or they have been through incidents of harassment or bullying and are not supported). Needless to say, never forget how rotten Starbucks is, and be wary of companies you buy from regardless. I think this is an important reminder that there is NO ethical consumption under capitalism, but we can do our best to support businesses that are not part of this huge network that aligns with genocidal and oppressive regimes.

FU Starbucks -and keep boycotting ya'll. I also wanted to show this article I saw the other day -this further reinforces how desperate they are trying to make it seem like they're 'actually a good business.' with 'good intentions,' and it's just absolutely horrifying how people and companies will say they condemn terrorism, while supporting the IOF, who is responsible for mass genociding and killing 20,000+ Palestinian people...

#feminist #feminism #social justice #free palestine #freepalastine🇵🇸 #palestine #free gaza #gaza #boycotting #boycott israel #boycott starbucks #settler violence #colonial violence #retail #confirmation bias #fuck capitalism #abolish capitalism #us imperialism #western imperialism

[dogstomp]

Dogstomp #2854 - October 30th

Patreon / Twitter / Discord Server

#confirmation bias #comic diary #daily comic #comic journal #autobio comics #comics #webcomics #october 30 2022 #comic 2854

[lifewithchronicpain]

If you've ever found it puzzling that "do your own research" is a slogan for conspiracy theorists of all stripes, new research may have some answers. While conventional wisdom holds that researching the veracity of fake news would reduce belief in misinformation, a study published on Wednesday in Nature has found that using online search engines to vet conspiracies can actually increase the chance that someone will believe it. The researchers point to a known problem in search called "data voids." Sometimes, there's not a lot of high-quality information to counter misleading headlines or surrounding fringe theories. So, when someone sees an article online about an “engineered famine” due to COVID-19 lockdowns and vaccines, and conducts an unsophisticated search based on those keywords, they may find articles that reaffirm their bias.

#google #research #confirmation bias #misinformation #skepticism #study #article

[senorbouquet]

the only AI content I would support if someone made a Confirmation Bias website that AI generated fake online discussion that was 100% in agreement with every shitty niche opinion I have

#196 #r/196 #shitpost #important #confirmation bias #ai

[catofoldstones]

#yuko with the deep deep knowledge #yuko ichihara #yuuko ichihara #ichihara yuko #xxxholic #clamp #manga #manga panel #monochrome #manga aesthetic #mysticism #mystical #spiritual #mystic #occult #occultism #destiny #fate #or as I like to call it #psychology #and #confirmation bias #but still going to tag it with spiritual because I like that lmao #and get rekd watanuki #forgot this tag: #predestination #predestiny

[plurdledgabbleblotchits]

Be careful. People like to be told what they already know. Remember that. They get uncomfortable when you tell them new things. New things…well, new things aren’t what they expect. They like to know that, say, a dog will bite a man. That is what dogs do. They don’t want to know that a man bites a dog, because the world is not supposed to happen like that. In short, what people think they want is news, but what they really crave is olds. I can see you’ve got the hang of it already.

Terry Pratchett, The Truth (Discworld series)

#confirmation bias

[imkeepinit]

#opinion #confirmation bias #Foghorn Leghorn #Henery Hawk

[religion-is-a-mental-illness]

#Zain Kahn #Cunningham's Law #The Lindy Effect #Dunning Kruger Effect #confirmation bias #Hick's Law #The Streisand Effect #Decoy Effect #Luxury beliefs #Brandolini's Law #Cultural parasitism #Incentive bias #Reciprocity bias #Mimetic desire #risk aversion #uncertainty aversion #social proof #status seeking #evolutionary mismatch #Metcalfe's Law #Fredkin's Paradox #human psychology #psychology #cognitive biases #cognitive flaws #religion is a mental illness

[omegaphilosophia]

Unraveling Confirmation Bias: How Our Beliefs Shape Our Perspectives

Confirmation bias is a cognitive bias that leads people to interpret, remember, or search for information in ways that confirm their preconceptions or hypotheses. Here are some common things people use as confirmation bias:

Selective Exposure: People tend to expose themselves to information sources and media that align with their existing beliefs.

Selective Perception: They interpret ambiguous information in a way that supports their beliefs.

Selective Retention: People remember information that confirms their existing beliefs better than information that contradicts them.

Cherry-Picking Data: They selectively choose data or examples that support their viewpoint while ignoring or dismissing data that contradicts it.

Seeking Like-Minded Individuals: People often engage with communities or social groups that share their beliefs, reinforcing their existing views.

Misinterpreting Statistics: Individuals may misinterpret statistical data to support their preconceived notions.

Overvaluing Personal Experience: Personal anecdotes and experiences are given more weight than they should be in forming opinions.

Ignoring Expert Opinion: Dismissing expert opinions or scientific consensus when it contradicts one's beliefs.

Confirmation in Social Media Echo Chambers: Social media algorithms often expose users to content that aligns with their views, creating echo chambers where confirmation bias thrives.

Biased Information Search: When researching a topic, people may conduct biased searches, seeking out sources that confirm their beliefs.

Emotional Attachment: Emotional attachment to one's beliefs can make it difficult to consider alternative viewpoints objectively.

Attribution Error: People often attribute their successes to their abilities and their failures to external factors or situations, confirming their self-beliefs.

Groupthink: In group settings, individuals may conform to the group's beliefs to avoid conflict or maintain group cohesion.

Being aware of these tendencies is the first step in mitigating confirmation bias and promoting more open-minded and critical thinking.

#philosophy #epistemology #knowledge #learning #education #chatgpt #psychology #ethics #politics #Confirmation Bias #Cognitive Biases #Belief Systems #Critical Thinking #Perspective #Information Processing #Decision-Making #Bias Awareness #Cognitive Psychology #Rational Thinking

[lem0nademouth]

i need westerners to stop saying that no one cares about Palestine because its not true. its just not fucking true. everyone and their mother cares - cares exponentially more than anyone has ever cared about anything else. and then when its revealed that the passion and fervor was all performative or self serving or disingenuous, no one looks around and asks “how did this happen?”. no, they ask “who can we blame”, proclaim “they never really cared anyway”, drag their former allies over hot coals for sullying The Movement - a movement which is a perfect breeding ground for this exact kind of pretending to care for attention. very aspect of the western propal movement functions to reaffirm activists’ beliefs about themselves: I am Good, I am Moral, I am Righteous, I am Superior. so don’t tell me no one cares. the people who do have been shunned from your movement for not meeting your standards of morality. you, on the other hand, only care about yourself.

#confirmation bias #rant #im gonna lose it #i cant handle it anymore #look in the mirror !!!!

[gold-from-straw]

Tim Minchin on confirmation bias being chaotic and fucking brilliant as always

#tim minchin #confirmation bias #stand up comedy #Youtube

[soupscans]

Why he thinks he has a woman . . .

The much-anticipated reunion between Yashiro and Doumeki in Chapter 46 turned out to be a heartache. It ended with Yashiro concluding that Doumeki was different from before due to a woman. But had Doumeki really changed? True, he had never kissed Yashiro’s armpit until then, but overall the way he caressed Yashiro’s body is no different from their foreplay in Chapter 24. After all, a person’s behavior in bed is not unilaterally dependent on their relationship status. To unravel exactly why Yashiro thinks Doumeki has a woman, we need to understand the concept of confirmation bias, and to revisit Chapter 44.

Confirmation bias refers to the tendency to process new information in a manner that is consistent with a person’s existing beliefs. This is partly because humans like to feel ‘right’. For example, where an individual has already made up their mind on a certain matter, they will seek out information that validates their decision, and will discount information that indicates otherwise. In particular, confirmation bias manifests itself when individuals look for information that confirms their existing self-views and disregard information in conflict with them.

This is demonstrated in Chapter 44. Yashiro has a very negative view of himself from the outset—he believes he is abnormal and therefore doesn’t deserve to be loved. We see this in Chapter 1, where Yashiro confessed to Doumeki that ‘It’s not possible for someone like me to have a normal romantic relationship.’ Chapter 44 features a conversation between Yashiro and Kamiya in the bathroom, during which Kamiya said, ‘No wonder he [Doumeki] appears unmoved despite being so popular with women.’ This remark actually contains two pieces of information—firstly, that Doumeki is in high demand, and secondly, that he does not respond to this female attention. Any ��ordinary’ listener would interpret Kamiya’s comment to mean that they still stood a chance at winning Doumeki over. However, as Yashiro holds a very negative view of himself, he unconsciously disregarded the second piece of information in favor of the first. This way of processing information helps support his existing belief that he doesn’t deserve to be loved and that sooner or later Doumeki will abandon him. It was at this point that Yashiro formed the tentative hypothesis that Doumeki had dumped him for a woman. In other words, Yashiro actually began to think that Doumeki might have a woman before their reunion sex in Chapter 46.

We can explain the events of Chapter 46 along the same lines. Confirmation bias also manifests itself when an individual tests their tentative hypothesis against available information in a manner that justifies the hypothesis itself. Yashiro was in effect utilizing the sexual encounter to reinforce his hypothesis about Doumeki having a woman, even though the evidence he put forward is weak and logically inconclusive from our perspective as readers.

In short, it is Yashiro himself—not Doumeki—who makes him think he has a woman.

#saezuru tori wa habatakanai #twittering birds never fly #doumeki x yashiro #confirmation bias #saezuru analysis #yashiro #doumeki #Soup Scans